hsmith19 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 SLU is between 188 and 196, depending on where you look. This is exactly what I meant when I said merely playing better opponents during the A-10 schedule would improve the RPI. Even with a 1-5 record, that has been the case. It sure would be nice to get above the 50th percentile, which looks possible at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The NCAA RPI has us at 197 today. George Mason is 182, so win or lose there won't be too much movement for either team. http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-rpi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLU_Nick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I love the fact that there is always hope with the conference tournament. Even though the chance is obviously close to nil....I have a better feeling about this team going on a crazy run then those during the Soderberg days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufanskip Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The NCAA RPI has us at 197 today. George Mason is 182, so win or lose there won't be too much movement for either team. http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-rpi Wouldn't us being on the road help us out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
For-DaLove Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 What will our RPI be after we win out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cowboy Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 What will our RPI be after we win out? -record of 20-10 rpi would be 91 going into Brooklyn, per rpiforecast, that would be a lotta fun Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwyjibo Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Wouldn't us being on the road help us out Yes. This road victory, holding everything else constant, will be worth about 13 RPI places. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwyjibo Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 -record of 20-10 rpi would be 91 going into Brooklyn, per rpiforecast, that would be a lotta fun And winning the Atlantic 10 tournament would get into down into the 60's then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 I would like to think the "narrative" of winning out in the regular season (which would include a win over VCU on their own court) and winning another game or two in the A-10 tourney would get us into conversations for an at-large bid, even if we fell short of the auto bid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianstl Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 SLU is between 188 and 196, depending on where you look. This is exactly what I meant when I said merely playing better opponents during the A-10 schedule would improve the RPI. Even with a 1-5 record, that has been the case. It sure would be nice to get above the 50th percentile, which looks possible at this point. That is because the front third of the schedule was loaded with high RPI teams. Now we need to start winning games at a better clip or the RPI will begin dropping. 2-10 down the stretch would leave us with an RPI in the mid 250s. We need to go 7 and 5 down the stretch to have a RPI in the top 50%. 6-6 would keep our RPI just about where it is now. 5-7 drops us to right around 210. 4-8 drops us to the 225 range. Not sure where 7 or 6 wins are going to come from. Five might be doable, but we will need some consistency we haven't seen yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Basketbill Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 IF and clearly it is a big if, winning out would put us at about where Univ of Washington was in Romar's first? season there. and they made it as an at large bid...... so there is still hope.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moytoy12 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I think winning out is a given, but I'm still uncertain whether we win each game by 20+ points. Hopefully JC will start running up the score. If we can win each game by 20+ points and throw in a few 30+ point wins then we'll likely get a 4 seed in the big dance. One 30+ point win is worth about 4 losses I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 That is because the front third of the schedule was loaded with high RPI teams. Now we need to start winning games at a better clip or the RPI will begin dropping. 2-10 down the stretch would leave us with an RPI in the mid 250s. We need to go 7 and 5 down the stretch to have a RPI in the top 50%. 6-6 would keep our RPI just about where it is now. 5-7 drops us to right around 210. 4-8 drops us to the 225 range. Not sure where 7 or 6 wins are going to come from. Five might be doable, but we will need some consistency we haven't seen yet. As I said in the other thread, we have home games left against SJ, LS, GM, and SB, and road games against GM, For, and Duq. All seven of those games are winnable. I would be disappointed if we can't at least go 4-3 in those games. And that's before getting into the possibility of surprising a decent team with an upset (UMass and Dayton at home are the most realistic possibilities). Winning only two of the remaining 12 games would require us to play much, much worse than we have so far in A-10 play. It would require a huge regression, and I (along with most fans and observers) would be extremely disappointed. I am willing to bet that our RPI will be better at the end of the season than it was at the end of the non-con slate. That is almost always true for teams in decent conferences with really bad non-con opponents, and the results so far have borne that out. Yes, we had a front-loaded schedule, but our only win was not over one of the front-of-the-pack teams. And RPI gives us no bonus for the near-misses against GW and VCU. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianstl Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 It also doesn't punish us for near losses to NC A&T. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsmith19 Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 No, but the near-loss to NC A&T has nothing to do with the jump we have made in RPI since the conference season started. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianstl Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The conference schedule being front loaded with good teams does, If we play as projected from this point out (3 wins) our RPI will finish around 240. That would be a a slight bump from the 255 that Warren Nolan had our RPI at heading into conference play. You have to win games to really bump your RPI. We are going to have to win at least 5 more games to get a significant bump from conference play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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