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SShoe

Billikens.com Donor
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Posts posted by SShoe

  1. 13 minutes ago, glazedandconfused said:

    A small problem I have with the selection criteria:   We have this seemingly complex NET rating that the committee says they take seriously. I would assume Q1 record would be factored into that NET rating. So it bothers me when the committee will take a team with a NET rating of 73 over a NET rating of 30 something with less Q1 wins. Seemingly that would have already been accounted for and the NET 37 is still a more impressive resume. 

    Also, using arbitrary cut offs (1-75 is Q1 road win for example) doesn't make any sense. A road win vs 75th ranked team by 2 is not better than a road win over the 76th ranked team by 10.  NET rating would seemingly account for this....just looking at Q1 records wouldn't. 

     

    My point is, committee, if you are going to have a NET rating, trust it. Or adjust the rating to value quality wins more. The quadrant system just doesn't make sense given the amount of data they have access to.

    I could be wrong, but I don't believe the rankings place greater emphasis on quality wins over non-quality wins so there needs to be some way to account for a team that actually beats other good teams.  Just take a scenario where one team plays and beats the 150th and 151st ranked teams while the other beats the #1 and #300 teams.  Both teams are 2-0 and, on average, have the same strength of schedule. I'm old enough to remember Missouri State not getting in the tourney back in the mid 2000s despite an RPI in the 20s. Part of the reason it was so high was that they had avoided playing many, if any, games against teams ranked worse than 200 and just racked up wins on teams ranked from about 100-200 (good strategy, btw).

    I think the biggest issue is how you treat the power conference team with like a 3-10 record vs. Q1 opponents vs. a non-power conference team with a 2-3 record vs. Q1 opponents.  The Jay Bilases of the world would probably say the power conference team won 3(!) Q1 games and should be in since the other school only had 2.  I look at those opposing records and see a school that just had a ton of opportunities for quality wins and was lucky enough to win a few. 

    slufan13 and RUBillsFan like this
  2. 16 minutes ago, wgstl said:

    Just looking at what some teams had to do to make the tourney last year,  St Johns really stood out to me. They were an at large team coming in at 21-13 and a NET rank of 73rd.  ASU also 21-11 with a NET of 63rd

    Given their relatively low rankings, I assume both teams had good records vs. Q1 teams?   

  3. 15 minutes ago, wgstl said:

    Dayton can lose to vcu by a ton, and still be a ranked game for SLU, and still an all important game for the Net and Quads. That wont change.  But a VCU win will now give SLU an extra game on schedule to really boost our resume. 

     

     

    or were you asking for the reasoning behind why I think vcu doesn't stand a chance?

    Valid point, but we play Dayton twice so I want them as high as possible.

  4. 18 hours ago, dennis_w said:

    my gggggrandfather fought in the revolutionary war and was 7-3, i am 5-7 what happened there. there are no reports about how he was on the boards.

     

    That's gotta be the worst war for a 7'3" person to fight in.  Unless maybe it means you can stand in the back row and take your aim from there.

  5. 2 hours ago, EssEllYou said:

    Collins is finally a player that resembles Jett or Kwamain.  He has balls and will take it to the cup to kiss the glass or create attention in order to dish out to the open man.  We are in good hands with this guy. True playmaker.

    Kwamain is definitely the SLU comp that comes to mind and so far (2 games in) I think Collins is the better ballhandler/playmaker.  Mitchell, however, was an excellent defender and decent outside shooter, so we'll see if Yuri can do the same.  He has a chance to be special and really does make Goodwin (really the whole team) better. 

  6. 15 minutes ago, davidnark said:

    To be fair, a business and driver of economic activity downtown has a dramatically different impact on the view and perception of the city from the perspective of most tourists, transplants, media, and out-of-town investors. Nobody in the world judges the viability and quality of a major city from its suburbs--they are largely the same throughout North America. The revitalization of "St. Louis" needs to begin with the core and work its way outward. Plus, a strong central core provides opportunities for a more efficient and sustainable public transportation system, even without old white guys from the suburbs who falsely believe they will put their lives at risk. For these reasons, it is foolish to exclude Build a Bear's relocation from the renaissance. 

    +1

  7. 1 hour ago, bauman said:

    The Billikens go on a incredible run in the A-10 tournament winning 4 in a row to make the Tournament AND the Blues win the Stanley Cup for the first time ever!  This has to top any other year for STL natives/sports fans. 

    1999/2000

    1.) Rams win Super Bowl

    2.) Cards win Central division

    3.) Blues win President's Cup

    4. Billikens win Conference USA tourney

    I'm sure Mizzou probably did something OK that year, but who cares.

    Littlebill likes this
  8. On 5/23/2019 at 7:51 PM, CBFan said:

    I was thinking the same thing I did not know about the Hawks losing to Boston.

    This Boston curse needs a name and it must be broken.

    It's the curse of the Fox Sports Midwest Commercial.  For those who don't recall, Fox Sports Midwest ran a commercial in 2000 (maybe 2001) making fun of Boston sports teams and hyping our string of success.  It had two Boston sports fans sitting in a bar lamenting the state of their sports teams.  Well, a year later the Rams lose to the Patriots and the rest is history. 

    majerus mojo and CBFan like this
  9. 12 minutes ago, Littlebill said:

    Is Hargrove good enough to guard the 4 in the A10? a 6-7/8 big? 

    I think against most teams, Ford will be able to run out Goodwin, Thatch, Perkins, Hargrove, French

    I have no idea if he is "good" enough, but he's certainly got the size and the athleticism.  I also have no clue which recruits will do what, but if the ratings and hype on this board are any indicator, I think you'll see lots of lineups with Hargrove or Perkins at the 4 and some combination of Thatch, Goodwin, Collins, Lewis, and Jimmerson occupying the other 3 spots. Maybe Jacobs or Hankton can prove me wrong.

