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The Wiz

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Posts posted by The Wiz

  1. 9 minutes ago, Lord Elrond said:

    So once again it looks like that at the Big Dance, the A10 will continue to dance to the tune of “The Juan Bid Tango”…

    Yes...I think that was always the plan by the NCAA for the A-10....there is still an outside chance for a 2nd bid....Rich defeats Day in the final game but still a long shot.

    Btw, in the fantasy game today I have Day over The Bills by 13.

  2. 3 minutes ago, WVBilliken said:

    I'm expecting that the majority of the roster will enter the transfer portal, especially players with 2 to 3 years of eligibility left which is most of the roster. It will be an interesting developing story that will be happening at the same time SLU is searching for a new coach.  It will also be interesting to see which players the new coach, when hired wants to retain at SLU.

    Probably not the best idea.  

    You are forfeiting your spot on the roster and giving up your scholarship... to test the waters.  Might be a good idea to check out the new guy  and then make a decision.

  3. 22 minutes ago, billikenbill said:

    The Wiz, thanks for all the great analysis and prognostications on the Bills’ games. When it’s gameday and there’s no The Wiz breakdown yet, I’m like what’s going on with The Wiz?

    Is it really 8 months until we get ‘24-25 pre-season forecast? Counting down the days.

    Thanks...

    I have one more post to do which will be the 23-24 season wrap...I will do that once the last A-10 team is done playing for the year.

    In the meantime...here is what post season chances look like for the A-10...

    NCAA... Day...6-7th seed

    NIT...Loy ...87% up...Rich...64% dn...UMass...52% dn

  4. I will make this short and sweet.   1 stat  and 1 thought.

    The stat...13-5  TOs...we lost the TO battle again which means auto loss.

    The thought...I heard the TV announcers say TOs were a problem (not quite right).  I heard Ford say at the beginning of the season,   we want a target of 10-12 /gm....mission accomplished....11.6....which gives us a C+ ...above average ...good enough to win some games.  But the real TO issue was opponent TOs,   where we finished 319...F+.  We couldn't get teams to turn the ball over and this was the key to our poor defense.  No game  better exemplifies this than the La Tech game.  We gave up 10 TOs...that is a nice number ...that is a  grade of A ....BUT in the La Tech  we did something that hadn't been done in decades... our opponent had zero TOs.  And the good looking 10 TOs turned ugly....fortunately in that case we pulled out a win with sky high shooting (54/56/73) Unfortunately,  that strategy of trying to win games that you lose the TO battle didn't work out too well for the whole season.

    Hopefully, the new guy will put some emphasis on Defense and we will see opponent TOs return to a more normal number.

    A new beginning...again

    Soderball likes this
  5. Post season A-10.....NCAA...Day 7th seed (unch)....NIT chances....Loy...86% up...Rich...68% up...UMass...54% unch

    Game Preview....We got bombed last time we played Duq...81-66...This should have never happened....We  have a much better offense  than Duq...even with our poor D we should not have given up 81 pts.  If we play the D that we have for the last couple of games , we can win this contest.  First, let's start with Grant.  He is a good player BUT he had his best game of the A10 season against us.  He scored 15 pts over his season average.  Hmm...15 ...that sounds familiar ...oh yeah that was the margin of defeat in that last game we played Duq.  Stop him and we win.  The good news was we won the TO battle BUT we lost the game because we lost both of the categories we needed to win after the TOs...FG%(bad 3 P shooting) and Rebs.   The computer found in that last game a few players underperformed their season average....Jimerson needed 5 more pts and 2 more rebs....Hughes needed 3 more pts and 2 more rebs and Medley needed 4 more pts.  By making their averages we pick up 15pts when adjusted for a neutral court....again the margin of defeat.   Finally, Clark usually has 2-3 steals / game...he had 6 against us ....Who every he is guarding is going to have to protect the ball...6 steals against is not a winning stat.  

