Jump to content

ESPN article


showthebill

Recommended Posts

Last week the NCAA was good enough to host me and about 20 other members of the media at its annual mock selection exercise for the Division I men's tournament. Going through the mock selection gave me a greater appreciation for how the real selection committee goes about its work. It turns out when you're comparing dozens of teams to each other and you have a limited amount of time to do so, something as simple as "good wins" really does matter. And "bad losses" sure don't help.

But are there teams that are better than they appear under the trusty old good-win/bad-loss test? Absolutely. I've picked five.

The ground rules here are simple. These are teams that combine two characteristics: 1) They are not currently ranked in the top 25 in either major poll, and 2) they are really good at basketball.

Saint Louis Billikens

It's easy to see why the Billikens are off the radar to pollsters, fans -- really, everyone. It's not simply that Rick Majerus' team hasn't beaten "anyone," as the saying goes. SLU's PR issues go deeper than that: It hasn't played anyone, period. Aside from a game in December against SWAC member Alabama State (current RPI No. 308), the Billikens' entire schedule from November to present day has been a remarkably thorough and intensive investigation of Division I's midsection. Their "best" win would probably be their 77-64 victory at home over Washington before Thanksgiving, and that, to say the least, will not exactly wow the committee. But here's the thing: Saint Louis can only play the opponents put in front of it, and it has done so very, very well. This is easily the best defense in the A-10, one that takes care of its defensive glass but also forces opponents to cough up the ball. (Somewhat unusual combination, that.) Joe Lunardi's latest projection pegs SLU as a No. 8 seed. If you're John Calipari or Jim Boeheim right now, you have to be thinking the last thing you need in the round of 32 is to run across a renowned defensive thinker like Majerus.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Early look at NCAA tourney sleepers

Last week the NCAA was good enough to host me and about 20 other members of the media at its annual mock selection exercise for the Division I men's tournament. Going through the mock selection gave me a greater appreciation for how the real selection committee goes about its work. It turns out when you're comparing dozens of teams to each other and you have a limited amount of time to do so, something as simple as "good wins" really does matter. And "bad losses" sure don't help.

But are there teams that are better than they appear under the trusty old good-win/bad-loss test? Absolutely. I've picked five.

The ground rules here are simple. These are teams that combine two characteristics: 1) They are not currently ranked in the top 25 in either major poll, and 2) they are really good at basketball.

Saint Louis Billikens

It's easy to see why the Billikens are off the radar to pollsters, fans -- really, everyone. It's not simply that Rick Majerus' team hasn't beaten "anyone," as the saying goes. SLU's PR issues go deeper than that: It hasn't played anyone, period. Aside from a game in December against SWAC member Alabama State (current RPI No. 308), the Billikens' entire schedule from November to present day has been a remarkably thorough and intensive investigation of Division I's midsection. Their "best" win would probably be their 77-64 victory at home over Washington before Thanksgiving, and that, to say the least, will not exactly wow the committee. But here's the thing: Saint Louis can only play the opponents put in front of it, and it has done so very, very well. This is easily the best defense in the A-10, one that takes care of its defensive glass but also forces opponents to cough up the ball. (Somewhat unusual combination, that.) Joe Lunardi's latest projection pegs SLU as a No. 8 seed. If you're John Calipari or Jim Boeheim right now, you have to be thinking the last thing you need in the round of 32 is to run across a renowned defensive thinker like Majerus.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If they really look deep enough, the only two bad losses we have are to LMU and UMass. We should never have played LMU. The game was unnecessary especially after 9 days on the road. UMass? I don't know why that went so bad, other than they shot lights out. Maybe the Temple game because it was at home.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If they really look deep enough, the only two bad losses we have are to LMU and UMass. We should never have played LMU. The game was unnecessary especially after 9 days on the road. UMass? I don't know why that went so bad, other than they shot lights out. Maybe the Temple game because it was at home.

UMass on the road, and Temple? Are you kidding?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If they really look deep enough, the only two bad losses we have are to LMU and UMass. We should never have played LMU. The game was unnecessary especially after 9 days on the road. UMass? I don't know why that went so bad, other than they shot lights out. Maybe the Temple game because it was at home.

Hindsight is 20/20...

The reality is that we don't have any elite scorers. We don't have Erwin Claggett consistently swishing awkward falling sideways 3s off the dribble, we don't have Larry Hughes breaking down defenders at will. If we're not hitting open shots, and our opposition is hitting the difficult contested ones, we're going to lose.

We could make the Elite 8 and we could lose in the first round.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If they really look deep enough, the only two bad losses we have are to LMU and UMass. We should never have played LMU. The game was unnecessary especially after 9 days on the road. UMass? I don't know why that went so bad, other than they shot lights out. Maybe the Temple game because it was at home.

-i don't think losing to top 100 rpi teams on the road are bad losses and neither is 14rpi at home

Link to comment
Share on other sites

No bad losses for SLU....LMU (road) = C+...UMass (road) = B ....Dayt (road) =B ..Tem (home) = A-...NM (road) = A+

As for the article...I liked what they had to say on the Bills.

I agreed with 3 teams they picked. SLU, Cal & Memphis....I disagreed with the other 2...Zags and Drexel....I would have gone with K-St. and Tex.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Alright, maybe I over reacted to the losses. But you have to admit that loss to LMU two days after we slip into the rankings was a killer. I really think had we won that one we'd have stood a good chance of still being ranked to this day. The L to UNM at the Pit would not have hurt as bad nor the L at Dayton one game later. But I like the PD's column on Humans v Computers. Big Brother knows all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree- like it or not that LMU loss has haunted us all season. The Temple game at home was a game we should have won as the zebras were protecting Temple and controlled the game's outcome.

When Temple played X, ESPN said that Temple's "Good wins" were against us and Duke.

What say you?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Duke in Greensboro is not appealing to me at all

sure there'd be some cameron crazies there, but everyone knows, duke people aren't from NC.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...