Taj79 Posted February 19, 2018 Author Share Posted February 19, 2018 Well, it's a crap shoot coming down to the wire as usual. The only game we have left that is not trending to a distinct advantage one way or the other is the home contest against the Bonnies. The two road games are close enough that they are too close to call. And the largest margin of favoritism is us against GeeDubya at home right now. French against Cunningham should be a key factor tomorrow night. Cunningham is the complete antithesis to the entire Richmond roster. I know Hasahn avoided foul trouble in Richmond but I believe that was due to the lack of an inside game anywhere on Richmond's roster. Tomorrow in Dayton will be different. We may very well need Anthony for more than a quarter to balance out Cunningham. I dson't believe Foreman is a decnet match up but we made need him too. Can't let either Darrell Davis or Jalen Crutcher get hot. Those three guys all play over 30 mpg. The key is also not letting Trey Landers have "a game." Guy is up and down all year and feeds off emotion. He too is close to 30 mpg but the funny thing there islast year he got in nine games and plyed under 6 mpg. So he is really a stop gap right now ----- Dayton is that weak compared to years past. We can't be taken by surprise and let Crosby, GF 2.0, the Czech or long lost Xeriyusto find himself. Gonna be a dog fight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 13 minutes ago, Taj79 said: Well, it's a crap shoot coming down to the wire as usual. The only game we have left that is not trending to a distinct advantage one way or the other is the home contest against the Bonnies. The two road games are close enough that they are too close to call. And the largest margin of favoritism is us against GeeDubya at home right now. French against Cunningham should be a key factor tomorrow night. Cunningham is the complete antithesis to the entire Richmond roster. I know Hasahn avoided foul trouble in Richmond but I believe that was due to the lack of an inside game anywhere on Richmond's roster. Tomorrow in Dayton will be different. We may very well need Anthony for more than a quarter to balance out Cunningham. I dson't believe Foreman is a decnet match up but we made need him too. Can't let either Darrell Davis or Jalen Crutcher get hot. Those three guys all play over 30 mpg. The key is also not letting Trey Landers have "a game." Guy is up and down all year and feeds off emotion. He too is close to 30 mpg but the funny thing there islast year he got in nine games and plyed under 6 mpg. So he is really a stop gap right now ----- Dayton is that weak compared to years past. We can't be taken by surprise and let Crosby, GF 2.0, the Czech or long lost Xeriyusto find himself. Gonna be a dog fight. Two weeks ago I would have been happy with a 3-2 final five games. Now we are 1-0, so I'd still be happy with a split of the final 4. Bess had a huge game here against the Flyers with 20. Johnson had 16 in only 20 minutes, and Roby went for 14, mostly from the FT. Goodwin was a minor contributor with 6 points and 3 boards. Not saying we can repeat that performance, but there is no reason to wave the white flag. Dayton will be a desperate team as they are one game above the PIG. We gonna let the dogs out! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taj79 Posted February 20, 2018 Author Share Posted February 20, 2018 13,000 screaming loonies with nothing else to do tomorrow night will also be key. Must keep the crowd out ala Richmond. Send them to the ghetto early. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 From the A10Forum. Through 15 games. Some additional comments from the poster: URI can clinch the 1 seed with a win Friday against Dayton Davidson has clinched a top 4 seed St Bonnies clinches a top 4 seed with 1 more win 4 seed is still wide open 8 team within 2 games My comment; we beat GW, we are free from a PIG possibility. TOURNAMENT SCHEDULE Wednesday, March 7 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 1: 12. La Salle (5-10) vs 13. Fordham (4-11) 6:00 PM Game 2: 11. George Washington (6-9) vs 14. Massachusetts (4-11) 8:30 PM Thursday, March 8 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 3: 8. Dayton (7-8) vs 9. Richmond (7-8) 12:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 4: 5. Saint Louis (8-7) vs Game 1 Winner 2:30 PM NBC Sports Network Game 5: 7. Saint Joseph's (7-8) vs 10. Duquesne (6-9) 6:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 6: 6. George Mason (7-8) vs Game 2 Winner 8:30 PM NBC Sports Network Friday, March 9 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 7: 1. Rhode Island (14-1) vs Game 3 Winner 12:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 8: 4. VCU (8-7) vs Game 4 Winner 2:30 PM NBC Sports Network Game 9: 2. Davidson (11-4) vs Game 5 Winner 6:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 10: 3. St Bonaventure (11-4) vs Game 6 Winner 8:30 PM NBC Sports Network Saturday, March 10 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 11: Game 7 Winner vs Game 8 Winner 1:00 PM CBS Sports Network Game 12: Game 9 Winner vs Game 10 Winner 3:30 PM CBS Sports Network Sunday, March 12 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 13: Championship Game 1:00 PM CBS SEEDS 1. Rhode Island (14-1) 2. Davidson (11-4)* 3. St Bonaventure (11-4) 4. VCU (8-7)& 5. Saint Louis (8-7) 6. George Mason (7-8)^ 7. Saint Joseph's (7-8)^^ 8. Dayton (7-8)^^^ 9. Richmond (7-8) 10. Duquesne (6-9)% 11. George Washington (6-9) 12. La Salle (5-10) 13. Fordham (4-11)$ 14. Massachusetts (4-11) * based on head to head victory over St Bonaventure & based on head to head victory over Saint Louis ^ based on 4-0 record vs teams 7-8 ^^ based on 1-2 record vs teams 7-8 AND head to head victory over Dayton ^^^ based on 1-2 record vs teams (Richmond is 0-2) % based on 2-0 record vs GW $ based on head to head victory over UMass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierBilliken Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Our rpi is 139. Ouch. We need to win this out to secure 4th place. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Huge game tonight for seeding is St. B at VCU. With VCU owning our tiebreaker we need them to pick up an L tonight. VCU finishes with GM and Fordham. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 A10 Tourney Seedings Updated through 16 games URI cliched the 1 Davidson/St Bonnies clinch top 3 finish SLU takes inside lane for the 4 seed Everything else a mess (UMass and Fordham close to being assured of playing on Wednesday) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 From the A10 Forum. It appears our worse case finish now would be 8th, tied with Dayton and Richmond. We hold a tie breaker over Richmond. Win out and we have a double bye. TOURNAMENT SCHEDULE Wednesday, March 7 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 1: 12. La Salle (6-10) vs 13. Fordham (4-12) 6:00 PM Game 2: 11. George Washington (6-10) vs 14. Massachusetts (4-12) 8:30 PM Thursday, March 8 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 3: 8. Dayton (7-9) vs 9. Richmond (7-9) 12:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 4: 5. George Mason (8-8) vs Game 1 Winner 2:30 PM NBC Sports Network Game 5: 7. Saint Joseph's (8-8) vs 10. Duquesne (6-10) 6:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 6: 6. VCU (8-8) vs Game 2 Winner 8:30 PM NBC Sports Network Friday, March 9 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 7: 1. Rhode Island (15-1) vs Game 3 Winner 12:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 8: 4. Saint Louis (9-7) vs Game 4 Winner 2:30 PM NBC Sports Network Game 9: 2. Davidson (12-4) vs Game 5 Winner 6:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 10: 3. St Bonaventure (12-4) vs Game 6 Winner 8:30 PM NBC Sports Network Saturday, March 10 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 11: Game 7 Winner vs Game 8 Winner 1:00 PM CBS Sports Network Game 12: Game 9 Winner vs Game 10 Winner 3:30 PM CBS Sports Network Sunday, March 12 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 13: Championship Game 1:00 PM CBS SEEDS 1. Rhode Island (15-1) 2. Davidson (12-4)* 3. St Bonaventure (12-4) 4. Saint Louis (9-7) 5. George Mason (8-8)& 6. VCU (8-8)&& 7. Saint Joseph's (8-8) 8. Dayton (7-9)^ 9. Richmond (7-9) 10. Duquesne (6-10)% 11. George Washington (6-10)%% 12. La Salle (6-10) 13. Fordham (4-12)$ 14. Massachusetts (4-12) * based on head to head victory over St Bonaventure & based on 2-1 record vs others 8-8 && based on 1-1 record vs others 8-8 (St Joe's is 1-2) ^ based on head to head victory over Richmond % based on 3-0 record vs others 6-10 %% based on 1-2 record vs others 6-10 (La Salle is 0-2) $ based on head to head victory over UMass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierBilliken Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 To hold onto 4th place is going to be a battle. Beating St. Bonnie is going to be a tall order. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
