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VCU over The Bills by 2


The Wiz

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Game Outlook....This should be a close game... the whole way This is anybody's game.  We come into the game at B overall and VCU comes in at B+.  Let's simplify this.  It's all about the TOs.  We had a whopping 20 TOs in the last game against VCU.    20 is usually an automatic loss against any team.  Yet after 3 qtrs we were tied...down 4 with 4 min to go...Amazing we were able to stay that close with the staggering amount of TOs....VCU scored 22pts on TOs...we had 7pts on TOs...To give up that many TOs and pts and yet hang close means we could have won the game.  WELL...we have another chance....Match them on TOs + make the slash = win.

Report Card....

3 categories up( All Def....PPG, FG% & 3P%) ....Meanwhile , VCU has gotten better PPG and FG% since we last played them. We still have the better offense...they have the better defense. Their offense is better than GM but  not up to the Bills.  Their defense is also better than GM but not as good on 3P% as Mason.

Let's look at the report card...

...................SLU......................VCU........................SLU.............................VCU

.................................OFF..........................................................DEF.............

PPG...............B....................C................................C..................................A

FG%...............B+..................B+..............................A.................................B+

3P%...............B-...................C-.............................C+..................................B

FT%...............B-...................D+......................................................................

Reb...............A.....................D...............................C+................................B-

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP...............Off....none....Def....PPG...FG%...3P%

Down.........Off......none...Def....none

Top 100 In The Nation

SLU

Assts...Collins... 1st...unch......19th  all time D1 list...

Assts/TO ratio...Collins...18th...up

Reb...Okoro...50th...dn

Blks...Okoro ...68th...up

Off Reb...Okoro...26th ...dn

Dou Dou...Collins...100...dn

3P%...Jimerson...43rd...up

VCU

Assts...Baldwin...15th

Asst/TO ratio...Baldwin...78th

FG% ...Deloach...92nd

Stls...Baldwin ..12th

Blks...Deloach...82nd

Injury /Illness report and misc

The Bills....2/8..Thames....Out indefinitely...undisclosed.....No timetable for return

VCU....none

Keys to the game.... Cut down on the TOs and make the slash...we win

WWN2D2W...Make the slash...47/35/75...Hold the top 5 scorers to less than 50pts .....Keep them under 70 pts ......Match them on TOs....Beat them on Rebs...

Bottom line...Play like you did against Mason ...40 min of Off and Def and we win...We know they can do it ...we just saw them do it against GM......Wash...Rinse...Repeat

Matty Light likes this
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if Thursday's version of the billikens show up and play we win.   any other version we have seen this year is a loss.   

everybody sing:

" got a feeling
That tonight's gonna be a good night
That tonight's gonna be a good night
That tonight's gonna be a good, good night…"

BilliesBy40 likes this
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A disappointing loss...why? ...because it was a 3rd  "just miss"  loss to the same team...some of it predictable and preventable ...some not...

The predictable that I mentioned in this thread and the 2 previous VCU  threads was the demon monster of TOs...we managed to close the gap somewhat this game  but still gave up an extra 8 pts on Pts off TOs.    

The unpredictable was the loss of Okoro.  He averages almost 9 rebs/gm...he had 0 when he had to leave the game after just 4 mins.  This lead to a VCU reb advantage of 37 to 30 which in turn allowed a Rams 2nd chance pt advantage of 14-8...an extra 6 pts. Interestingly, Okoro missed the last game with VCU on Feb 28th and we lost that one too by 12 pts.

8+6 = 14pts ...ball game....The slash was overall good enough to win had the above factors been better....49/45/61...though we left 3 more pts on the table at the FT line.

Bottom line ...we dropped 3 to VCU...win 1 of 3( this game) and we are probably Dancing.

In any case , I will do the season wrap up for the Bills on Apr 4...there will be some interesting numbers and observations at that time.

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