    Teams really don't need two traditional "bigs" anymore, especially in the A-10.  A lineup with multiple guards and wings can still defend and rebound, particularly when those guards include Goodwin and Thatch and your lone "big" is French.  

  10. 1 hour ago, Bills_06 said:

    How much does George RR Martin influence these scripts?  All of the things that Game of Thrones became known for, the unexpected deaths and killing of main characters were all from his books.  Since the show passed the books, it seems we haven't had much of that aspect of it.  I think that could be part of it with this battle too for not killing off more of the main characters when perhaps he would have taken a different approach.  Now we might not ever be able to know because he could be influenced by the show.  

    I read once he gave the showrunners a general framework for how it was all supposed to end, but I don't think he's involved too heavily with the more specific storytelling.

    I was underwhelmed by last night had hoped for more from this final season.  I still greatly enjoy the show and the action (what you could see of it) last night was fun, particularly Arya's scenes, but the show doesn't surprise anymore or offer any real plot twists.  I've always felt like the white walker stuff was the least interesting thing about the show, but we spent 10 years hearing that the army of the dead was coming and this was the "real war".  It ended with one flick of the wrist and the deaths of like 4 secondary characters.  Now we're left with just 3 episodes to sort out the best part of the series.  

     

  11. 56 minutes ago, cgeldmacher said:

    This smacks of people wanting to change just to have change.  What exactly is the benefit of opening these streets back up?  Right now, kids on these streets can safely ride their bikes without their parents worrying about cars flying down the road.  Drug deals don't go down in the middle of those streets anymore, because the dealers know their trapped if the police show up.  Now, someone who probably fashions his or her self as "progressive" wants to remove the barriers to ...... "open up the City grid?"  I think that was a quote from the article.  Strange motivation that sounds a lot like change just for the sake of change.  Someone wants to feel better about themselves for accomplishing something without really considering the issue.

    There's research indicating that crime actually worsened after those barriers were put in.  Now I could argue that crime was probably going to increase in these neighborhoods no matter what and that the pots weren't the cause of that, but if it at minimum appears that they do little or nothing to reduce crime, then yes, they should probably open up the city grid and improve connectivity.  

    Pistol likes this
  12. 1 hour ago, The Wiz said:

    I am not sure I understand this 75% FT discussion.....But here are the stats.....we were 35th ITN in FTA.....22.5/gm....My contention is that the reason teams foul us more  that we couldn't shoot FTs.  If we did shoot 75% we would have about 3.2 pts more /gm ..  The average team  shoots about 19 FTA/gm. ....22.5 FTA -19FTA = 3.5 shots less /gm..  So the extra FTM/gm would be canceled out by the lesser amount of FTA.

    Bottom line..... FTs didn't cost us  many points this year because we got extra chances.....Is this discussion similar to ......If grandma had wheels she would be a wagon?

    Yes, but if we're taking fewer free-throws, presumably we're getting additional FGAs, which should lead to more points.   

  13. 18 hours ago, The Wiz said:

    This makes no sense....We have 4 players who shoot over 40% FG%....Even if they meant that... it still doesn't make sense...Our entire team averages 41.8%...good for a D- ...Beware the basketball expert during March Madness....That's why they call it Madness.

    This.  I love all the experts showing us their picks.  Pretty much all chalk all the time.

  14. 15 hours ago, Littlebill said:

    I don’t hate them because they’re rabid fans, I hate them because they’re asshats on Twitter. Second in the league only to that one Bizarre VCU weirdo who wears the horns

    The bonnies kicked our butt for the past 5 years, so they earned a little hate from us.  That said, it's a compliment to be hated.  Nothing would make me happier than for the rest of the A-10 to really hate us. 

  15. 39 minutes ago, billiken_roy said:

    i just hope that ford instructs and doesnt leave it to jordan on his own.   the weak points at this point in jordan's career focus on making shots, both from the field and from the line.   both were specialties of ford when he played.   the last thing goodwin needs is to shoot a million shots over the summer with poor mechanics.   reinforcing mistakes only will make it worse.   

    I'm not sure Goodwin's mechanics are really all that bad, but I'm sure the staff will work with him and/or French.  It's also worth noting that Bess' mechanics are different (better) from last season.  Does anybody know if that was all him or was the coaching staff involved? I know he put in the work, but I gotta think they helped him with it.

    Given the incoming class and their respective skill sets, I think Goodwin's gonna put up crazy numbers next year. 

    Box and Won likes this
  16. 53 minutes ago, 3star_recruit said:

    The only thing I know with certainty is that we will get easier buckets and shoot a higher percentage when Yuri is on the floor.  But the tenor of the offense will still be determined by Goodwin because he's going to spend a lot of time at the point.  He has to.  If he were to spend most of his time at the 2 or the 3, he would be taking minutes away from better scoring options.

    What happens when Goodwin is spearheading the offense really depends on the progress he makes with his shot over the summer.  There's only so much running you can do with a power guard that has average handles and average quickness.  The greatest impact that Goodwin can make on the offense is by increasing his 2 pt percentage and free throw percentage.  And he can do this, we're not asking for anything crazy.  Goodwin just needs to post up more and shoot free throws at the same level he did his freshman year.

    If he can't do that, then it's conceivable we are a better offensive team without him on the floor by his senior year.  I do not wish that for him.  I want Goodwin to go out in a blaze of glory.

    Goodwin should go back and watch some film of Jordair.  While he may yet still become a good shooter from 3, Jett showed that you can do a lot of damage by just stepping inside the line and taking 15 footers.  Jordan could make a living there. 

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