Jump to content

Vandy over the Bills by 11


The Wiz

Recommended Posts

First , in regards to the Vermont game....nice game, nice win....for a deeper analysis...see the thread..."Bills are trending"

Next, we are out of the hole ...we are now D- by the skin of our teeth. It is so close that we will fluctuate back and forth between F+ and D- in the next week based on what the teams around us do. But for now it is progress ...we are trending up ...we are better than we were at the beginning of the season. On the other end of the spectrum we are looking at another team that is vacillating....Vandy ( A- ) by the skin of their teeth also. And like us , it is so close they will be moving back and forth between A- & B+ during the coming week based on the other teams around them.

So as you can see by the headline, this won't be easy. Vandy beat a D- team (Penn) last night by 29 points. Of course, there are some differences in our game and the Penn game. First they played at Vandy....the Fetz won't be kind to Vandy. Second, even though Penn and the Bills are both D- ....Penn is playing near maximum capacity ...the Bills are trending up...more potential left...Third . we are a better team defensively ..Last night was Vandys 4th 79pts or more game...that won't happen against the Bills. Finally Vandy had a great game even by Vandy standards ...shooting 57% ...unlikely to do that against the Bills.

But as I pointed out , it won't be easy. Vandy averages 51.1% from the field ....7th in the nation and 39.3% from 3 (33rd in nation). This game will be important to Vandy as I have them as a bubble team at this point of the season. A loss to the Bills will be a blackmark against them come tournament time and could send them to the NIT. But Vandy is no Wichita St.

Here is what we need to do to win....

We always win when....

The Opp has 11 or fewer assists....7-0

Our FG% is 42.6%.....5-0

we make 23 or more FG.....4-0

We usually win when.......

AM has 4 or more FGM....6-1.....86%

AY has 10 pts or more......6-1....86%

We have 12 or fewer TO's....5-1...83%

Vandy weakness....Ball handling ...vulnerable to steals and TO's

And again the 3 ker words to winning....defense, defense , defense...not only to cool off their shooting but to take the ball away

Vandy is a lot like Vermont....they both start with V...they both can shoot well...and they are weak on ball handling....they are similar but Vandy is better. This will be our biggest win of the season if we can pull it off... No margin for error....We can do it if we bring our A game

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Vandy isn't a bad SEC team this year. Miss St is a bad SEC team, but not Vandy.

Most of the preseason predictions I've seen have both Vandy and Miss State in the bottom 3 or 4. The SEC is already a weak power conference. Other than Kentucky, the SEC isn't very good.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Most of the preseason predictions I've seen have both Vandy and Miss State in the bottom 3 or 4. The SEC is already a weak power conference. Other than Kentucky, the SEC isn't very good.

Teams have played more than ten games at this point. Borderline worthless preseason rankings are now completely worthless. While not world beaters, kenpom has vandy at 60 I'd say they are decent.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Most of the preseason predictions I've seen have both Vandy and Miss State in the bottom 3 or 4. The SEC is already a weak power conference. Other than Kentucky, the SEC isn't very good.

Vandy so far has played like a middle of the pack SEC team. Miss St looks like they will battle it out with Mizzou for the worst team in the SEC.

Also, the SEC isn't as bad as it has been in the past. UK is the only great team, but they will get four to six teams in the tournament.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Vandy is a good team ( A- ) They would be good in any conference. I currently have them as a bubble team for the tourney.

And while I hate the U word (Upset...over U-sed) a win by the Bills would be an upset in my book.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Backhand is on his way to Vegas for sex, gambling, illegal substances, and drinking. While there, backhand will compare the wiz's spread to that of Vegas and throw down some cash at the sportsbooks.

You gonna be in Vegas, Wiz?

Wiz is on tilt... Vegas line will be Vandy by 5 or so.

Usually The Wiz is right on the Vegas line within a point.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Backhand is on his way to Vegas for sex, gambling, illegal substances, and drinking. While there, backhand will compare the wiz's spread to that of Vegas and throw down some cash at the sportsbooks.

You gonna be in Vegas, Wiz?

No, I will be at the Bills game like all good Bills fans should be...Vegas on NYEve is amateur night out

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Vegas normally comes pretty close to Sagarin when we get to this point in the season. Sagarin says it should almost be 11.5. Vegas tends to give the Bills a point or two more for home court than Sagarin's standard home court. It will will be around 9 or 10. Unless there is an injury or something else I don't know about at this time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...