The Wiz Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Game Outlook... Just a left over stat from the VCU game written after the Bills/VCU contest for your consideration... Baldwin had a season stopper game...80/80/80/100 (the extra slash is the 2P category). ...37pts with at least 9 pts in each category.... 9 consecutive FTM...12pts from 3...16 pts from 2. We will play VCU again... maybe twice more...Baldwin will not have a game like that again, against us or anyone else. In the first game since our meeting with them , Baldwin's slash last night with Day was...29% (6-15) / 43% (6-14 / 0% (0-7) / 100% (2-2) . While this stat shows, that Baldwin's outbreak against us was an anomaly, there is a much more important point , coming out of the VCU/Day game last night. Baldwin and VCU shot poorly and yet that game came down to the final seconds. As you will see in the report card below, Dayton has a stellar defense....one of the best in the country...a defense that should have put VCU away when combined with VCU's weak shooting numbers. Dayton does have an Achilles heel. They turn the ball over. Last night , they turned it over 17 times. It allowed VCU to stay in the game till the very end. Getting other teams to turn it over isn't our strong suit , but the Bills did force 14 TOs against Rhody. Will they do that against Dayton? If we do, it would be a step toward victory. Dayton will be the best defense we face this year. It is going to be tough BUT we can do it...just remember this...RI just beat them recently. That's all you need to know. General Outlook.... At the beginning of conference play , I talked about the 11...the first 11 games of the season. In order for us to have a successful season we needed to do well during these games. The computer forecasted we would be favored in all of them and thought we would win between 7 and 9 games...we came in at 8...More importantly, was to become positioned for the end of the season. Becoming positioned meant finishing 1st after 11 games...which we have done now that we are tied for 1st on the lost side. As of today the computer is projecting us to finish 3rd in the A10. ..double bye...followed by games with VCU and Dayton. While all the games are important from here on out there is one game that can change the standings and propel us into a possible 1st place finish ...the game against VCU on Feb 28. No one said it was going to be easy but there still is a path to The Dance....A win in this game would be a big deal and make our path easier. For the NET watchers, a win would cause a decent move up in the rankings. Let's take it one game at a time. Report Card.... 1 category up( opp Rebs) .....1 category down (3P Def ). Another clean Card (no Ds or Fs). We are close to the honor roll on offense (B's or higher) if we can continue to shoot at the same 3P rate we have been, we can make it. Let's look at the report card... ...................SLU......................Day........................SLU.............................Day .................................OFF..........................................................DEF............. PPG...............B....................D+..............................C-..................................A+...16th ITN FG%...............B....................B+..............................A-..................................A+...13th ITN 3P%...............C+..................D+.............................B-..................................A+...9th ITN FT%...............B-...................D+.................................................................. Reb...............A.....................B...............................C+....................................A+...14th ITN OFF Rebs = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb UP...............Off....none....Def....Opp rebs Down.........Off......none...Def....3P% Top 100 In The Nation SLU Assts...Collins... 1st...unch......36th all time D1 list...1st all time A10 Assts/TO ratio...Collins...17th...dn Reb...Okoro...53rd...dn Blks...Okoro ...65th...up Off Reb...Okoro...24th ...dn Dou Dou...Collins...56th...dn 3PM....Jimerson...80th DAY PPG....Holmes...80th FG%...Holmes...27th Blks...Holmes...32nd Dou Dou...Holmes...13th Off Reb....Holmes...75th Rebs...Camara...35th...Holmes...100 Injury /Illness report and misc The Bills....2/8..Thames....Out indefinitely...undisclosed.....No timetable for return DAY...2/7...Smith...Ques...ankle...uncertain if he will be able to play Fri Keys to the game.... Stopping Holmes and Camara....as you can see by the report card Holmes is their main man. But if you want to win , you have to stop both... Dayton can make shots close to the basket...every step back from the basket their percentages drop quickly. Make them shoot from as far away as possible on every shot. ...Protect the ball. TO differential will be important ..No careless passes.. bother them as much as possible . And finally make some shots...we have an edge on offense , hopefully we will take advantage of it. WWN2D2W...Make the slash...47/40/75...Hold their top 2 guys Holmes and Camara to 25 pts combined.....beat them on TOs by 1...Out rebound them by 3. Bottom line....Dayton is weak offense (except close in), and strong defense.... 2 great players...This game will be about the unstoppable force (the Bills when they are on ) vs the immovable object( Dayton when they don't turn the ball over)...If The Bills play smart , they will Fly high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billikenbill Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 SLUMedBilliken15 likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Schasz Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Can't really see this Bills team the way they have played this season gets a win at Dayton. When they play them at Chaifetz at best it will be a toss up and that's if the Bills play a 40 minute game. They didn't at home VS VCU which led to an L. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 11 hours ago, The Wiz said: Dayton will be the best defense we face this year. It is going to be tough BUT we can do it...just remember this...RI just beat them recently. That's all you need to know. Interesting. Everywhere I’ve seen has UD as the 5th best defense we will have faced up till now. Is this bc we’re playing @UD with that defense ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyJumpUp Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 22 minutes ago, Schasz said: Can't really see this Bills team the way they have played this season gets a win at Dayton. When they play them at Chaifetz at best it will be a toss up and that's if the Bills play a 40 minute game. They didn't at home VS VCU which led to an L. The ball movement through the first 8 minutes of the VCU game resulted in so many great looks. They looked in sync and smooth. I wish they could do that over a full 40 minutes. brianstl and Dr Bird like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheA_Bomb Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 3-9 vs UD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slubillikens43 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 With how this season's gone so far I wouldn't be surprised if we pulled out the dub Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VeniceMenace Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 52 minutes ago, TheA_Bomb said: 3-9 vs UD Hope Jett sits courtside again, just to get in Grant’s head. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billiken Rich Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 28 minutes ago, slubillikens43 said: With how this season's gone so far I wouldn't be surprised if we pulled out the dub Also had that thought. We haven't had great luck against great defenses though. If Dayton has a bunch of shot blockers we are screwed.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Elrond Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 I’m surprised that when @The Wiz puts the Billiken stats into his computer that it just doesn’t come right back with “Does Not Compute” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamJAMTIME Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Holmes will have 7 blocks on Friday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billiken Rich Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 9 minutes ago, RamJAMTIME said: Holmes will have 7 blocks on Friday. And that will be just on Yuri in the last 3 minutes of the game. I hope the blue font is warranted.. SLUMedBilliken15 and billiken_roy like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juniorbill76 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 The main question for Friday night: bourbon or scotch? Please discuss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, juniorbill76 said: The main question for Friday night: bourbon or scotch? Please discuss. both. throw in vodka and a little tequila shot in between each pour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BC1764 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Three certain things in life: Death, taxes, and SLU losing to Dayton in Dayton. I have no faith in them reversing it whatsoever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Fun fact, we're gonna lose by a lot of we don't attempt 20+ 3's. We're not gonna score a lot around the rim or within 10 feet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 9, 2023 Author Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 hour ago, wgstl said: Interesting. Everywhere I’ve seen has UD as the 5th best defense we will have faced up till now. Is this bc we’re playing @UD with that defense ? We have faced some good defenses this year. I would say the best we have seen so far is Auburn. Here is how that shakes out. Defense ........................Auburn.........................................Day PPG..................A-.................................................A+..15th ITN FG%.................A+..9th ITN.................................A+...12th ITN 3P%.................A+...4thITN.................................A+....9th ITN Reb..................C..................................................A+....14th ITN So I will stick with my original statement...this is the best defense we will see this year. But again, remember, Day is a team that lost to RI and GW back to back. And yes , I do know that we are playing at Day and Day is a difficult venue. On the other hand , RI and GW are the not the A10 cream of the crop. Beating them won't be easy but it can be done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Elrond Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 21 minutes ago, juniorbill76 said: The main question for Friday night: bourbon or scotch? Please discuss. Depending how it goes, may have to break out the Rocket Fuel. The mix, you ask? 1/3 rum, 1/3 vodka, 1/3 everclear, with red food coloring added. You can run your car on that, if it has a carburetor and you adjust it properly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willie Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 42 minutes ago, juniorbill76 said: The main question for Friday night: bourbon or scotch? Please discuss. That's easy. Always bourbon. I was born in Kentucky. HoosierPal and drkelsey55 like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrettJollyComedyHour Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 hour ago, juniorbill76 said: The main question for Friday night: bourbon or scotch? Please discuss. Bourbon. Woodford Reserve, rocks. Nuttin' betta. JettFlight5 and willie like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtyRican Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Any word on Okoro's status for tomorrow? He was holding his elbow like he couldn't move it as the game ended. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 9, 2023 Author Share Posted February 9, 2023 36 minutes ago, DirtyRican said: Any word on Okoro's status for tomorrow? He was holding his elbow like he couldn't move it as the game ended. Nothing on the official injury list DirtyRican likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cowboy II Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 19 hours ago, The Wiz said: Game Outlook... Just a left over stat from the VCU game written after the Bills/VCU contest for your consideration... Baldwin had a season stopper game...80/80/80/100 (the extra slash is the 2P category). ...37pts with at least 9 pts in each category.... 