    This game is very winnable ...if we make shots (the slash) and don't give up TOs (to Clarke) and play some D on Grant.

    Let's look at the card....

    Report Card.... 

    The Card is down.....1 up ( Def) and 1 down (Off)

    .................SLU............DUQ................SLU...................DUQ

    ...........................OFF........................................DEF..........

    PPG............B-..................D...................F........................A-

    FG%...........C+..................D+................D-......................B

    3P%...........A-..................C-.................F.........................B

    FT%...........B+...................C.............................

    Reb...........D......................C..................C-......................C+

     OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

    UP...............Off....none...FG%.....Def....FG%

    Down.........Off...3P%......Def...none

    Top 100 In The Nation

    SLU

     Min /gm...Jimerson ...38th...up

    Duq

    Blks...Dixon...54th...dn

    Stls...Clark...10th...up

    FT%...Grant ...2nd up

    Injury /Illness report and misc

    The Bills...

    Parker...Quest....3/12...Shoulder

    Meadows...OFS...3/5...back

    Curcic...OFS...2/29...Foot

    Duq..

    None

    Keys to the Game....... Stop Grant...Don't let Clarke steal...make some 3s

    WWN2D2W...Slash...46/37/75....Here are The Bills that need to have a better game than last time we played Duq ...Jimerson...17Pts 3 reb....Hughes 8pts...3 rebs...Medley 4 pts ...4 rebs.....Hold Grant to 16 pts and don't foul him either...Hold Clark to 2 steals...Hold Duq to 71 pts

    Bottom line.........Duq is a team that in its last game  barely eked out a 2 pt win against a flailing GW.  If we can just shoot average and play the same D that we have for the last couple of games we can win this one.

    Turn Dae Dae into nay nay and we can win win.

  6. A good win....Any win at this point of the season is a good win.

    We won this game because we did what we were supposed to do.

    First we look at the TOs...as always.  But in this game ...especially ... the lead seemed to hinge on TOs. When we had the lead in TOs we had the lead in the game and when we lost the TO edge we lost the lead.

    So hear is how that went...We win the TO battle 9 to 11...This eliminates the auto loss.  Evening the game up, we then need to win at least 1 of 2  categories...FG% and Rebs...surprise, we win both ...FG% 47.5  to 46.3...Rebs  35 to 33...winning both categories gave us an 80% chance to win the game.

    Let's look at my pre game posts ...Bolded statements from above...

    There was talk about making up the 16 pts from Parker. I mentioned that the extra pts and rebounds need to come from Ezewiro and Medley....From above...if they both have just average games, we add 10pts plus 8 rebs.  Actual stats... we add an extra 11pts and 14 rebs...a big part of the win.

    We beat them at their place with a poor defensive game...We should be abled to beat them  on a neutral floor. ...We did

    Bottom line.........Let's get EVEN better...That's what SLU needs to do...A win over the Rams....And we move on to round 2.... we did get EVEN better...

    It gets tougher now....let's keep it going.

    CenHudDude likes this
  7. 2 hours ago, billikenbill said:

    FWIW, Rammer was on with Frank yesterday and is not optimistic about today’s game. Said Rhody is more physical at every position and it took Parker’s 16 pts. in 15 mins. and otherwise good shooting by the rest of the team to hold off the Rams. Said there’s almost no chance Parker is playing today. 

    My guess is the season ends today and with Duq. having won 6 of their last 7, there’s a near zero chance we can take them. The handwriting for the end of the Ford era is close at hand. I actually feel kind of bad for Travis as he may not be the best coach around, but he’s been passionate about trying to get it turned around and has worked extremely hard to get it done.

    Too bad it didn’t work out.

    As I pointed out in the opening post of this thread...Ezewiro (injury...7min playing time) and Medley ( 0 pts and 0 rebs)...if they both have just average games, we add 10pts plus 8 rebs.  Moving the game to a neutral court pretty much evens out the loss of Parker's 16 pts.