youjustgotKMed Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 damn st.bon is a big game, glad its at home all our home games have been W's or really close,,,, go bills go,,, we gonna dance i can feel it,, we gon get that sweet 16 i can feel it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taj79 Posted February 26, 2018 Author Share Posted February 26, 2018 This season has been a distinct success, no matter how you cut it. That success is amplified tenfold when you factor in all this team had to endure given the bone-headedness of some of its former members and that then allowing administrative knuckleheads access to the program and further derailment. This team, including Jordan Goodwin, deserve nothing but the utmost in terms of our respect. He won't get COY but Ford has probably done his best job ever holding this ship together. To be battling for the 4 spot with such a depleted roster is downright amazing. One can only imagine where we'd be with a full boat. The above A10 item by Hoosier Pal, while current, offer \s no extrapolation going forward. I expect VCU to win out and finish at 10 and 8. In order to best them, we need to win out. The rest doesn't matter. Once again, you have to take care of business. Control what you can control. GBL_Bills likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matty Light Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 2 hours ago, Taj79 said: I expect VCU to win out and finish at 10 and 8. In order to best them, we need to win out. The rest doesn't matter. Once again, you have to take care of business. Control what you can control. I would tend to agree with you, Taj. VCU is not going to lose their last game to Fordham. So, in order for SLU to hold on to the #4 seed we likely need to win the last two games. However, their is a path to the #4 seed if we split the last 2 games. If George Mason beats VCU and then loses the final game to Richmond that would be enough to keep us on the #4 line. Absent that scenario, we need to beat the Dukes and the Bonnies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taj79 Posted February 26, 2018 Author Share Posted February 26, 2018 The middle of the pack is such a cluster. Always is. What I expect: VCU to finish 10 and 8. Mason to go 9 and 9. St. Joe's to go 9 and 9. Dayton to finish 8 and 10. Richmond at 8 and 10. Obviously we finish 11 and 9 and fourth is locked. If we lose one and finish 10 and 8, we drop to fifth with our tiebreaker head-to-head with VCU. If we drop to 9 and 9 and finish tied with Mason and St. Joe's, VCU gets fourth, Mason gets fifth being 3 and 0 against us and the joeys, and we get sixth given our head-to-head with Joe. All that with what I believe will happen happens. This also means Daytons loses Wednesdya night at the Goal mausoleum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiseAndGrind Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 To echo @Taj79 - it is remarkable that SLU is battling for 4th place. Even in a down year for the A10, to be in this position without 2 of your top players, and 5 of your expected rotation players, is amazing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
almaman Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 Not making top 4 does give us a chance for won more win to pad stats team and individuals and should be a victory. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taj79 Posted February 26, 2018 Author Share Posted February 26, 2018 That is true almaman and that is an okay measure of success if so desired. Do I think this team can win out in DC and go dancing? Frankly, no. It would take a miracle but miracles do happen. I enjoy this team when it is fresh -- like the week off before the Richmond game and then that result. I have also seen this team on back-to-back nights in NYC and the difference was downright gruesome. And that was with Goodwin. Having to play Thursday-Friday-Saturday and Sunday in DC will kill us; taking Thursday out would logically help. I'd like to go down (from Baltimore now) Firdya, catch a win, and come back Saturday. If I make to Sunday --- GRAVY! I have to admit being torn between wanting to see this season end (so we can move on to bigger and better things) and wanting it to go on because I enjoy the effort the guys come out with. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Last Installment. How much will change this weekend? TOURNAMENT SCHEDULE Wednesday, March 7 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 1: 12. Dayton (7-10) vs 13. Fordham (4-13) 6:00 PM Game 2: 11. La Salle (7-10) vs 14. Massachusetts (4-13) 8:30 PM Thursday, March 8 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 3: 8. VCU (8-9) vs 9. Duquesne (7-10) 12:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 4: 5. Saint Louis (9-8) vs Game 1 Winner 2:30 PM NBC Sports Network Game 5: 7. Richmond (8-9) vs 10. George Washington (7-10) 6:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 6: 6. Saint Joseph's (9-8) vs Game 2 Winner 8:30 PM NBC Sports Network Friday, March 9 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 7: 1. Rhode Island (15-2) vs Game 3 Winner 12:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 8: 4. George Mason (9-8) vs Game 4 Winner 2:30 PM NBC Sports Network Game 9: 2. St Bonaventure (13-4) vs Game 5 Winner 6:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 10: 3. Davidson (12-5) vs Game 6 Winner 8:30 PM NBC Sports Network Saturday, March 10 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 