9 consecutive FTM...12pts from 3...16 pts from 2. We will play VCU again... maybe twice more...Baldwin will not have a game like that again, against us or anyone else. In the first game since our meeting with them , Baldwin's slash last night with Day was...29% (6-15) / 43% (6-14 / 0% (0-7) / 100% (2-2) . While this stat shows, that Baldwin's outbreak against us was an anomaly, there is a much more important point , coming out of the VCU/Day game last night. Baldwin and VCU shot poorly and yet that game came down to the final seconds. As you will see in the report card below, Dayton has a stellar defense....one of the best in the country...a defense that should have put VCU away when combined with VCU's weak shooting numbers. Dayton does have an Achilles heel. They turn the ball over. Last night , they turned it over 17 times. It allowed VCU to stay in the game till the very end. Getting other teams to turn it over isn't our strong suit , but the Bills did force 14 TOs against Rhody. Will they do that against Dayton? If we do, it would be a step toward victory. Dayton will be the best defense we face this year. It is going to be tough BUT we can do it...just remember this...RI just beat them recently. That's all you need to know. General Outlook.... At the beginning of conference play , I talked about the 11...the first 11 games of the season. In order for us to have a successful season we needed to do well during these games. The computer forecasted we would be favored in all of them and thought we would win between 7 and 9 games...we came in at 8...More importantly, was to become positioned for the end of the season. Becoming positioned meant finishing 1st after 11 games...which we have done now that we are tied for 1st on the lost side. As of today the computer is projecting us to finish 3rd in the A10. ..double bye...followed by games with VCU and Dayton. While all the games are important from here on out there is one game that can change the standings and propel us into a possible 1st place finish ...the game against VCU on Feb 28. No one said it was going to be easy but there still is a path to The Dance....A win in this game would be a big deal and make our path easier. For the NET watchers, a win would cause a decent move up in the rankings. Let's take it one game at a time. Report Card.... 1 category up( opp Rebs) .....1 category down (3P Def ). Another clean Card (no Ds or Fs). We are close to the honor roll on offense (B's or higher) if we can continue to shoot at the same 3P rate we have been, we can make it. Let's look at the report card... ...................SLU......................Day........................SLU.............................Day .................................OFF..........................................................DEF............. PPG...............B....................D+..............................C-..................................A+...16th ITN FG%...............B....................B+..............................A-..................................A+...13th ITN 3P%...............C+..................D+.............................B-..................................A+...9th ITN FT%...............B-...................D+.................................................................. Reb...............A.....................B...............................C+....................................A+...14th ITN OFF Rebs = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb UP...............Off....none....Def....Opp rebs Down.........Off......none...Def....3P% Top 100 In The Nation SLU Assts...Collins... 1st...unch......36th all time D1 list...1st all time A10 Assts/TO ratio...Collins...17th...dn Reb...Okoro...53rd...dn Blks...Okoro ...65th...up Off Reb...Okoro...24th ...dn Dou Dou...Collins...56th...dn 3PM....Jimerson...80th DAY PPG....Holmes...80th FG%...Holmes...27th Blks...Holmes...32nd Dou Dou...Holmes...13th Off Reb....Holmes...75th Rebs...Camara...35th...Holmes...100 Injury /Illness report and misc The Bills....2/8..Thames....Out indefinitely...undisclosed.....No timetable for return DAY...2/7...Smith...Ques...ankle...uncertain if he will be able to play Fri Keys to the game.... Stopping Holmes and Camara....as you can see by the report card Holmes is their main man. But if you want to win , you have to stop both... Dayton can make shots close to the basket...every step back from the basket their percentages drop quickly. Make them shoot from as far away as possible on every shot. ...Protect the ball. TO differential will be important ..No careless passes.. bother them as much as possible . And finally make some shots...we have an edge on offense , hopefully we will take advantage of it. WWN2D2W...Make the slash...47/40/75...Hold their top 2 guys Holmes and Camara to 25 pts combined.....beat them on TOs by 1...Out rebound them by 3. Bottom line....Dayton is weak offense (except close in), and strong defense.... 2 great players...This game will be about the unstoppable force (the Bills when they are on ) vs the immovable object( Dayton when they don't turn the ball over)...If The Bills play smart , they will Fly high. -oh great, another big that blocks shots, we typically don't do well with those -so would it be extra beneficial to our chances to win this game to make their guards shoot jumpers as opposed to blowing by us and getting to the basket? in other words, keep them in front of us? -hope we find our ft mojo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 9, 2023 Author Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Cowboy II said: -oh great, another big that blocks shots, we typically don't do well with those -so would it be extra beneficial to our chances to win this game to make their guards shoot jumpers as opposed to blowing by us and getting to the basket? in other words, keep them in front of us? -hope we find our ft mojo Anything we can do to keep them away from the basket would help. As good as they are on defense , they have trouble shooting unless they are close to the basket. If Majerus was reading this thread , he would say...make them shoot deep 2s. The farther from the basket the better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 2 hours ago, Cowboy II said: -so would it be extra beneficial to our chances to win this game to make their guards shoot jumpers as opposed to blowing by us and getting to the basket? in other words, keep them in front of us? Be careful of what you wish. In their twelve A10 conference games, the Flyers are second in the conference (to SLU) in 3%, 38.5% to our 38.9%. So call it a push between the two teams. In conference games, Brea is hitting 45% of his three's (25 of 55) , Elvis 48% (11 of 23), Blakney (who may not play) 41% (9 of 22), and Amzul 33% (14 of 42). Smith, who also may not play, is at 50%, but only 5 of 10. Even Holmes is 43%, albeit 3 of 7. Camera is 36% at 12 of 33. Keep them off the arc, and keep Holmes and Camera away from the rim. Sound difficult? Bottom line, they can shoot jumpers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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