The Wiz Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 nm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kshoe Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 How can you have us as 4 point dogs (a relatively large spread) but also have us at a 49% win %. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 10, 2006 Author Share Posted February 10, 2006 You are correct. Win probability 37%. Sorry about that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLU_Nick Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 I cant beleive no one has called you out on just making up numbers. My prediction Bills by 25 win percentage 99.99996%. And steve, change my name to "NickKnowsAll". How is Dayton favored to win when we just dominated X. Home court doesnt add 20 points to the spread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iggy Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Billikens will win because I'm making the drive to Dayton to see it. Two years ago, I went to Dayton on New Year's Eve and we pulled the upset. Brad got his first 'T', Frericks had a big game despite being in a bit of foul trouble. We spoiled the New Year's Eve parties in Dayton. It was great. Now we're gonna win again! Go Bills! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supersonic Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Can you post your results over this season? I would be interested in seeing how accurate you have been Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheA_Bomb Posted February 11, 2006 Share Posted February 11, 2006 I remember that road win over Dayton. They made a big deal of Frericks on TV because the court or arena is named after one of his relatives. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufanskip Posted February 11, 2006 Share Posted February 11, 2006 I thought the home cout was generally worth 4 points. Am I wrong? If I am right then that would put us even with Dayton on a neutral court. I would think we would be 5 or 6 point favorites on a neutral court ... Official Billikens.com sponsor of H. Waldman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 11, 2006 Author Share Posted February 11, 2006 We are fairly even with Dayton. Therefore playing @ Dayton gives them a 4 pt advantage. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 11, 2006 Author Share Posted February 11, 2006 Replying to SS earlier concerning my record so far......... Game Projected Actual Diff UMSL SLU W(no spread not SLU by 35 n/a enough data) Maryville SLU by 23 SLU by 29 6 EIU SLU by 17 SLU by 24 7 HI HI by 15 HI by 18 3 SIU SLU by 1 SLU by 14 13 UWM UWM by 7 UWM by 11 4 Jac St SLU by 14 SLU by 16 2 UNC UNC by 12 UNC by 12 0 Oak SLU by 3 SLU by 7 4 Miss SLU by 6 Miss by 13 19 Ksaw SLU by 15 SLU by 14 1 Zag Zag by 9 Zag by 3 6 Chi St SLU by 14 SLU by 6 8 Ia SLU by 1 Ia by 10 11 Bon SLU by 9 SLU by 2 7 GW GW by 9 GW by 5 4 Mass SLU by 1 SLU by 2 1 Rich SLU by 2 Rich by 11 13 X X by 17 SLU by 5 22 St Joe St. Joe by 2 St. Joe by 15 13 Ford SLU by 7 SLU by 10 3 RI RI by 1 SLU by 5 6 X X by 5 SLU by 14 19 Day Day by 4 ????? Overall, straight up 17-6 Most of the misses have come in league play. This is probably because of parity within the league. While this makes it harder to predict games it is great for competition. If one of the arguments for coming to the A-10 was to find a competitive league, this is it. Except for a couple of teams on the bottom and GW at the top, teams are very even. "It is a truth very certain that when it is not in our power to determine what is true we ought to follow what is most probable" Descartes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufanskip Posted February 11, 2006 Share Posted February 11, 2006 How are we fairly even? There RPI is over 150 ours is under 100. By the same standards we are fairly even with Duke. So if Duke plays here we will be favored by 4. I know it is a college game and any one can win ... but I'll take SLU plus 4 ... Official Billikens.com sponsor of H. Waldman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 11, 2006 Author Share Posted February 11, 2006 We would be favored over Duke here??????? I don't think so. Duke would be favored by 15 at Savvis. Win prob. 9% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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