11: Game 7 Winner vs Game 8 Winner 1:00 PM CBS Sports Network Game 12: Game 9 Winner vs Game 10 Winner 3:30 PM CBS Sports Network Sunday, March 12 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 13: Championship Game 1:00 PM CBS SEEDS 1. Rhode Island (15-2) 2. St Bonaventure (13-4) 3. Davidson (12-5) 4. George Mason (9-8)* 5. Saint Louis (9-8)** 6. Saint Joseph's (9-8) 7. Richmond (8-9)& 8. VCU (8-9) 9. Duquesne (7-10)^ 10. George Washington (7-10)^^ 11. La Salle (7-10)^^^ 12. Dayton (7-10) 13. Fordham (4-13)$ 14. Massachusetts (4-13) * based on 3-0 record against the others 9-8 ** based on 1-1 record against the others 9-8 (St Joe's is 0-3) & based on 2-0 record vs VCU ^ based on 4-1 record against the others 7-10 ^^ based on 1-2 record against the others 7-10 AND 0-1 record against URI (other two teams are 0-2) ^^^ based on 1-2 record against the others 7-10 AND head to head victory vs Dayton $ based on head to head victory over UMass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pistol Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I wouldn't mind if it held as-is. Dayton-Fordham winner, then George Mason. That'd be a relatively favorable draw. BillIkenFan_Dan likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cowboy Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 -2 thoughts....I liked it better when we were 4, still can happen -SVU in the PIG, possibly, weren't they the pre-season favorite? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pistol Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 So if I understand correctly, our path to a 4-seed is to beat St. Bonaventure, and hope Richmond beats George Mason - am I missing anything? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 28 minutes ago, Cowboy said: -2 thoughts....I liked it better when we were 4, still can happen -SVU in the PIG, possibly, weren't they the pre-season favorite? Here is the Preseason Poll by the A10. Top half were Rhody, St.B, St Joe, VCU, Dayton, Davidson and SLU. http://www.atlantic10.com/pdf9/5459739.pdf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, Pistol said: So if I understand correctly, our path to a 4-seed is to beat St. Bonaventure, and hope Richmond beats George Mason - am I missing anything? Yes, but add that if St Joe is 10-8 also, we have the tiebreaker on the head to head. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 The four way tie apparently lands the Bills in 6th. This is from the A10 Forum TOURNAMENT SCHEDULE Wednesday, March 7 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 1: 12. La Salle (7-11) vs 13. Massachusetts (5-13) 6:00 PM Game 2: 11. George Washington (7-11) vs 14. Fordham (4-14) 8:30 PM Thursday, March 8 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 3: 8. VCU (9-9) vs 9. Dayton (8-10) 12:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 4: 5. George Mason (9-9) vs Game 1 Winner 2:30 PM NBC Sports Network Game 5: 7. Richmond (9-9) vs 10. Duquesne (7-11) 6:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 6: 6. Saint Louis (9-9) vs Game 2 Winner 8:30 PM NBC Sports Network Friday, March 9 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 7: 1. Rhode Island (15-3) vs Game 3 Winner 12:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 8: 4. Saint Joseph's (10-8) vs Game 4 Winner 2:30 PM NBC Sports Network Game 9: 2. St Bonaventure (14-4) vs Game 5 Winner 6:00 PM NBC Sports Network Game 10: 3. Davidson (13-5) vs Game 6 Winner 8:30 PM NBC Sports Network Saturday, March 10 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 11: Game 7 Winner vs Game 8 Winner 1:00 PM CBS Sports Network Game 12: Game 9 Winner vs Game 10 Winner 3:30 PM CBS Sports Network Sunday, March 12 at Capital One Arena Washington, DC Game 13: Championship Game 1:00 PM CBS SEEDS 1. Rhode Island (15-3) 2. St Bonaventure (14-4) 3. Davidson (13-5) 4. Saint Joseph's (10-8) 5. George Mason (9-9)* 6. Saint Louis (9-9)** 7. Richmond (9-9)*** 8. VCU (9-9) 9. Dayton (8-10) 10. Duquesne (7-11)& 11. George Washington (7-11)&& 12. La Salle (7-11) 13. Massachusetts (5-13) 14. Fordham (4-14) * based on 3-2 record against other teams 9-9 ** based on 2-2 record against other teams 9-9 AND 2-0 record vs Richmond *** based on 3-3 record against other teams 9-9 (VCU is 2-3 against the others 9-9) & based on 3-0 record against the others 7-11 && based on 1-2 record against the others 7-11 (La Salle is 0-2) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillIkenFan_Dan Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 We got the 6th seed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 9 hours ago, BillIkenFan_Dan said: We got the 6th seed Really not a bad line for us. Could have been worse. Those tiebreakers got to be interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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