    I would also like to point out that when we lost Parker at the 10 min spot in the 2nd half of the previous Rhody game , we were trailing in that game by a point.  We won that game in the final 10 mins with no Parker OR Ezewiro. 

    As of yesterday...both Parker and Wright (RI) are still listed as questionable. Also the spread is still listed as even.  So I beat on the computer and told it to carry it out a couple of places....and it showed Bills by 0.35 pts.  And then in its on snarky way (it must get that from me ) says....what part of even do you not understand. I said I understand where the plug is.  Its answer...Go Bills.

    CenHudDude likes this
  8. Post season A-10.....First,  let's start with The Bills Chance 2 Dance.....Not probable but here is what it looks like....Wins in order....RI...Duq...Day...Loy...Rich....The computer refers to it as miracle basketball....Here is what the rest of the post season A-10 looks like....NCAA...Day 6th seed (unch)....NIT chances...Loy 80% (up)...Rich 64%(dn)...UMass 54% (new)....The ghost of Juan hovers

    Game Preview.........The following is from my last RI report a little over a  week ago...This coming game might be a future PIG match up. What would you say if I told you we had a chance to play a team that had a bad defense...as bad or worse than ours.   They still have a bad defense...but have improved a little since the last time we played them. Their offense is about the same. Meanwhile, our offense has improved since last meeting and our defense is about the same. We need to build on our defensive effort against St. B...no 90, in fact not even 80 pts  for them this time.

    Their main guys are Green (outside) and Kortright & House (closer in).  Also ease up on fouling House...He had 11 FTAs last time... Way too many.

    How can we break the tie/spread?  Some easy improvements ...Medley had 0pts and 0 rebs in 19 min last time against RI ( against St. B ...10 rebs-10 assts)...Ezewiro had 6pts & 1 reb in 7 mins

    We beat them at their place with a poor defensive game...We should be abled to beat them in on a neutral floor.                   

    Let's look at the card....

    Report Card.... 

    The Card is up.....4 up... 2 Off  and 2 Def

    .................SLU..............RI................SLU......................RI

    ...........................OFF........................................DEF..........

    PPG...........B-................C-..................F........................D-

    FG%...........C+................B...................F+......................D+

    3P%...........A..................B-...................F......................F+

    FT%...........B+.................F-..13th WITN.........................

    Reb...........D...................B....................C-......................C+

     OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

    UP...............Off....3P%...Reb......Def...PPG...Reb

    Down.........Off....none....Def....none

    Top 100 In The Nation

    SLU

     Min /gm...Jimerson ...42nd ...up

    RI

    3P%...Green....73rd...Dn from last time we played them (15th)

    Injury /Illness report and misc

    The Bills...

    Parker...3/9 ...shoulder...day to day

    Meadows....2/20...back...out for the season

    Curcic...2/29...Foot...out for season

    RI..

    Wright...3/9...unknown issue...day to day

    Bilau...1/18....knee....out indefinitely

    Keys to the Game.......Make some shots ...especially the bunnies...Play D...beat them on the slash

    WWN2D2W...Target slash for SLU--50/40/75......Slash for RI...46/35/65....Beat them in TOs...Match them in Rebs...Hold their top 3 scorers to 38 pts

    Bottom line.........Let's get EVEN better...That's what SLU needs to do...A win over the Rams....And we move on to round 2

  9. We end as we started....with defense.  There was only 1 game all season that  our opponent's  PPG was lower and that was the 1st game of the season... So Ind. ....and of course St. B is a much tougher opponent than SOIN. In addition, we foiled the TO curse...lose the TO battle lose the game.  Losing the TO battle usually spells... auto loss (80% chance to lose)  How did we pull this off? 

    Let's look at the numbers...Bolded statements from the original post..

    First the pregame computer observation....The computer suggests if you are not going to play D then maybe slow the game down to keep it close...By playing D AND slowing it down instead of keeping it close ...we won.

