The Bills over Chi St by 18

[The Wiz]

A disappointing game against SF...not because we lost but because if we had just played average we could have beaten them....If you need to know how , check the post game SF spread thread. Fortunately, we didn't lose any ground and remain at C+.  Once SF beat us by 10 (1 more than the spread ) anything extra was just diminishing returns. Now the NET will punish us ...their system is heavily dependent on the the spreads no matter who beats you or by how much. On the good side The NET is pretty inaccurate until you start approaching March.

Game preview...If you liked JkSt then you will love Chi St.  The Cougar's are the 8th worst team in D1...no small accomplishment in futility.  This will be our easiest D1 game of the year. It would be a good time to get back on track.  Chi St features a team that can't shoot ...can't score points and can't  defend.  They do have 1 guy that can shoot 3s (Robinson) and 2 guys who can make FTs (Sunderland and McKoy) but what's the point with an 18 pt spread...The computer thinks that 18 should be the minimum spread....If we don't do more than 18 it's because we didn't want to do more.  We should see some bench players for this game.  It will be a Shake Shack night for all. 

Report Card.... The report card coming into this game  needs some repair especially on defense and FTs...no up categories and 7 down.

 

.................SLU..................CSU.....................SLU......................CSU

...........................OFF...................................................DEF..........

PPG...........B....................B-...........................D+.......................A

FG%..........B....................A-...........................B-.......................A-

3P%...........B...................C+...........................C-.......................C

FT%.........  F+..................C-..........................................

Reb...........B-.................C-.............................D.........................B+

 OFF Rebs  = total Bills rebs...DEF Rebs = opp total reb

Report Card change....0 up...7 dn...= -7

UP.....OFF...none.........DEF...none

Dn....OFF...PPG..3P%..FT%...Rebs...DEF...FG%...3P%...Rebs

Top 100 In The Nation

SLU...

PPG...Jimerson ....44th...dn

.........Swope.........78th....dn

3PM......Jimerson...23rd...dn

Reb,,,,,Anya...........7th...dn

FG%....Thames.....78th...dn

Asst...Swope...53rd...dn

Dou-Dou....Anya....71st...dn

Chi St...

none

 

Injuries....

SLU....Warlick....12/6...Ques....undisclosed injury

           Hughes...12/6...Ques.....back

Chi St...No injuries to report

 

Keys to the game....Not to be over confident....make some 3 and FTs...don't TO over the ball...Guard Robinson...don't foul Sunderland or McKoy... They can't beat us but we can beat us.

WWN2D2W.... This will be more like... what we need to do to get better...As this should be a win, rather than set a target slash ...let's grade the slash and other stats and shoot for above a  C+ across the board.

Bottom line....Let's tame the Cats with a blowout.

[Bay Area Billiken]

SLU's NET somehow improved after last night's game at USF from 224 to 218.  Sunday's opponent, Chicago State, has a NET of 359. 

[73Billiken]

9 minutes ago, Bay Area Billiken said:

SLU's NET somehow improved after last night's game at USF from 224 to 218.  Sunday's opponent, Chicago State, has a NET of 359. 

OK............let's break 200!

[dlarry]

Give me Chi State and the points 

[Bay Area Billiken]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URw5NoqTs7o

ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor has SLU with a 95.8% chance of winning this one. 

 

[HoosierPal]

https://x.com/studurando/status/1865488130863759401

 

@studurando

 

Larry Hughes will remain out for Sunday’s game. Kobe Johnson is questionable with an illness. AJ Casey remains out indefinitely.

[MusicCityBilliken]

18 hours ago, HoosierPal said:

https://x.com/studurando/status/1865488130863759401

 

@studurando

 

Larry Hughes will remain out for Sunday’s game. Kobe Johnson is questionable with an illness. AJ Casey remains out indefinitely.

Geez, Schertz and the assistants are going to have start scouting the intramural teams just to get some bodies.

[Lord Elrond]

31 minutes ago, MusicCityBilliken said:

Geez, Schertz and the assistants are going to have start scouting the intramural teams just to get some bodies.

No kidding, when is the open student tryouts/

[Lord Elrond]

Beat the computer by 5, nice to see the win

[The Wiz]

A good win for the Bills...It was touch and go for awhile because we shot poorly in the 1st half and Chi St was making 3s at twice their normal rate.  But the chickens came home to roost ( a fancy way of saying reversion to the mean) as the Bills got hot in the 2nd half (62% from the arc) and CSU missed 12 threes.

Let's review and see what happened...bolded statement are from my original post.

The computer thinks that 18 should be the minimum spread... after 18 pts the Bills could choose how much they wanted to run it up.

We should see some bench players for this game...we did

 It will be a Shake Shack night for all...it was.

rather than set a target slash ...let's grade the slash and other stats and shoot for above a  C+ across the board...48/41/ 75...A+ / A+ / B+...definitely a pass...TOs were a B with a very nice 11...we matched their 11 and came away with an extra 2 pts....We got an A+ in Rebs with a whopping 44 and a 11 reb margin. Stats were looking good.

 They do have 1 guy that can shoot 3s (Robinson)...0-3 and overall 0-6...0 pts in 21 min...great job.

2 guys who can make FTs (Sunderland and McKoy)...Sunderland-No FTAs...McCoy 3-4...looking good here too

Bottom line....Let's tame the Cats with a blowout...We did

 

[Old guy]

Wiz they beat CSU by 23, better than you predicted and I am delighted about this victory. Agree, let's do the same in the next game.