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LaS over The Bills by 5


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General Outlook....Post season A-10.....NCAA...Day 4th seed....NIT chances...Rich ...82%....VCU...50%...Meanwhile back at the PIG pen....it will be the battle of the bottom feeders......This could be a preview of the first game of the A-10 tourney next month.    If PIGs fly high, we can leave the sty.

Let's take a look at the game

Game Preview....Well the good news is their has been nice improvement on the report card ( Off and Def...although their is still lots of room for improvement )....the bad news is that it was canceled out by TOs. Going forward if we can bring the TOs under control we can start winning games again.  Many of you may be tired of me talking about TOs the last couple of months but that is the elephant in the room.  Again,  when we lose the TO battle we lose the game 83% of the time.   Part of the problem on the TO spread is opponent  TOs ...we are not generating enough to cancel out our TOs.    Opp TOs= F-  19th worst ITN. Finally when we win the TO spread our chances to win become 50-50...so we still  have to play basketball after the TOs  improve.

LaS (C- ) is not as good as Fham. Meanwhile, The Bills have fallen to D+ .....The Explorer  Off is slightly better than Fham ...but their shooting is still below The Bills...we need to sweep them on the slash....also  the LaS defense is worse than Fham....but about the same as ours.  We definitely have a chance to beat them IF we control TOs.  They do have some players that can shoot the  three...Brickus and  sub Morrero.  When left open they are A shooters...when guarded they are D shooters. Their inside guy is Jocius...So here is the LaS play...Brickus gets the ball and shoots a 3 ...if he doesn't have an open shot he passes to Jocius who will shoot inside...if he doesn't have a shot he will pass it back to Brickus....wash, rinse , repeat. 

Let's look at the card....

Report Card.... 

The card is positive.....6 up ( 2 Off & 4 Def) and none down

.................SLU............LaS................SLU.....................LaS

...........................OFF..........................................DEF..........

PPG..........D+..................C....................D-......................D+

FG%..........D+..................D-...................D.......................D+

3P%...........B+...................C.....................D+...................D

FT%..........B-...................C.................................................

Reb...........D.....................D+..................D+......................F+

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP...............Off....FG%...3P%....Def...PPG...FG%...3P%...Reb

Down.........Off....none....FT%......Def...none

Top 100 In The Nation

SLU

 Min /gm...Jimerson ...58th...dn

LaS

MPG...Brickus...9th.....Brantley... 41st

Asst...Brickus...49th

Injury /Illness report and misc

The Bills....None

LaS....None

Keys to the Game.......Don't let Brickus get open 3s....Break up the Brickus to Jocius combo....keep the good shooting going but this time make some FTs....Did I mention TOs?

WWN2D2W...Target slash-- beat them in all 3 categories of the slash....Hold LaS  to 71 pts....Match them in  TOs and Rebs....Hold their top 2 scores to 25pts

Bottom line....Explore new territory...Land of the Win...It is located on the other side of Lake Turnover.

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3 hours ago, The Wiz said:

General Outlook....Post season A-10.....NCAA...Day 4th seed....NIT chances...Rich ...82%....VCU...50%...Meanwhile back at the PIG pen....it will be the battle of the bottom feeders......This could be a preview of the first game of the A-10 tourney next month.    If PIGs fly high, we can leave the sty.

Let's take a look at the game

Game Preview....Well the good news is their has been nice improvement on the report card ( Off and Def...although their is still lots of room for improvement )....the bad news is that it was canceled out by TOs. Going forward if we can bring the TOs under control we can start winning games again.  Many of you may be tired of me talking about TOs the last couple of months but that is the elephant in the room.  Again,  when we lose the TO battle we lose the game 83% of the time.   Part of the problem on the TO spread is opponent  TOs ...we are not generating enough to cancel out our TOs.    Opp TOs= F-  19th worst ITN. Finally when we win the TO spread our chances to win become 50-50...so we still  have to play basketball after the TOs  improve.

LaS (C- ) is not as good as Fham. Meanwhile, The Bills have fallen to D+ .....The Explorer  Off is slightly better than Fham ...but their shooting is still below The Bills...we need to sweep them on the slash....also  the LaS defense is worse than Fham....but about the same as ours.  We definitely have a chance to beat them IF we control TOs.  They do have some players that can shoot the  three...Brickus and  sub Morrero.  When left open they are A shooters...when guarded they are D shooters. Their inside guy is Jocius...So here is the LaS play...Brickus gets the ball and shoots a 3 ...if he doesn't have an open shot he passes to Jocius who will shoot inside...if he doesn't have a shot he will pass it back to Brickus....wash, rinse , repeat. 

Let's look at the card....

Report Card.... 

The card is positive.....6 up ( 2 Off & 4 Def) and none down

.................SLU............LaS................SLU.....................LaS

...........................OFF..........................................DEF..........

PPG..........D+..................C....................D-......................D+

FG%..........D+..................D-...................D.......................D+

3P%...........B+...................C.....................D+...................D

FT%..........B-...................C.................................................