    Beat them on FG%...We not only beat them on FG% but on the entire slash...keep St B to 33% from the arc...actual 32%...excellent.... St. B is one of the best FT shooting teams ITN...They were 19th ITN...shot 62%....Their report card slash line coming into the game was  B / A / A...they shot F /F/ F.  Defense...better late then never.

    Beat them in Rebs...We didn't just beat them in Rebs ...we dominated. ..43-26...great job

    Keep them under 80 pts...Compared to what we have been doing  this would have been a good showing...65 pts is outstanding.

    I leave you with the wisdom of the bottom line from above....

    Bottom line.........Grab a rebound....play some D...make some shots ...and we can beat St. B

    We did not only what it takes to overcome a TO deficit  but did what it takes to beat a good offensive team

    Keep it up in the Big Apple.

  10. 37 minutes ago, Lord Elrond said:

    Ah! But @The Wiz also first points to turnovers, and we forced 17 against VCU while only giving up 11, and scored 6 more points off those turnovers. There’s your margin of victory. So that, plus hitting 90% from the free throw line (19 of 21), makes up for the rebounds not going our way, and the fact that they outshot us from the field.  That is what makes the CPU of @The Wiz’s computer happily dreaming of Electric Sheep tonight (shoutout to Phillip K. Dick).

    Here is the way The Wiz's winning formula works...

    1. Win the TOs...that evens the game up

    2. Win one of the following 2 categories....FG%  or Rebs and you should win

    3. If you lose both categories ...you look at TO opportunity lost as a rare last chance.

    In this case,  we won the TOs  but lost both categories which kicks in #3 the final chance which is a rare circumstance but happened in this case.  TO opp lost refers to the fact that in addition to the points off TOs which is listed in the stat sheet,  there were 6 missed opportunities by VCU. In other words,  had VCU not turned it over 6 extra times they would have had a chance for 6 additional shots.  VCU shooting 40.4% should have made an additional 2.4 shots....let's round it down to 2 shots and make both of them just 2s... VCU   wins by 2 pts without the extra TOs.  This is a lot of extra figuring that you would not normally do except in a rare situation...ie win TOs and then lose FG%  and rebs.

    Bottom line....if you win the TO battle it usually evens the game up  EXCEPT if you REALLY win the battle...in this case VCU had an extra 55%  worth of TOs.  Enough extra TOs that step 2 wasn't necessary.

    As for my computer dreaming...it will not be dreaming of Electric Sheep...It will be dreaming of Electric Rams...apologies to Phillip K. Dick.

    One last thing in reference to unusual occurrences...VCU had 17 TOs...The Lady Bills scored 17pts on those TOs.  Meanwhile the L Bills had 11 TOs and the Lady Rams had 11 pts off those TOs....Extremely rare where the TOs match up exactly with the pts the opp scores for BOTH teams.

    Good job Bills...keep it going.

     

  11. 8 hours ago, billikenbill said:

    The Bonnies lost to GW tonight. Does that change your spread a bit?

    Yes...1 pt to St. B to 12.  I would normally post the spread thread today after yesterday's  St. B game  but I had more time yesterday.  The other thing that was affected was the post season chances....St. B was removed from the NIT list.  Also,  Rich was added to the Dance list (50%)...a gut punch to Juan...but Juan is not duan (this can be read as down or done)  yet.  His motto is... he will ride again.

    I will check the numbers  again on Sat...they won't go up  but there is a chance they could drop another point.

  12. 1 hour ago, willie said:

    I am not trying to be critical. I enjoy your work. But my unsophisticated opinion is that your computer overvalued the Bills all year. Again if I took the  computers line would the Bills covered more than they lost? Or put another way did the Bills underperform their expectations?

     

    I don't usually set things up for betting but I went back and lined up the  the games with my  spreads.  The answer is it depends.  If you remember ...at the beginning of the year, I always put a caveat about  the first 8 games of the year because this is a period of collecting data and the computer isn't as accurate during data collection.  I have even mentioned a few times that if people would bet on games using my spreads(of course nobody here would ever do that) (you know who you are) they should probably skip the first 8 games.

