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The Bills and VT Even


The Wiz

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General Outlook.... A good win yesterday...dampened by the loss of Parker.  But all is not lost...remember we won yesterday with Jimerson scoring no points and a good 4th qtr without Parker...something we haven't be able to do with Parker playing.  If we can get 1 or 2 of the missing players back soon(Eze or Mag) that would be a boost.

 Game Preview....As you can see by the spread....close game...possible OT...I tried to turn up the sensitivity on the computer asking it to go 3 decimal places.  It then  said Bills by 2/3  of a point and then got huffy with me and printed out the following....Stop being a homer....with only 3 D1 games played and Parker out you should be happy with a tossup....leave it at even.

Encouraging sign yesterday was the strong 4th quarter finish. ....Both teams today grade out at B-. As you will see in the report card below VT has one of the top defenses in the country right now.  Yesterday's WY team  had one of the top offenses ITN ....I mentioned  that it was inflated by weak competition and was unsustainable and that the Bills would be the team to slow them down.  Same thing with VT except on defense... Inflated numbers built on wins over Plattsburg and Merrimack...Unsustainable defensive numbers which again will have to be brought down by the Bills.   This will be our toughest game so far as the Catamounts have some excellent 3P shooters.  We win this game if a player(s) step up today and have a strong 4th quarter again.

 

Report Card.... 

Let's see what things look like....

...................SLU......................VT........................SLU.............................VT

.................................OFF..........................................................DEF.............

PPG...............B.........................C.............................C+..................................A+...11th ITN

FG%...............B-......................B...............................B+...................................A-

3P%...............A-......................B+............................B+....................................A+...9th ITN

FT%...............B-......................C+.......................................................................

Reb...............C-.........................C+.............................F....................................B+

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP...............Off....FG%...FT%.......Def.....3P%

Down.........Off......Reb.................Def....FG%.....Reb

Top 100 In The Nation

SLU

TOs/Gm....70th  ITN

VT

3P%...Bogues...#1 ....Ndayishimiye...56th

TO/gm.....21st

Injury /Illness report and misc

The Bills....

Parker ....Nov 17....Foot...possible broken bone...out indefinitely

VT.....

Forillo (F)...Nov 6th...knee...out till mid Dec

 

Keys to the game...Stop the 3...play a strong 4th qtr ....have some one step up with a good game

WWN2D2W...48/40/75...Hold them to 44%FG...35%  3s...Hold their top 3 scorers to 35 pts...Keep them to 70 pts....Our rebs + stls= Vt rebs...beat them on TOs

Bottom line....This game will be won by the team that wants it the most....If the Bills play like yesterday ...we win and turn the Catamount into a kitty.

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1 hour ago, The Wiz said:

General Outlook.... A good win yesterday...dampened by the loss of Parker.  But all is not lost...remember we won yesterday with Jimerson scoring no points and a good 4th qtr without Parker...something we haven't be able to do with Parker playing.  If we can get 1 or 2 of the missing players back soon(Eze or Mag) that would be a boost.

 Game Preview....As you can see by the spread....close game...possible OT...I tried to turn up the sensitivity on the computer asking it to go 3 decimal places.  It then  said Bills by 2/3  of a point and then got huffy with me and printed out the following....Stop being a homer....with only 3 D1 games played and Parker out you should be happy with a tossup....leave it at even.

Encouraging sign yesterday was the strong 4th quarter finish. ....Both teams today grade out at B-. As you will see in the report card below VT has one of the top defenses in the country right now.  Yesterday's WY team  had one of the top offenses ITN ....I mentioned  that it was inflated by weak competition and was unsustainable and that the Bills would be the team to slow them down.  Same thing with VT except on defense... Inflated numbers built on wins over Plattsburg and Merrimack...Unsustainable defensive numbers which again will have to be brought down by the Bills.   This will be our toughest game so far as the Catamounts have some excellent 3P shooters.  We win this game if a player(s) step up today and have a strong 4th quarter again.

 

Report Card.... 

Let's see what things look like....

...................SLU......................VT........................SLU.............................VT

.................................OFF..........................................................DEF.............

PPG...............B.........................C.............................C+..................................A+...11th ITN

FG%...............B-......................B...............................B+...................................A-

3P%...............A-......................B+............................B+....................................A+...9th ITN

FT%...............B-......................C+.......................................................................

