The Wiz Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 Post season A-10.....NCAA...Day 6th seed (unch)....NIT chances.......Rich...87%(up).....Loy...58%(dn)...VCU...56%(new)...St. B. ...54%(new) Game Preview.........This coming game might be a future PIG match up. What would you say if I told you we had a chance to play a team that had a bad defense...as bad or worse than ours. Welcome to RI. I would say we are looking at a high scoring game. Of course, as in previous games , this one will hinge on TOs. The computer thinks we will (or should) win the TO matchup because they are worse than us in turning the ball over. (C- to D) On opponent TOs ...even our lowly F+ beats their F- (14th WITN). So why is the spread showing we lose. Winning the TO battle evens up the game...The next 2 factors after TOs are FG% and Rebs. We need to win at least 1 of these categories...the computer show us losing both. One strange stat I don't usually report on is opponent FT "defense". As you will see below , RI is a poor FT shooting team(F- ). But on FT "defense" they are 4th ITN. Either the baskets are crooked in RI or their FT funk spreads to other teams. Their main 2 guys are Green (outside) and House (closer in). We need to stop them . Injuries will play a factor in this game...Fuch is questionable ...if he doesn't play they lose a chunk of their inside game. For us Parker is still questionable. He would be a valuable asset given their weak shooting defense. This game is very winnable but we have our work cut out to do. Let's look at the card.... Report Card.... The Card is dn.....3 dn... (2 Off ) and 1 (Def) .................SLU..............RI................SLU......................RI ...........................OFF........................................DEF.......... PPG...........C+................C-..................F........................F+ FG%...........C-..................B...................D-......................D- 3P%...........A-.................B...................D-......................F+ FT%...........B+.................F-..10th WITN........................... Reb...........D...................B....................D+......................C+ OFF Rebs = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb UP...............Off....none......Def...none Down.........Off....FG%...3P%....Def....3P% Top 100 In The Nation SLU Min /gm...Jimerson ...62nd ...dn RI 3P%...Green....15th Injury /Illness report and misc The Bills... Parker...2/28 ...leg...questionable Meadows....2/20...back...out indefinitely RI.. Fuch...2/28...ankle...questionable Bilau...1/18....knee....out indefinitely Keys to the Game.......Stop Green and house...Make some shots ...especially the bunnies...grab some rebs WWN2D2W...Target slash--47/38/75.....Beat them on FG%......Beat them in TOs...Match them in Rebs...Keep their top 2 scorers to 27pts Bottom line.........Let's not be sheepish on Sat...let's bring it to them Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBand Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 Most likely doesn’t impact the computer any direction, but another injury: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soderball Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 URI by 7. Wiz still hasn't factored in the "CTF Factor" CTF factor is worth -3 in this game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Pelican Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 32 minutes ago, HoosierPal said: He has a brother named All Wright. I think those are actually middle names but I'd use 'em too. HoosierPal likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 No Parker it looks like Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted March 2 Author Share Posted March 2 You will note that the spread has been updated. In reality, it has been bouncing back and forth for the last few days ...mainly between 2 and 4 pts and probably should read RI by 2-4 pts. Each team has a key player questionable ...Parker for us and Fuch for them. If neither or both play the spread will stay in the 2-4 pt range. But if only 1 plays the spread could skew in their team's favor. The last reading is that they will both be out and the game will be a close one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slu let the dogs out? Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 39 minutes ago, The Wiz said: You will note that the spread has been updated. In reality, it has been bouncing back and forth for the last few days ...mainly between 2 and 4 pts and probably should read RI by 2-4 pts. Each team has a key player questionable ...Parker for us and Fuch for them. If neither or both play the spread will stay in the 2-4 pt range. But if only 1 plays the spread could skew in their team's favor. The last reading is that they will both be out and the game will be a close one. Either way this game is undoubtedly the game of the year in college basketball. CBS Sports Network? Should be on CBS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted March 3 Author Share Posted March 3 OK...It's time to get out The Wiz's Manual For Winning.... You need to get to page 5 to win. Page 1....Win the TO battle...check...12-5 Bills Page 2 ..Win one of the next 2 categories Page 3....Rebounds...no check ....35-28 RI ...go to next page Page 4...FG%....check...54.1% to 51.8%..The Bills...go to next page Page 5....BILLS WIN Let's look at the original post...bolded phrases from the 1st post above.... What would you say if I told you we had a chance to play a team that had a bad defense...as bad or worse than ours. Welcome to RI. I would say we are looking at a high scoring game....Looks about right Of course, as in previous games , this one will hinge on TOs. The computer thinks we will (or should) win the TO matchup because they are worse than us in turning the ball over. (C- to D) On opponent TOs ...even our lowly F+ beats their F- (14th WITN)... This too looks good Their main 2 guys are Green (outside) and House (closer in). We need to stop them ...This was a split decision...We stopped House ...He shot only 25% from the field but not Green 54% Injuries will play a factor in this game...This proved true in more ways than one....Fuch is questionable ...if he doesn't play they lose a chunk of their inside game. For us Parker is still questionable. He would be a valuable asset given their weak shooting defense...They both played and about the same minutes. Fuch 18...Parker 16....but Parker was a difference maker...16 pts (a point / min) vs 8 pts for Fuch. Target slash--47/38/75...Actual slash 54/52/81 ...a 187 slash...usually 180+ is a win Bottom line...A lot of players stepped up when the going got tough and it brought us a win CenHudDude likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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