    So here are the results....Taking the opponent in the first 8 games, you would have won 7 lost 1.  In the next 21 games  your record would have been 9-10-2. So the simple answer if you waited till the computer was ready in the 9th game you would not have become a wealthy man.

    Should you bet the first 8 games next year  ...7-1 sounds good?  Probably not ...because there will still be the issue of a small data size and it could turn out to be 1-7 next year.

    Hope that answers your question 

  13. 19 minutes ago, willie said:

    So how did the Bills do against your spread?

    I look at the spread a little different than most fans.  To me the spread is a diagnostic tool.  Each game the computer takes all the data  and analyzes it and says ..this is what the Bills are supposed to do.  If they come within a few points of the spread , they are doing what they are supposed to be doing. If like last night,  they underperform, it could mean they had an off night or the other team had an above average game.  If it happens over a series of games, then it is a trend and you need to take action/ change things up.  If it happens over a season, then it shows there are some serious issues and major changes are needed. Using the computer as a diagnostic  tool it  is supposed to  keep humans out of the insanity loop...where you keep doing the same thing and hoping for different results.

    I laugh when every year as soon as there is a miss by the computer on a game,  posters come on the board and say fire the computer or it doesn't know what it is doing.  If the computer forecast that flipping a coin 10 times would come out as 5 heads and 5 tails and the result was 10 heads...there would be an outcry on the board (and you know who the posters would be)..."get rid of the computer ".

    The computer points out the problem....It is up to the humans to figure out what changes need to made. Don't kill the messenger/computer ...fix the issues.

    CenHudDude likes this
  14. Post season A-10.....NCAA...Day 7th seed (unch)....Rich....50%.......NIT chances(95%= crossover to Dance odds).......Loy...74%(dn)...UMass...54%(unch).

    General Outlook......... Well let's start with the good news ...We are still a C team overall which means we are an average team in the D1 universe ....but C overall makes us a bottom feeder in the A-10.  In addition, we are not the worst Bills team of the century.  That distinction goes to the 2014-15 Bills team which came in at D- overall. That was the good news ....The bad news is we have cratered on defense...of course you knew that.  I am not here to point out the obvious. I am here to give the numbers and grades to show you how bad it is.  Anyone who has been reading the spread threads and in particular the report card section has been able to watch as we trended  down over the last few months.  Today, we make the dishonor roll on defense with 3 Fs and a D....One data point (opp PPG) has reached F- ....a letter designation I instituted for the first time during the Crews years.  We are 16th WITN on Opp PPG...a key component and indicator of overall defense....100pts?? Remember, this is the A-10 where we slow things down and try to average 70PPG.  The problem is not just that the barn door is unlocked...the whole door is gone and other teams are driving a bus through it. The final good news is we probably won't drop anymore...it is hard to go down when you have reached the bottom (at least on defense). The computer suggests if you are not going to play D then maybe slow the game down to keep it close.

    Game preview...As I mentioned above we are currently at C overall.  St. B is at B with a chance for NIT. Their offense is slightly better than ours. Their D is not as good as Day but still light years ahead of ours.  Of course, as I have said before ...there is no team we can't beat in the A-10 as long as we follow The Wiz's formula  for winning...Step 1...match TOs (if we don't... 80% chance for loss)....Step 2 win 1 of the following 2 categories ...FG% or Rebs....If we win one of those 2 categories,  we have a 53% chance to win...if we win them both 80% chance to win the game. Last night we beat Day on TOs but then lost both categories ...the reb battle was dismal. If we forget about defense again and just try to outscore the Bonnies...we will repeat last night's game as they have 3 outstanding 3 pt shooters and a big guy down low who can put them away. One last thing...don't substitute fouling for defense as St. B is one of the best FT shooting teams ITN.

