The Wiz Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 I would rank Valp about the same as UW in difficulty. We should win this game. However, if we give up a 3 pt shooting % of 60% we will lose again. We need to keep it at 35% or less. Let's at least put a hand in their face from beyond the arc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BACKHANDtheRICAN Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 I would rank Valp about the same as UW in difficulty. We should win this game. However, if we give up a 3 pt shooting % of 60% we will lose again. We need to keep it at 35% or less. Let's at least put a hand in their face from beyond the arc. If the Wiz says we'll win by 5, that means we'll lose by 6. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billiken Rich Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 So will it be Ryan Broekhoff, Kevin Van Wijk, Matt Kenney, or Jordan Coleman that has a career high scoring night against the Bills...... Looking at their roster maybe Bobby Capobionco will try sting his former suitors.... We better win this one..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BACKHANDtheRICAN Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Wiz- I saw that UMSL has some java programming 101 online courses. Look into taking it and please review your program code. Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastsidejoe Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Throwing the Wiz under the bus. Where else can you take a 6 point win and turn it into a 5 point loss. Easy now Backhand Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 29, 2012 Author Share Posted November 29, 2012 If the Wiz says we'll win by 5, that means we'll lose by 6. Wow...tough crowd. No breaks for beginning of the season limited data. Well as long as you acknowledge me later on when I start to "hit" The Valpa game will be the last game this season with any vestiges from last season. Good thing your not as tough on Crews or the Bills as you are me. If you were they would have to throw the towel in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufan13 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 I would rank Valp about the same as UW in difficulty. We should win this game. However, if we give up a 3 pt shooting % of 60% we will lose again. We need to keep it at 35% or less. Let's at least put a hand in their face from beyond the arc. Agree with the 3 point percentage thing. On the season SLU is 41-113 from 3. 36.3% On the season our opponents are 31-61 from 3. 50.8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JettFlight5 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Agree with the 3 point percentage thing. On the season SLU is 41-113 from 3. 36.3% On the season our opponents are 31-61 from 3. 50.8% Wow, that's some scary (lack of) defense. The Bills are better than this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Agree with the 3 point percentage thing. On the season SLU is 41-113 from 3. 36.3% On the season our opponents are 31-61 from 3. 50.8% This article is a must read for Bills fans to understand why missing RM this season makes a difference..... sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2012/writers/luke_winn/05/14/.../index.htm... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StlCardinal Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Actually, it probably just means we've been pretty unlucky so far this year. Our 50.8% defensive 3 Pt % is dead last in D1 (347th!)--there is no way our opponents will sustain that rate. Pomeroy did some research last year that showed that among two relatively evenly matched teams, 3 Pt % is essentially a lottery. Your defense can control how many 3 pt attempts your opponent takes, but for the ones they do throw up, they've got about a 35% chance of going in in the long run. Here's the full article for the details: http://kenpom.com/bl...ne_is_a_lottery (warning: there's math involved) In case you're wondering, the Bills are preventing 3 pt attempts even better than last year. We've allowed 3 pt shots on only 20% of possessions (3rd lowest in D1). last year, it was 25% (9th in D1). So it's not like we're leaving opponents open for tons of 3s--they've just happened to make a better percentage of them this year. I suspect we'll start seeing some nights where opponents shoot 20% from 3, and we'll all be talking about how stifling our defense was. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 This article is a must read for Bills fans to understand why missing RM this season makes a difference..... sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2012/writers/luke_winn/05/14/.../index.htm... Maybe this link will work..... http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=luke%20winn%20majerus&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&sqi=2&ved=0CC0QFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fsportsillustrated.cnn.com%2F2012%2Fwriters%2Fluke_winn%2F05%2F14%2Fdefending.three%2Findex.html&ei=rDy4UIq-AYWxygGhw4H4Bg&usg=AFQjCNGJGhfxZvkw-rwgfuGuomi2Enj2HA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCMelton Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 STL Cardinal is spot on. Defense, in basketball, is not about whether the shot goes in or is missed. Defense is about denying the shot altogether. The more shots a defense denies in a possession, the less likely the offense will be able to attempt a good one. Plus, I also feel like SLU has faced a high number of unguardable do-it-all scorers who are capable of creating their own shot: Foster, Wilcox, Turner, Early (for one half), all of Kansas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbizzle09 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 I agree with STL Cardinal. 50.8% is an insanely high rate that won't be sustained over the course of a season, especially if we are only allowing teams 10 attempts per game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billiken Rich Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Wow thanks guys! I'll have to start trusting in statistics instead of my lying eyes. What a relief! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCMelton Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 There are problems with the defense. But I think it starts and ends with the low post. Loe refuses to be a center, despite the fact that he has one good game shooting every ten games. Remekun and Evans hold their own, but at their heights, they can't take on the bigger traditional PFs and Cs. Don't knock the perimeter defense before recognizing where the problems are -- down low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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