Reb...............C-.........................C+.............................F....................................B+

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP...............Off....FG%...FT%.......Def.....3P%

Down.........Off......Reb.................Def....FG%.....Reb

Top 100 In The Nation

SLU

TOs/Gm....70th  ITN

VT

3P%...Bogues...#1 ....Ndayishimiye...56th

TO/gm.....21st

Injury /Illness report and misc

The Bills....

Parker ....Nov 17....Foot...possible broken bone...out indefinitely

VT.....

Forillo (F)...Nov 6th...knee...out till mid Dec

 

Keys to the game...Stop the 3...play a strong 4th qtr ....have some one step up with a good game

WWN2D2W...48/40/75...Hold them to 44%FG...35%  3s...Hold their top 3 scorers to 35 pts...Keep them to 70 pts....Our rebs + stls= Vt rebs...beat them on TOs

Bottom line....This game will be won by the team that wants it the most....If the Bills play like yesterday ...we win and turn the Catamount into a kitty.

We held them to under 70 points in the first half anyway.

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I will make this short and sweet and focus on 1 stat...one that doesn't show up on the box score but tells the whole story....

2P%....

VT...64%

SLU....35%

1st half was even worse.....77% VT....24%  SLU

Had we just shot average from inside the arc(many of the misses were layups and bunnies)....we would have made 6  more shots...and won by 2pts. And that doesn't  factor  in the fact they shot way above their averages.  It was ours to win with just an average game  even with their hot hand.

 

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47 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

I will make this short and sweet and focus on 1 stat...one that doesn't show up on the box score but tells the whole story....

2P%....

VT...64%

SLU....35%

1st half was even worse.....77% VT....24%  SLU

Had we just shot average from inside the arc(many of the misses were layups and bunnies)....we would have made 6  more shots...and won by 2pts. And that doesn't  factor  in the fact they shot way above their averages.  It was ours to win with just an average game  even with their hot hand.

 

Hargrove tries hard.   He has his great moments, but he is over his head in the lane.   And when the wings come to help it leaves shooters open.   

At this point put Zing in more and let him develop.   He isn't going to outplay hargrove yet, but the 6'3" experience needs to end unless we focus more on all our full court pressure defense and running on offense.   We did not defend the lane well today because simply we cannot.  And help only exposed the 3.  Our best moments were when we played fast to start the second half and some after the last timeout until we just threw in the towel.

 

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4 minutes ago, billiken_roy said:

Hargrove tries hard.   He has his great moments, but he is over his head in the lane.   And when the wings come to help it leaves shooters open.   

At this point put Zing in more and let him develop.   He isn't going to outplay hargrove yet, but the 6'3" experience needs to end unless we focus more on all our full court pressure defense and running on offense.   We did not defend the lane well today because simply we cannot.  And help only exposed the 3.  Our best moments were when we played fast to start the second half and some after the last timeout until we just threw in the towel.

 

I agree with a lot of this. If the Georgetown center had been cleared TJ would be playing at the 4 where his defense and shot blocking from the weak side would be a lot better. He just isn't big enough to be a force in the middle. As I was trying to say earlier the multiple defenses we tried is a good thing and I do think Bruce has a chance .  

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17 minutes ago, billiken_roy said:

Hargrove tries hard.   He has his great moments, but he is over his head in the lane.   And when the wings come to help it leaves shooters open.   

At this point put Zing in more and let him develop.   He isn't going to outplay hargrove yet, but the 6'3" experience needs to end unless we focus more on all our full court pressure defense and running on offense.   We did not defend the lane well today because simply we cannot.  And help only exposed the 3.  Our best moments were when we played fast to start the second half and some after the last timeout until we just threw in the towel.

 

I do think we may be at our best with THJ playing some 4 and back up 5.  or at least 50/50 minutes with Bruce.  Its just too much(not his fault) for him to expect to do this more than 20 minutes, and even then. Bruce doesnt seem like a good rebounder, so THJ at the 4 still helps with that. 

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23 minutes ago, billiken_roy said:

Hargrove tries hard.   He has his great moments, but he is over his head in the lane.   And when the wings come to help it leaves shooters open.   

At this point put Zing in more and let him develop.   He isn't going to outplay hargrove yet, but the 6'3" experience needs to end unless we focus more on all our full court pressure defense and running on offense.   We did not defend the lane well today because simply we cannot.  And help only exposed the 3.  Our best moments were when we played fast to start the second half and some after the last timeout until we just threw in the towel.

 

That's why we need either Ewe or Mag to clear eligibility waivers . One (or both) would free up Hargrove.  In the meantime, let's hope this was a shooting outlier today.

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