The Wiz Posted Thursday at 01:39 PM Posted Thursday at 01:39 PM Our last game with Dav a couple of weeks ago was away and I had the game as even...we won by one. Now being on a neutral court we should be able to win by more. Plus they had a tough, tight game against Rich yesterday...another edge. Finally, Dav is a poor 3P defending team yet we only shot 33% last time. If we have a more normal game this time we can beat the spread. 5 step plan to make it to March Madness Step 1...Win Step 2 ...Win Step 3 ...Win Step 4 ...Win Step 5...Go to NCAA tourney Short and simple Let's look at the Card... Report Card.... Report Card change....4 up...3 dn...2 unchanged = +1....Offense up and improving ...defense down although still pretty good.....We have Dav beat on offense and defense....we now just have to execute. UP.....OFF....PPG...FG%...3P%...Rebs...DEF.....none Dn....OFF...none....DEF.......PPG...FG%...3P% ................SLU...........Dav...................SLU....................Dav .........................OFF..............................................DEF.......... PPG...........C+...............C-.........................B..............................B- FG%..........A-................B-..........................A-............................D+ 3P%..........B.................C............................B.............................D- FT%..........D-.................B............................................................ Reb............C+...............D-.........................D...............................C- OFF Rebs = total Bills rebs...DEF Rebs = opp total reb Top 100 In The Nation SLU... 2P%....Team...........4th.......up PPG.....Avila............92nd....up ............Jimerson... 65th.....up Asst....Swope........90th.....up 3PM......Jimerson...13th...dn ..............Swope.......34th...unch Reb....Anya............71st...dn Dav... PPG....Bailey...39th Injuries SLU... Casey & Dotzler...OFTS Thames...Out Indefinitely....3/2/25...undisclosed Dav... None to report Keys to the game.... Play 2 halves...Last Dav game we didn't play in the 1st half...if we play 2 halves we win easily. WWN2D2W....Let's try something different here. I am going to plagiarize some of my last post game analysis on Dav. I checked with myself and myself gave permission to do so in the interest of time. Statements in (parenthesis) are current statements. Mr. Davidson is Bailey. He is 18th ITN in scoring and leads the team in most other categories...beat him and beat Dav. Yes we did. Hold Bailey to 15 pts...Excellent ...we held him to 14. (Bailey is now 39th in PPG...Let's hold him and Kochera to 14pts this time)... They also have a 3 shooter, Durkin, who we need to keep an eye on. Durkin...limit to two 3PM....Check...he had two 3PM. (Let's do it again) (keep a lid on the POTs...keep them even...Target slash 48 / 61 / 36 / 73 ) Bottom line...Make 3s to see victories. Bay Area Billiken 1 Quote
Bay Area Billiken Posted Thursday at 01:57 PM Posted Thursday at 01:57 PM After opening at SLU -2.5, the ESPN line has moved to SLU -4.5, total staying at 141.5. ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor has SLU at 59.7% chance of winning. Quote
CenHudDude Posted Thursday at 03:18 PM Posted Thursday at 03:18 PM 1 hour ago, The Wiz said: Our last game with Dav a couple of weeks ago was away and I had the game as even...we won by one. Now being on a neutral court we should be able to win by more. Plus they had a tough, tight game against Rich yesterday...another edge. Finally, Dav is a poor 3P defending team yet we only shot 33% last time. If we have a more normal game this time we can beat the spread. 5 step plan to make it to March Madness Step 1...Win Step 2 ...Win Step 3 ...Win Step 4 ...Win Step 5...Go to NCAA tourney Short and simple Let's look at the Card... Report Card.... Report Card change....4 up...3 dn...2 unchanged = +1....Offense up and improving ...defense down although still pretty good.....We have Dav beat on offense and defense....we now just have to execute. UP.....OFF....PPG...FG%...3P%...Rebs...DEF.....none Dn....OFF...none....DEF.......PPG...FG%...3P% ................SLU...........Dav...................SLU....................Dav .........................OFF..............................................DEF.......... PPG...........C+...............C-.........................B..............................B- FG%..........A-................B-..........................A-............................D+ 3P%..........B.................C............................B.............................D- FT%..........D-.................B............................................................ Reb............C+...............D-.........................D...............................C- OFF Rebs = total Bills rebs...DEF Rebs = opp total reb Top 100 In The Nation SLU... 2P%....Team...........4th.......up PPG.....Avila............92nd....up ............Jimerson... 65th.....up Asst....Swope........90th.....up 3PM......Jimerson...13th...dn ..............Swope.......34th...unch Reb....Anya............71st...dn Dav... PPG....Bailey...39th Injuries SLU... Casey & Dotzler...OFTS Thames...Out Indefinitely....3/2/25...undisclosed Dav... None to report Keys to the game.... Play 2 halves...Last Dav game we didn't play in the 1st half...if we play 2 halves we win easily. WWN2D2W....Let's try something different here. I am going to plagiarize some of my last post game analysis on Dav. I checked with myself and myself gave permission to do so in the interest of time. Statements in (parenthesis) are current statements. Mr. Davidson is Bailey. He is 18th ITN in scoring and leads the team in most other categories...beat him and beat Dav. Yes we did. Hold Bailey to 15 pts...Excellent ...we held him to 14. (Bailey is now 39th in PPG...Let's hold him and Kochera to 14pts this time)... They also have a 3 shooter, Durkin, who we need to keep an eye on. Durkin...limit to two 3PM....Check...he had two 3PM. (Let's do it again) (keep a lid on the POTs...keep them even...Target slash 48 / 61 / 36 / 73 ) Bottom line...Make 3s to see victories. According to your stats, the Wildcats are better on only one offensive stat, FT%, and one defensive stat, defensive rebounds. I’ll take a 3 point win, but a laugher today would be nice. Quote
Crewsorlose Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM The key is to come out ready to play. Most teams aren't used to playing this early. Davidson/Richmond was a rock fight. If the score is 7-8 at the 12 minute timeout, it's a bad sign. Hit them hard, take care of the ball, and get up early. Easier said than done. Whatever advantage we have over a team that played yesterday, Loyola will have tomorrow. SLU_Lax 1 Quote
The Wiz Posted Thursday at 03:37 PM Author Posted Thursday at 03:37 PM 16 minutes ago, CenHudDude said: According to your stats, the Wildcats are better on only one offensive stat, FT%, and one defensive stat, defensive rebounds. I’ll take a 3 point win, but a laugher today would be nice. TOs are Dav equalizer...last game we had a decent 11 TOs but because they had fewer TOs they still picked up 4 pts on us...we need to do 11 or less TOs again. CenHudDude 1 Quote
The Wiz Posted Friday at 05:30 AM Author Posted Friday at 05:30 AM Bolded and(Parentheses) statements from original posts.... Our last game with Dav a couple of weeks ago was away and I had the game as even...we won by one. Now being on a neutral court we should be able to win by more. Plus they had a tough, tight game against Rich yesterday...another edge. Finally, Dav is a poor 3P defending team yet we only shot 33% last time. If we have a more normal game this time we can beat the spread.. This all worked out right. Mr. Davidson is Bailey. He is 18th ITN in scoring and leads the team in most other categories...beat him and beat Dav. Yes we did. Hold Bailey to 15 pts...Excellent ...we held him to 14. (Bailey is now 39th in PPG...Let's hold him and Kochera to 14pts this time)... This too is a check mark...The goal was to hold Bailey and Kochera to 14 pts a total of 28 pts ....we did it... Bailey 10 and Kochera 18....last game the 2 of them scored 37 pts ...so we did 9 pts better this time...or 1 pt more than the margin of victory. They also have a 3 shooter, Durkin, who we need to keep an eye on. Durkin...limit to two 3PM....Check...he had two 3PM. (Let's do it again)...We did even better this time...NO 3PM...0-5...excellent (keep a lid on the POTs...keep them even.) ...This didn't work but came out OK because we did what we did last time which did work. ...Had 4 more TOs than Dav which led to the same extra 4 pts... 13-9... what are he odds of having exactly the same POTs in back to back games against the same team....put your calculators down...it is very small. Target slash 48 / 61 / 36 / 73 ...and here is the real winner of the game...57/74/44/65...and we were only 2 FTs short of making the target. It is OK ...i will take this slash every time. Bottom line...Make 3s to see victories...We did and we did. Adman 1 Quote
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