    Let's look at the card....

    Report Card.... 

    The Card is dn....2 up 5 dn... 2 Off up  and 2 Off dn and 3 Def down

    .................SLU..............StB................SLU......................StB

    ...........................OFF........................................DEF..........

    PPG...........B-................C.....................F- 16th WITN......B+

    FG%...........C+................B...................F+..........................C-

    3P%...........A-.................A...................F............................B

    FT%...........B+................A....................................................

    Reb...........D-...................D-................D+..........................A-

     OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

    UP...............Off....PPG...FG%......Def....none

    Down.........Off....3P%...Reb....Def....PPG...FG%...3P%

    Top 100 In The Nation

    SLU

     Min /gm...Jimerson ...52nd ...up

    St B

    Blks.. Venning...43rd

    3P%...Adams-Woods...40th

    FT%...Banks...83rd

    Injury /Illness report and misc

    The Bills...

    Parker ...3/6...Shoulder...questionable

    Meadows....3/5...back...out for the season

    Curcic....2/29...foot...out for season

    St B..

    none

    Keys to the Game.......Play some defense...no wide open 3s...don't foul them...get some rebounds

    WWN2D2W...Target slash--48/38/76.....Beat them on FG%......Beat them on TOs...and  in Rebs...Hold their top 2 scores to 25pts...keep StB to 33% from the arc...Keep them under 80 pts.

    Bottom line.........Grab a rebound....play some D...make some shots ...and we can beat St. B

  15. First, let's start on a positive note...a very successful Senior night as Jimerson and Hargrove combined for 41 pts and 63% from the field. They went out with a bang.

    And the Bills went out with a thud. After giving up a buck worth of pts,   tomorrow's defensive numbers should be interesting /scary.

    Figuring out what happened against Day should be relatively easy.

    You should know the drill by now.

    TOs....we win that battle 7-12...Good start...we avoid the auto loss and that stat evens up the game....we then need to win one of the next 2 stats to have a chance to win the game....FG% & Rebs....Unfortunately we lost both stats  and therefore  the game.  The funny thing is we had one of our best nights of the season from inside the arc....66%.  But a dismal game from 3....26%....Day  shot more than double our percentage and triple the number of 3s we made...SLU 6...Day ...18.....This one stat accounted for an extra 36 pts for Day....it is a wonder we didn't lose by a lot more.

    I could go on...but no sense in beating a dead horse.

    Let's just give our Seniors a tip o' the cap for a great night during the  game and after the game.  A side note, Jimerson didn't participate in the post game as he had a ceremony last year.  He deferred the spotlight  to TJ which I thought was a gracious thing to do.

  16. 1 hour ago, Lando Griffin said:

    There is absolutely no chance that happens.  I’d rework that computer.

    You missed the point of the post.  My post was part of a series of posts about the chances of the A10 receiving multiple bids to Dance.  The computer never said that the scenario  was a likely outcome.  It said  if you wanted that to happen here is how it could happen even if were a long shot.

  17. 1 hour ago, Taj79 said:

    Javon Bennett missed the entire second half of the Loyola game Friday with what was described as a thumb injury.  With Smith out for the year, Bennett is their only point guard.  Kobe Elvis cannot do it.  Kobe Brea is just a pure three point shooter.  Any news on the Bennett injury Wiz?

    Officially, no injury listed at this time.  Unofficially, he got the thumb caught in a jersey and got bent back.  He is day to day. Will probably be a game day decision. I agree with you ...they need him in there.  Once he was out things fell apart.  There was a stretch after he was gone where Day gave up 7 TOs in 5 mins.  I will keep an eye on the situation.

  18. 3 minutes ago, NYBilliken said:

    Would hypothetical possibility of Billiken victory knock Dayton out of their at-large spot? (signed) Juan Bid.

