kshoe Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 At this point I think the a-10 would be fortunate to get 3 teams in the dance. 2 is likely but one is even possible if VCU and Dayton continue to fall apart down the stretch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbizzle09 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 At this point I think the a-10 would be fortunate to get 3 teams in the dance. 2 is likely but one is even possible if VCU and Dayton continue to fall apart down the stretch. Right now, two seems to be the absolute bottom line mark in my opinion. Even if VCU only wins 2-3 more the rest of the season, their RPI will still be in the 20s or low 30s. They probably had the toughest OOC schedule in the country this season. Dayton isn't yet a 'lock' but they seem primed to win their next four games (St. Bonnie, St. Joe, Duquesne, GMU...all but one at home), meaning that they will in all likelihood finish with at least 22-23 wins and an RPI somewhere in the 30s to 40s. Beyond that, you have four teams that are classic bubble cases (GW, URI, UMass, Davidson) and two others (LaSalle and Richmond) with long shots but still a glimmer of hope. Looking at the resumes, it would seem UMass has a pretty good shot right now, due to their tough OOC schedule, combined with the fact that they've now won five in a row. They look to be finding their groove at the right time. After UMass, it gets a lot fuzzier, but you'd have to think that it is at least even money that one of the remaining five can sneak in as an 11-13 seed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taj79 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Unlike Steve Wolf who called Dayton a lock on the Tuesday telecast, I'm not so sure. VCU should be a lock by now. In Joe Lunardi's Bracketology as of February 9, he has VCU a five and Dayton as a 10. That's it for the A10. GeeDubya is in the last four out area; their loss by 14 at Duquesne last night is a real torpedo in the side. In the next four out, he has Rhode Island who I'm sure will be bye-bye given their one-point loss at St. Joe's last night. Still way too early to call. And then there is the "what if someone outsid eour top two wins the A10 autobid? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bizziken Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Unlike Steve Wolf who called Dayton a lock on the Tuesday telecast, I'm not so sure. VCU should be a lock by now. In Joe Lunardi's Bracketology as of February 9, he has VCU a five and Dayton as a 10. That's it for the A10. GeeDubya is in the last four out area; their loss by 14 at Duquesne last night is a real torpedo in the side. In the next four out, he has Rhode Island who I'm sure will be bye-bye given their one-point loss at St. Joe's last night. Still way too early to call. And then there is the "what if someone outsid eour top two wins the A10 autobid? Yeah, I think 3 is the likeliest scenario. Brooklyn could be crazy. I think one of those bubble teams will play themselves into an at-large bid. Rhode Island or UMass could end up winning the league. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Right now, I have VCU (A) , Davidson (A) and Dayton ( A- ) dancing.....with RI, Rich and GW (all B+) headed to NIT. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 What is the worst RPI of a team to win a major (ie, not Liberty in the Big South) conference tournament? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Littlebill Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 What was ours in Memphis? Help me out, as I was 7yo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Not sure what our RPI was that year, but SRS has that team at 58. That was definitely not a bad team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waldo027 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 SLU got a 9 seed in 2000. St Bonaventure won the A10 tourney in 2012 and got a 14 seed (yes the A10 is a major conference). Georgia won the SEC tourney in 08 and got a 14 seed. Mississippi State won the SEC tourney in 09 and got a 13 seed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Yeah, Bona was the one that made me ask the question. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACE Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 What was ours in Memphis? Help me out, as I was 7yo We wound up being a # 9 seed after winning that tourney, so it wasn't really a "miracle" in Memphis as has often been portrayed. SLU went on to play RickMa's Utes in the 1st round. Had a chance to tie and send to overtime, but Dave Fergerson clanked a 3-point attempt at the buzzer. Now if this year's team wins the conference tourney, it truly would be a miracle! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianstl Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Not sure what our RPI was that year, but SRS has that team at 58. That was definitely not a bad team. RPI was 53. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Littlebill Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 RPI was 53. Before or after the conference tourney? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Bona was 73 in RPI. Also far from a bad team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Would be pretty sweet to be a 16 seed and beat undefeated Kentucky. Hopefully no one takes that as an actual prediction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kshoe Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Would be pretty sweet to be a 16 seed and beat undefeated Kentucky. Hopefully no one takes that as an actual prediction. Once the A-10 tourney starts, we will be only 11 wins away from a national title... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Would be awesome to beat VCU in the conference tournament again. But that would likely mean winning a first round game to get to them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Pelican Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Once the A-10 tourney starts, we will be only 11 wins away from a national title... You must be a glass half-full guy. Although, I'm not sure there are more than a few drops in this year's glass. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Once the A-10 tourney starts, we will be only 11 wins away from a national title... And we've already won 10 games this year so we can clearly win 11 more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
almaman Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 so it wasn't really a "miracle" my default position on all uses of word, especially concerning in it's original use. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
almaman Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 You must be a glass half-full guy. Although, I'm not sure there are more than a few drops in this year's glass. more like once A10 tourney starts we're only a few hours away from departure time for our flight home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Basketbill Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 University of Washington made it to the semis of the pack 10 I think Romar's first year and made the tourney as an at large bid RPI 60. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deutschkind Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 SLU got a 9 seed in 2000. St Bonaventure won the A10 tourney in 2012 and got a 14 seed (yes the A10 is a major conference). Georgia won the SEC tourney in 08 and got a 14 seed. Mississippi State won the SEC tourney in 09 and got a 13 seed. So I expanded the question a little bit. St. Bona and Georgia both go Auto Bids and were seeded #14. Below is a list of bid-stealers, or teams from multi-bid conferences that got autobids and who, based on seeding, wouldn't have have gotten an at-large since the field expanded to 65 in 2001. This includes some teams from the WCC, Valley, Horizon, C-USA after the exodus, and the WAC. I don't know if you want to call those conferences major, but they had at-large teams these years and had a bid-stealer. 2013 - Ole Miss #12 2012 - Colorado #11 2012 - St. Bona #14 2011 - Richmond #12 2011 -Memphis #12 2010 - Houston #13 2009 - Miss Sate #13 2009 - Temple #11 2009 - Georgia #14 2009 - San Diego #13 2009 - Temple #12 2007 - New Mexico State #13 2006 - Xavier #14 2005 - Utah State #14 2005 - George Washington #12 2005 - New Mexico #12 2004 - N. Iowa #14 2003 - Co. State #14 2003 - San Diego #13 2003 - UW-Milwaukee #12 2002 - San Diego State #13 2002 - Creighton #12 2001 - Hawaii #12 2001 - Temple #11 2001 - Indiana State #13 2001 - BYU #12 Bonus: here are the lowest seeded at-large teams I saw: 2006 - Bradley and Air Force #13 at-large 2013 - La Salle/Boise State #13 play-in 2012 - BYU/Iona #14 play-in game, but that's also due to BYU's religious exceptions The committee seems fine with seeding play-in teams below where they should fall on the S-line due to travel considerations of mid-week games, so I consider 2012 and 2013 separate from 2006. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deutschkind Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 University of Washington made it to the semis of the pack 10 I think Romar's first year and made the tourney as an at large bid RPI 60. To go along with this: (facts valid through 2012 season) Highest rated team left out of tournament: #21 Mo State - 2006 # 30 Hofstra - 2006 #30 Air Force - 2007 (from the "Big Six" #40 Cincinnati 2006) Lowest rated teams to get at-larges #67 USC - # 64 Marquette - 2011 #63 NC State - 2005 and Stanford - 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Interesting, thanks. I would be curious if any of those other auto-bids listed above had RPIs lower than St. Bona's. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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