The Wiz Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 So we agree that five or six automatic bids out of the A-10 is wishful thinking. I think a best case would be four, plus a tournament bid (a la Bonawelding last year). I am into rooting for SLU more so than the number of teams the A-10 gets in. If you only have three A-10 teams in now... IF LaSalle and Temple finish strong and have better RPIs and we don't go very deep in the conference tournament, we could be in trouble. I see rooting for the A-10 in the nonconference, but that's over. I'm rooting against Temple now. If it comes down to taking one more A-10 team or another BCS team, I don't have faith in the selection committee. Yes we agree 5 or 6 is out....I think 4 is the max even with a dark horse tourney winner. So if the season ended today the Big 3 are in SLU, VCU , Butler and then LaSalle with a 67% chance. If RI comes out of nowhere and wins the tourney and then gets a bid, LaS would be out. The only way you could have more than 4 bids is if you had 4 teams reach the A level and then have a dark horse....almost impossible because you would then have the dark horse knocking down the good teams. Also it would be difficult to have 4 teams reach the A level because they are playing one another and knocking each other down the rest of the season. The other scenario is the top 3 all start losing and the A-10 winds up with 1 or 2 bids. Most likely scenario...A-10 with 3 bids (the Bills one of them) and a 2/3 chance for 1 more( LaS currently...assuming they beat the Bonnies tomorrow) We just need to stay focused and that will be JC's job. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbizzle09 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yes we agree 5 or 6 is out....I think 4 is the max even with a dark horse tourney winner. So if the season ended today the Big 3 are in SLU, VCU , Butler and then LaSalle with a 67% chance. If RI comes out of nowhere and wins the tourney and then gets a bid, LaS would be out. The only way you could have more than 4 bids is if you had 4 teams reach the A level and then have a dark horse....almost impossible because you would then have the dark horse knocking down the good teams. Also it would be difficult to have 4 teams reach the A level because they are playing one another and knocking each other down the rest of the season. The other scenario is the top 3 all start losing and the A-10 winds up with 1 or 2 bids. Most likely scenario...A-10 with 3 bids (the Bills one of them) and a 2/3 chance for 1 more( LaS currently...assuming they beat the Bonnies tomorrow) We just need to stay focused and that will be JC's job. I'm not going to dispute your numbers, Wiz. But I also think you have to take into account that Temple might be given the benefit of the doubt if they end up with a decent RPI (~50) and win at least one game in the conference tourney. Temple has been to the tournament for 5 straight seasons and has a lot of name recognition. If they are within striking distance, I can see the selection committee letting them in based on their history and consecutive trips to the tournament. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I'm not going to dispute your numbers, Wiz. But I also think you have to take into account that Temple might be given the benefit of the doubt if they end up with a decent RPI (~50) and win at least one game in the conference tourney. Temple has been to the tournament for 5 straight seasons and has a lot of name recognition. If they are within striking distance, I can see the selection committee letting them in based on their history and consecutive trips to the tournament. I would agree that Temple has a chance with the operative word being chance. My B+ teams are teams that are not "in" yet but that could put themselves in a position to get a bid. Let's call it near the bubble. Those teams are Dayton, St. J, Temp, and LaS Dayton and St. J would have to win all their remaining games and then they might still fall short depending on what other teams do. If Temple wins out they would move to the 2/3 chance. LaS has the best shot right now. If they win there next 1 or 2 games they move to the 2/3 chance of being in. In the end it looks like the A-10 is headed for 3 bids with a decent chance of 4 or if teams stumble 2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taj79 Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 Posted a 4 and 1 last night to go up to 39 - 11 .780. The YouDee cheer had been augmented. Instead of "Gooooooooooooooooo, Dayton Flyers" it can now be done as "Goooooooooooooo Home, Dayton Flyers" as in NI(A10)T --- Not In A10 Tourney. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdog Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 At the risk of getting ahead of ourselves, Butler's loss to Charlotte last night gives us a chance to be in 1st place alone in the A-10 with victories in our next two games. With the home cooking, I like our chances of getting that done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Duquesne up 6 on Temple with 3:45 to play Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Duquesne up 6. 2:35 to play. Game in Temple. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Duquesne turning the ball over every possession now. Still lead by 4 with 1:44 left Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Duquesne misses a ton of free throws down the stretch. Kyatt gets and And 1 to tie it with 7 secs left. Wyatt to the line now for 1 shot and the lead. Temple up 1 with 7 seconds left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Duquesne fouled on the shot. 2 seconds left. To the line for 2. First one is good. Tie game. Second shot is good. Temple misses a buzzer beater. Duquesne beats Temple Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kshoe Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Unreal result. There is no such thing as a gimmie game in this league as evidenced by tonight and butler last night and Rhode Island a few weeks ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Just shows we have to bring our best night in and night out. According to the up to the minute updates on RPI Forecast, Temple's RPI fell from 44 to 59 with that loss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pretty_ricky Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 anybody got a feed for vcu vs umass??? firstrow is letting me down Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 SIUE looks like they'll beat Murray St. Slight RPI boost according to Jerry Palm's RPI Tool Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiseAndGrind Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Remember when people suggested Steve Prohm? Ouch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
almaman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 supposed to be on CBS Sports Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pretty_ricky Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 supposed to be on CBS Sports unfortunately the SLU cable package doesn't include CBSsports, i'll have to head to the bar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheA_Bomb Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I used to get very into rooting for the A-10 to get as many bids as possible, but this year it feels less important to me. For example, Temple is gone no matter what so rooting for them to do well doesn't seem to matter. With our status obviously up in the air, its hard to know if any revenues associated with other A-10 teams in the dance will make their way to SLU. Of course, if we found out tomorrow that we were a part of the C7 we'd immediately have rooting interests in teams like Marquette, G-Town, Butler, Creighton (maybe), and others. If we find out we are left behind, our rooting interests are with LaSalle, VCU (maybe), UMass, etc. The waiting is the hardest part... So true I hope they don't Break down when we go Runnin down a dream Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dlarry Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 <blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="pretty_ricky" data-cid="342838" data-time="1360896848"><p> unfortunately the SLU cable package doesn't include CBSsports, i'll have to head to the bar</p></blockquote> Nothing unfortunate about be forced to go to a bar! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waldo027 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 HAVOC gave up 42 in the first half to UMass and is losing by 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pretty_ricky Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 <blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="pretty_ricky" data-cid="342838" data-time="1360896848"><p>unfortunately the SLU cable package doesn't include CBSsports, i'll have to head to the bar</p></blockquote> Nothing unfortunate about be forced to go to a bar! words to live by Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbizzle09 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 VCU imposing their will early in 2nd half. Up by 7 over UMass with 16:30 left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 17-1 run for VCU to start the half Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbizzle09 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 UMass can't get anything going right now. Down 13 with about 14 min left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dlarry Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 UMass getting gang raped whenever they have the ball. Announcers sucking off Shaka Smart and the Rams. They should probably be blowing the VCU marketting department instead. Without great marketting VCU is seen as a medicore team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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