The Wiz Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 General Outlook...One pattern that seems to be repeating is that good mid majors (which we have seen a few) have that 1 guy (or 2) that raises them above the pack. You know him ...he is the one who always gives us trouble...he always shows up in the report card section titled Top 100 ITN. Hofstra is one of those teams. So we should know the drill. The good news is that regardless of where we are now or in the future we are never far away from turning things around...we just need "that guy". Game Preview....HOF comes to town with a grade of B...not as good as our last 2 opponents but still a formidable challenge. They also come in with some "Pride" (their team name) Mr. Pride #1 is Thomas ...5th ITN in PPG ...Mr. Pride 2 is Dubar...79th ITN...stop these 2 guys and we win...btw Xav Johnson(SIU) is #1 ITN in PPG. We are the star makers. Meanwhile we remain at C+ . In the better news dept(I can't use good at this point) injuries are down to 3 vs 5 last game. A weak spot on their team is 3P D...hopefully we can take advantage and sink some from the arc. Also HOF is not a great reb team so we should be able to stay close on the boards. As you can see by the title , this game is a coin toss....the computer says good chance for OT. They have 1 Big...6 10 Fritz who has the potential to swat away some shots and if left alone get close to a double double. They have a 7 footer who comes in for a bit to rest him. But as far as HOF is concerned... it is all about the guards. They will play the entire game using 4 guards and a pole. They will focus on 3s and foul shots....We need to play accordingly....Again, stop Thomas and Dubar and we win. Report Card.... ..Report card... after the last game the card is neutral...1 up ...1 down Let's see what things look like.... ...................SLU......................HOF........................SLU.............................HOF .................................OFF..........................................................DEF............. PPG...............C.......................B+.............................D-.................................B- FG%...............D+.....................A-..............................D-................................A 3P%...............B+.......................A+..14th ITN...........C-................................C- FT%...............B-.........................A+..11th ITN................................................ Reb...............D-..........................B-.............................D-................................C- OFF Rebs = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb UP...............Off....none..........Def.....Reb Down.........Off......none.........Def....PPG Top 100 In The Nation SLU none HOF PPG.....Thomas 5th....Dubar...79th...side note... Xav Johnson (SIU)...1st FT%..........".....".....19th (95.5%)....Carlos...24th (95%) Asst.....Carlos...9th Stls........."....."....75th Injury /Illness report and misc The Bills.... Meadows...Dec 7...Quest....Back Hughes....Dec 7....Quest...Unknown injury Parker ....Nov 17....Out indefinitely...fractured foot HOF.... none Keys to the Game......Stop Thomas and Dubar WWN2D2W...Target slash...47/51/39/73....Hold Thomas and Dubar to 32 pts .....Beat HOF on TOs and steals. Rebound within 2 of them.....In order to win we need to hold them to 74 pts. Bottom line....If we beat HOF , we will have some "Pride" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 Hofstra is solid but feel like we can win one of these next 2 at home Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soderball Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 Hofstra by 6 Your stat lines say it all wiz, they are literally better than us at everything. Game still has to be played. We will see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 Alexa Datt and Scott Highmark are on the call tomorrow on Bally Sports. I believe this is her first game? Set your recorder. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dlarry Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 I’m taking the Bills +4.5 on FanDuel. I think they pull this one out. (this is not an endorsement of Travis Ford or Chris May) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, dlarry said: I’m taking the Bills +4.5 on FanDuel. I think they pull this one out. (this is not an endorsement of Travis Ford or Chris May) Ford lover NextYearBill likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dlarry Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Just now, wgstl said: Ford lover I’ve always been a Chevy guy. we should all bring signs to the game with these on them. It’s a classic and it gets the point across. Slu let the dogs out?, NextYearBill, TheChosenOne and 1 other like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 14 minutes ago, dlarry said: I’ve always been a Chevy guy. we should all bring signs to the game with these on them. It’s a classic and it gets the point across. Well played. Can’t believe no one made this play sooner Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr. Holly Hills Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 hour ago, dlarry said: I’ve always been a Chevy guy. we should all bring signs to the game with these on them. It’s a classic and it gets the point across. Brilliant Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NextYearBill Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 4pt dogs at home to Hofstra. Yep everything is fine Chris May kappy96 likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Schasz Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 10 hours ago, dlarry said: I’ve always been a Chevy guy. we should all bring signs to the game with these on them. It’s a classic and it gets the point across. I'm still loving my CRV. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheA_Bomb Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Good to hear about the injuries. Had to be difficult running practice with so many guys out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 Thought , I would do a final check since it was so close.....Not much difference...Hof by a half pt. Also the computer is picking Hof as a Big Dance team...getting their ticket as the conference winner....You might say they are the "Pride" of the CAA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheA_Bomb Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 HC Speedy Claxton is a Hofstra alum played under Jay Wright then won a Championship in his 1 season with Popavich at the Spurs. He was a scout for the warriors before joining the staff. In 3 years he has 1 regular season conference win and NIT bid. Dude learned from 2 of the best coaches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cowboy II Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 -to see our overall Def and 3pt defense graded as D- is sad -going to KenPom our non-con schedule is 171 and here comes Hofstra with the 81st most efficient offense and the 24th best 3pt shooting team, typically we allow a bunch of open 3's so this recipe doesn't seem to favor us but that's why the games are played -I hope Thames is healthy as I want to see if his stat line is real -Darlinstone Dunbar and Jacco Fritz, a good sounding front line Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 9 minutes ago, Cowboy II said: -to see our overall Def and 3pt defense graded as D- is sad -going to KenPom our non-con schedule is 171 and here comes Hofstra with the 81st most efficient offense and the 24th best 3pt shooting team, typically we allow a bunch of open 3's so this recipe doesn't seem to favor us but that's why the games are played -I hope Thames is healthy as I want to see if his stat line is real -Darlinstone Dunbar and Jacco Fritz, a good sounding front line Not to be too picky here....But the Bills have a C- in 3P D and a D- in FG%....which makes things actually worse....because we take more 2s than 3s....You will note that PPG D matches our FG% D...both D- If you look over at the Hof D column , you will see the same effect....Hof 3P Def is C- ...FG% is A...PPG Def is B-....again showing the fact that FG% Def is usually more important in PPG Def . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted December 10, 2023 Author Share Posted December 10, 2023 What a great game. I don't think you can get much closer to even than that. To me even is when the game is decided on the final possession. ...BINGO The Bills won this game on hard word, great defense and PRIDE (for those who have lost their Wiz code card...double meaning) Bolded statements are from the original post above.... They will focus on 3s.......They did focus on 3s taking 25 3PA....if you check the report card above you will see Hof was 14th ITN in 3P%...we stopped them with a 28%....Thomas(Mr Pride) went 3-12 from the arc (25%) Yes, he had 29 pts but he had to take a LOT of shots to get those points. A weak spot on their team is 3P D...hopefully we can take advantage and sink some from the arc...a weak spot was 3P D and we did take advantage....We shot 45% from the arc. Let's try this a different way....We took 4 more 3P shots than they did....AND made 6 more 3s than Hof. This was the difference in the game. This was the winning stat....3 P shooters were...GJ...5-11 (45%)...Hargrove...3-4(75%)...Dalger 3-8(38%)...Thames 1-1 (100%)...Medley 1-3 (33%). 13-29...45%... A+ shooting. A lot of other things to talk about...TOs were a problem in the 1st half ...10...but only 3 in the 2nd half and none in the final quarter....And even though we lost the TO battle...13-11... we still won the war...Hof pts off TOs..10pts...Bills...18pts. We stopped their big men...40 min totals...4 pts , 5 rebs And finally the much ballyhooed FT shooting was true as they clocked 93% to our weak 67%...but no major damage as they outscored us by only 3 at the charity stripe. In the end we did what we had to do and did it at the right time. Best to end with the bottom line from above.... Bottom line....If we beat HOF , we will have some "Pride"....We did and we do. billikenbill, Bay Area Billiken, Billikenbooster and 1 other like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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