Reb...........D.....................D+..................D+......................F+

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP...............Off....FG%...3P%....Def...PPG...FG%...3P%...Reb

Down.........Off....none....FT%......Def...none

Top 100 In The Nation

SLU

 Min /gm...Jimerson ...58th...dn

LaS

MPG...Brickus...9th.....Brantley... 41st

Asst...Brickus...49th

Injury /Illness report and misc

The Bills....None

LaS....None

Keys to the Game.......Don't let Brickus get open 3s....Break up the Brickus to Jocius combo....keep the good shooting going but this time make some FTs....Did I mention TOs?

WWN2D2W...Target slash-- beat them in all 3 categories of the slash....Hold LaS  to 71 pts....Match them in  TOs and Rebs....Hold their top 2 scores to 25pts

Bottom line....Explore new territory...Land of the Win...It is located on the other side of Lake Turnover.

Lose to perennial bottom feeder Fordham at home for the first time, and then travel to Philly as a five point dog to perennial bottom feeder LaSalle.  Will this season ever end?

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I have watched La Salle enough this year to know Jocius is nothing but a weak Euro four.  The only way you can say he is their inside game is that is because they have no one else able to go inside except Ryan Zan who is a 6'7" light sophomore.  La Salle remains the B&B boys ---- Brickus and Khalil Brantley.  Both average around 15 ppg with Brickus as the 1 and Brantley the two.  Dashon Sheperd is a nice player but at 6'5" usually too smalel to battle inside with any consistency.  Anwar Gill is the same as he was four years ago --- a slasher to the basket with little else going for him.  Andres Marrero is their sixth man and isn't too bad but that is as far as they go.  I will say that this year, they are all allowing Frannie Dunphy to coach them better and it is working out better.  

If we get beat by Rokas Jocius, we really suck.

 

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1 hour ago, Taj79 said:

I have watched La Salle enough this year to know Jocius is nothing but a weak Euro four.  The only way you can say he is their inside game is that is because they have no one else able to go inside except Ryan Zan who is a 6'7" light sophomore.  La Salle remains the B&B boys ---- Brickus and Khalil Brantley.  Both average around 15 ppg with Brickus as the 1 and Brantley the two.  Dashon Sheperd is a nice player but at 6'5" usually too smalel to battle inside with any consistency.  Anwar Gill is the same as he was four years ago --- a slasher to the basket with little else going for him.  Andres Marrero is their sixth man and isn't too bad but that is as far as they go.  I will say that this year, they are all allowing Frannie Dunphy to coach them better and it is working out better.  

If we get beat by Rokas Jocius, we really suck.

 

I hope you are right and we can take Jocius out of his game.  At 6'10 and 260 he is 10th in the A-10 in 2P%  shooting 59%. In the last game against St. J ( a defense similar to ours)  he scored 15 pts and 6 rebs in 22 min.  If we can stop Jocius,  maybe then we can concentrate on closing the TO spread and outperforming LaS all the way across the slash line as we are the better shooting team.

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Jocius is not what I would call good ...... however, given our lack of any inside presence on the defensive end, he may make me eat my words and evaluation.  If the matchups play out as I see it then medley gets Brickus, Hughes gets Brantley, Hargrove gets Shepherd, Jimerson gets Gill and Ezewiro gets Jocius.  Straight up, I give the advantage to La Salle for Brickus and brantley with maybe a push in the Hargrove matchup if Shepherd is off his game.  Ezewiro is better than Jocius and the Jimerson/Gill matchup becomes one of speed and quickness --- Gill might be the better athlete but Jimerson is the better basketball player.  La Salle has Marrero on the bench and he is a streaky gunner.

A cold Wednesday night at the Gola Mausoleum.

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We did what we were supposed to do (finally) and it turned into a win.

Bolded text from the original post in this thread.

when we lose the TO battle we lose the game 83% of the time...In this game we didn't lose the TO spread...Part of the problem on the TO spread is opponent  TOs ...we are not generating enough to cancel out our TOs...In this game we did just that and got a 10-10 tie which gives us the chance to win. ....when we win or tie the TO spread our chances to win become 50-50...so we still  have to play basketball after the TOs  improve...which means...Target slash-- beat them in all 3 categories of the slash...We did 56/45/84  to the LaS slash of 39/36/76...ball game.

keep the good shooting going but this time make some FTs...we did...see previous line above

Match them in  TOs and Rebs...We did and even beat them on rebs...nice

One last thing on TOs...Some may say, is this TO thing a big deal ...after all we tied them on TOs and still won by 18 ...the answer is yes, it is a big deal....opp TOs is our weakest category and tonight there was no TO spread...10=10...Pts off TOs for the Bills =20...pts off TOs for LaS = 10...plus by not giving up our usually spread we may have denied LaS   7 or 8 more  opportunities to score = about 8 pts...Pts off TOs spread 10 + 8 pts off lost LaS opportunities = the game's spread of 18 pts...that is why this is  important.

I leave you with the bottom line ....

Bottom line....Explore new territory...Land of the Win...It is located on the other side of Lake Turnover...Let's stay on the other side of the lake.

 

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