     It would be a big stain.  It would mean that Day would have to win the A10 tourney. ...which to answer your question would probably knock them out of an at large bid.  But as I answered in a different thread (just sayin' thread) ...It depends on who Day is up against...this is a computer prediction based  on data.... The NCAA has the right to over rule the computers ( my computer or The NET). If Day is up against Long Beach St then they are in....if they are going against St. John's then they are out. 

    You are kind of in no man's land.  So I pushed the computer...I told it to think like the Committee...what would they do with a 2 losses in March Dayton team? (this assumes that the final loss is in the conference final...an earlier loss in the tourney combined with a loss to SLU and they are toast)  The answer was... it would give Dayton a play in bid as a first 4 team to be played in Dayton.

    Ah, you've got to like a machine doing dumb things.  It ain't easy being the Committee.

    NYBilliken likes this
  19. 41 minutes ago, Lord Elrond said:

    And Captain Obvious would be correct!  So take a look at Kenpom and where is Richmond, the highest ranked team not Dayton in the A10? KenPom has Richmond as #77, which is lower than NET has them (today NET has Richmond at 70). If Dayton wins the A10 tournament, the A10 is a one bid league again this year. If Richmond knocks off Dayton in the A10 finals then they are in, but as the automatic qualifier, and we have a multi-bid league, because Dayton would have to really play like garbage the rest of the way to not make it in the NCAA at this point.

    My numbers show that if Rich wins its final 2 games AND reaches the conference finals with Day...then both teams will Dance regardless of who wins that final game. Of course, this is a computer prediction that is driven by data. The NCAA still has the power to over rule the computers (mine and The NET) to "fix things" and "make things right"

    It would depend on who was up against Rich on Selection Sunday....If it was Long Beach St....then RICH is in. If it is St. John's...then the answer to RICH will be ...."We are so sorry"

  20. 27 minutes ago, Old guy said:

    Dayton winning by only 9 points? I doubt it very much. I would take this as a best case scenario.

    You are assuming that both Ezewiro and Parker are fully functional and will remain so throughout the game. This may or may not be the case, and certainly you cannot count on it happening. 

    Just for the sake of asking, how many teams in A10 or overall in D1 have a major player disappearing for unknown reasons, a guard out indefinitely for back injury, another guard out for the season with a foot/ankle fracture during a practice? What is the average of severe injury either causing a season or indefinite incapacitation injury rate per team? Are there stats for injury rates per team?

     

     

    I think if you read through my post ....I spend a bit of time on injuries mentioning that Parker and Ezewiro could be missing. But at this point, they are not listed as MIA.  I also say to check back for injury updates....Right now , we are only officially missing Meadows and Curcic. Over the season we have 2 others that are gone ....Dalgar and Magassa...I think given that we lost by 5 in Dayton...9 is a good number at this point.

    While I don't have a program that tracks  injuries...I can give you some injury highlights....

    Mizzou fans would be happy to tell you about their 5 injuries...8-21...0-16 SEC

    Portland ( the team that calls us the Pelicans) I think wins the prize...6 players out....11-20...5-11

    Neb...5 players out ...21-9...11-8...4th in the B10....

    Hou....where every injury is big ....3 players out (playing 10-18 mpg)...26-3 ...13-3  1st in B12...1st overall in The Net

    In the A10...GW and Mason both with 4 injuries.

    A side note ...one of the 3 missing players in Mem is Dandridge...Ineligible ...I think he did us a favor by not selecting us.

    Bottom line....It is not always about who has the most injuries...It is about depth and who on your team is hurt. Can you imagine Dayton missing Holmes....They would be a mid level 500 A-10 team without him.

     

    TheChosenOne likes this
  21. 15 minutes ago, Old guy said:

    Your description of the process is as clear as you can make something that is designed to be unclear. I assume the main factor or one of the main factors in the NCAA decision has always been, and is likely to remain, the NCAA ideas about how to maximize the income to be made out of their tournament.

    From my above post.....

    And as we all know , this is the NCAA ....so there is no deep thinking...just follow the money.

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