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About davidnark

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  • Birthday 04/28/1975

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    University City, Missouri

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  1. davidnark

    The Bills over SIU by 1

    I don't have any spreadsheets or complicated data analysis, but the eye test tells me that we should be heavy favorites. I just don't see how SIU can match up with us.
  2. davidnark

    2018-19 A10 vs P5

    How does Dayton = SVU?
  3. davidnark

    S Hall over the Bills by 21

    I believe the Wiz has told us in year's past that he needs 8-10 games per team to have an "n" high enough to provide data with statistical significance at a high Confidence Interval.
  4. davidnark

    The Bills over N Ala by 23

    I look at this team right now and conclude that the parts are greater than the sum, which is not where any team wants to be. Without being an inside in the locker room and practices, it is impossible to know the source of the primary issues, but I am certainly willing to give it time to allow Coach Ford and his staff to work it out. The most concerning issue is that the apparently super-weak condition of the A-10 places an increased importance on these early non-conference match-ups.
  5. davidnark


    I thought it was simple. Troy was a decent team with above-average athletes and good shooters. Their coach was smart and packed in a tight zone, taking away our strength advantage and forcing us to beat them with outside shots. Right now, we have no reliable outside shooter. Coach Ford wisely went to Wiley and asked him to fill that role. Wiley came out cold and missed his first 4 or 5. Once he got going, it gave us just enough to pull it out. As the season goes on, we need to find consistent outside shooters, improve free throw shooting, finish better on the break, and continue to develop Gordon's game. All will be well.
  6. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

    Promotion and relegation is the most overrated concept in all of sports, and I closely follow at least 4 European leagues that use it. It basically completely disheartens the fan bases of 3 or 4 teams every season, and drives false excitement across the fan bases of 3 or 4 new teams because they get to become the annual whipping boys of the big clubs. You know what would be much better? A little parity across the league, and a meaningful post-season playoff system that rewards the top quarter or third of the league. It is foolish to think two minor soccer leagues in the US will overtake the major league--despite not having the best players, stadiums, and media coverage--simply because some of the teams are at risk of getting dropped down every year. MLS has a very calculated business plan focused on building soccer-specific facilities in urban cores across most major markets in order to develop critical awareness and scale. They also require billionaire owners who can weather the early growth. However, at some point in the next 5-10 years, when that foundation is fully established across the critical mass, the league is going to eliminate or massively expand the salary cap to allow the billionaire owners to compete to buy the top players in the world. When that happens, everything will change, and no one will debate many of the topics in this thread. I just hope that St. Louis is part of the league when it happens.
  7. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

    My guess is that the "merger" may be more akin to aligning the leagues regular season schedules and then combing the leagues' playoffs to determine the North American champion, kind of like NL and AL were in baseball for decades before inter-league play.
  8. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

  9. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

    I love 5-38, and what they do with sports metrics, but this makes no sense. How can you possible try to objectively compare clubs in China with clubs in Europe, North America, and South America. There is no way Atlanta United is 100 spots below Guangzhou in China, who I have seen play. You really need common benchmarks in competitive matches to do comparisons, which don't exist.
  10. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

    You are just wrong. The top MLS teams would have no problem competing with the EPL teams fighting to avoid relegation.
  11. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

    You are missing out on some great teams and stories in the MLS, but folks in the UK are paying attention: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/how-atlanta-grew-into-a-phenomenon-in-19-months-pphts58fh
  12. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

    There are literally hundreds of professional soccer leagues around the world. The financial models vary so dramatically that it is nearly impossible to compare. Even within the top leagues, the difference between the top clubs and the bottom clubs is drastic and incomparable. MLS has great parity among teams within the league which keeps it competitive and interesting, but it still has dramatic differences in quality between the top and bottom of most rosters driven in large part due to the combination of salary cap, Designated Player, and TAG structure. Calling it a minor league is neither accurate nor relevant in the context of professional soccer structures. While not "world class," the quality is good and, at times, it is very good. It is the fastest growing and most rapidly improving league in the world. MLS will likely finish number 6 in the world in average attendance this year. It is now both a buyer and seller of players with fees in the tens of millions of dollars. We can endlessly debate what constitutes a "minor league" in soccer, but MLS is now putting out a great product and isn't a business anyone would short these days.
  13. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

    The stadium will be privately owned and operated by the St. Louis ownership group, so we don't need to worry about usage. The dominant tenant will certainly be the MLS team, with steady usage of it during the season for decades. Any additional usage is just icing on the cake.
  14. davidnark

    MLS 4 the Lou

    If the details of the stadium deal are solid (i.e. Board of Alderman approval and state cooperation of the land cleanup and transfer), I think they will have no problem securing MLS approval. St. Louis has always been high the MLS"s radar and has been the MLS's top priority (after Beckham's Miami deal) since the day the Rams announced they were moving.
  15. davidnark

    The rumor that won't die: NBA in STL ?

    I hear there may be more positive news later today on the MLS project.