The Wiz Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 First a great win...a quality win against a good team. How good....Our Strength of Schedule dropped from 306 on Fri to 166 today .... a huge drop in 1 game ...which can only happen when you play a team much better than you....For a more in depth look, see the post game analysis I did a few hours after the game on the SH spread thread.. So it is on to Pitt. An important game to show that the SH game was not a fluke. Both teams come into this game as B teams....both undefeated...however Pitt's 5 wins are all at home against weak teams....meanwhile we have our quality win which is an away game....As you can see by the spread ...this will be a very close game....i had to do a few simulations ...kind of like an election recount...to come up with a winner....Let's see what the report card shows.... .........................................Off.............................................................................Def .......................SLU..................................Pitt.........................................SLU...........................Pitt PPG...................D-....................................B...........................................A-..............................B+ FG%...................C....................................B+.........................................B+..............................A- 3P%....................F+....................................C+......................................B................................B FT%....................F.....................................B................................................................................ Reb.....................C.....................................C+..........................................B ..........................B- Nationally ranked Assts.....Johnson ....33rd in nation Those Bills defensive numbers are shining....unfortunately...Pitts are pretty much a match...They have the edge on offense. What we need to do to win.....Stop Wilson-Fame....hold him to 14 pts and 40% shooting....low scoring game....total pts..135...Cut the TOs in half...to 12......TO diff -2....slash ...45/ 33 / 67...Pitt slash....38/29/ -......out rebound them by 5 Bottom line...Can our defense stop their offense? if the answer is yes ...we win....I am assuming we make our slash Keep it going Bills An update ...Welmer is questionable for the Pitt game....Decision to be made game time. rgbilliken likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slu72 fan Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 4 hours ago, The Wiz said: First a great win...a quality win against a good team. How good....Our Strength of Schedule dropped from 306 on Fri to 166 today .... a huge drop in 1 game ...which can only happen when you play a team much better than you....For a more in depth look, see the post game analysis I did a few hours after the game on the SH spread thread.. So it is on to Pitt. An important game to show that the SH game was not a fluke. Both teams come into this game as B teams....both undefeated...however Pitt's 5 wins are all at home against weak teams....meanwhile we have our quality win which is an away game....As you can see by the spread ...this will be a very close game....i had to do a few simulations ...kind of like an election recount...to come up with a winner....Let's see what the report card shows.... .........................................Off.............................................................................Def .......................SLU..................................Pitt.........................................SLU...........................Pitt PPG...................D-....................................B...........................................A-..............................B+ FG%...................C....................................B+.........................................B+..............................A- 3P%....................F+....................................C+......................................B................................B FT%....................F.....................................B................................................................................ Reb.....................C.....................................C+..........................................B ..........................B- Nationally ranked Assts.....Johnson ....33rd in nation Those Bills defensive numbers are shining....unfortunately...Pitts are pretty much a match...They have the edge on offense. What we need to do to win.....Stop Wilson-Fame....hold him to 14 pts and 40% shooting....low scoring game....total pts..135...Cut the TOs in half...to 12......TO diff -2....slash ...45/ 33 / 67...Pitt slash....38/29/ -......out rebound them by 5 Bottom line...Can our defense stop their offense? if the answer is yes ...we win....I am assuming we make our slash Keep it going Bills An update ...Welmer is questionable for the Pitt game....Decision to be made game time. Welmer? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old guy Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Feel sorry for Welmer, he really wants to play but I am afraid he will succeed in blowing that ankle (perhaps not right away though) to a degree that will require a fusion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Basketbill Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 So the injury is not his foot? He was in a cast at the Troy game.....is he out of that already? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slu72 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 My best Alan Iverson imitation: Welmer? Welmar? We talking 'bout Wellmer? You got to be kidding me, man. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slu72 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Seriously, I hope he can play, but, first, how effective can he be? Second, how is this going to effect his long term health? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slu72 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 One interesting comparative score: Pitt 94 VMI 55 UK 92 VMI 82 Not sure how to read these tea leaves other than Pitt must play D a whole lot better than UK. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VeniceMenace Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Hankton returns well before Welmer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiseAndGrind Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Wiz - Welmer never playing for SLU again but I like your spread! Bills by 25. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 Point of information....The Welmer info is not a Wiz forecast but an injury update ...He has been upgraded to questionable...game time decision....in a close game he will have little or no playing time...next Sat against against cupcake Cen Ark may make more sense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billikenfan05 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 12 minutes ago, The Wiz said: Point of information....The Welmer info is not a Wiz forecast but an injury update ...He has been upgraded to questionable...game time decision....in a close game he will have little or no playing time...next Sat against against cupcake Cen Ark may make more sense. Is he going to play in a cast? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010andBeyond Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 7 hours ago, The Wiz said: First a great win...a quality win against a good team. How good....Our Strength of Schedule dropped from 306 on Fri to 166 today .... a huge drop in 1 game ...which can only happen when you play a team much better than you.... Wiz, why would SOS matter how good we are? Wouldn’t this big drop just mean Seton Hall is much better than our other opponents? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyMo213 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 2 hours ago, Basketbill said: So the injury is not his foot? He was in a cast at the Troy game.....is he out of that already? I believe it’s his ankle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gobillsgo Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 1 hour ago, The Wiz said: Point of information....The Welmer info is not a Wiz forecast but an injury update ...He has been upgraded to questionable...game time decision....in a close game he will have little or no playing time...next Sat against against cupcake Cen Ark may make more sense. Where are you hearing this, Wiz? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, gobillsgo said: Where are you hearing this, Wiz? It was reported by Sports Direct ...a sports info service Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CBFan Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Welmer was still in a cast when playing North Alabama it is probably a typo and more than likely Hankton or Jacobs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gobillsgo Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, The Wiz said: It was reported by Sports Direct ...a sports info service I just can’t see how that could be the case. Everything we’ve heard is that he’s out long term, possibly for good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 When doing data , if I come upon relevant Bills info, I report it..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 39 minutes ago, 2010andBeyond said: Wiz, why would SOS matter how good we are? Wouldn’t this big drop just mean Seton Hall is much better than our other opponents? That was my point ....142 spot drop in SOS doesn't just mean SH is better than N AL...but way better...like A-....could be a quality win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 21 minutes ago, CBFan said: Welmer was still in a cast when playing North Alabama it is probably a typo and more than likely Hankton or Jacobs. Here is the exact quote....Welmer has a left foot injury and will be a game time descision Wed against Pitt....11/18/19.......Status.... Questionable Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Littlebill Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 1 minute ago, The Wiz said: Here is the exact quote....Welmer has a left foot injury and will be a game time descision Wed against Pitt....11/18/19.......Status.... Questionable Where? Can you post a link? I don't see a thing on Twitter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Box and Won Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 12 minutes ago, The Wiz said: Here is the exact quote....Welmer has a left foot injury and will be a game time descision Wed against Pitt....11/18/19.......Status.... Questionable And I presume it said that he was unavailable for Seton Hall/Troy/SEMO? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACE Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 18 minutes ago, The Wiz said: Here is the exact quote....Welmer has a left foot injury and will be a game time descision Wed against Pitt....11/18/19.......Status.... Questionable I have a hard time buying that. Recently, Rammer said he thought his career was done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 8 minutes ago, Box and Won said: And I presume it said that he was unavailable for Seton Hall/Troy/SEMO? Yes....for the last few weeks ...Status was .....return undetermined Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bills_06 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Do we even know if he made the trip? It doesn't look like he was in the team photo of the play and I could only find one highlight showing SLU's bench but don't see him there either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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