The Wiz Posted March 7 Posted March 7 A10 Tourney See "the last chance to make 4th place" thread. One thing is for sure ...by the time we play this game, we will know whether it matters or not as we are the last game played in the regular A10 season. Game preview.... Welcome to the worst offense in the A10. We are talking Duq here. We beat them in every major Offensive category...Yes, even our D- in FT shooting swamps there F-. And while their Def isn't bad, there one weakness is 3P defense....so we got this ...right? Well , we should...but with a caution sign flashing. In the last 7 games, Duq has beaten GM, Loy and lost to Day @ Day by 1. So what's the deal?...they don't seem very good on paper. When you can't shoot or score, you try to slow the game down or as @Bay Area Billiken would say ...this is going to be an East Coast Bus League slow, defensive chess match. The lower the score the better chance they have to win. If we have a good night from the arc, then we can win by double digits. But if we struggle from 3, it could be a coin toss. The Bills remain at B continuing our sideways journey. Duq comes in at B-. We can't lose this game BUT we can give it away. Let's look at the Card... Report Card.... Report Card change....0 up...2 dn...7 unchanged = -2 Relatively unchanged except for 1 area ...Rebs...we need to pick it up on the boards UP.....OFF....none......DEF.....none Dn....OFF...Rebs....DEF........Rebs ................SLU................Duq.....................SLU.........................Duq .......................OFF...............................................DEF.......... PPG...........C..................D-.........................B..............................A- FG%..........B+................D..........................A-............................B- 3P%..........B-.................C...........................B.............................D- FT%..........D-.................F-..12th WITN........................................ Reb............C.................D+.........................D...............................B OFF Rebs = total Bills rebs...DEF Rebs = opp total reb Top 100 In The Nation SLU... 2P%....Team...........5th.......dn PPG.....Avila............99th....dn ............Jimerson... 82nd.....dn Asst....Swope........95th.....dn 3PM......Jimerson...12th...up ..............Swope.......34th...up Reb....Anya............55th...dn Duq.... Blks...Dixon...95th Injuries SLU... Casey & Dotzler...OFTS Thames...Out Indefinitely....3/2/25...undisclosed Duq... Michele...Doubtlful...hasn't played since Nov.. undisclosed Keys to the game.... Make 3s... a lot will depend on whether this game will matter...ie will it change the standings. WWN2D2W.....Target slash...48/ 60 / 36 / 73... Beat them on rebs by 2.....POTs even...Magic number is 70 ..we need to score at least 70 and hold them to less than 70... Bottom line...Let's Duke it out with them and take the win. Bay Area Billiken 1 Quote
Old guy Posted March 9 Posted March 9 Hate to say this but Duquesne is not playing like they have the worst offense in A10, at least not in the first half of the game. Go Bills and beat them! The Wiz 1 Quote
Old guy Posted March 9 Posted March 9 The truth is that Duquesne made an extraordinary effort to win this game and despite all we kept on going and wound up winning it by 2 pts kin OT. Well done Bills! Lets keep the never give up attitude in the A10 tournament. All the best to our team! Quote
The Wiz Posted March 9 Author Posted March 9 What a great win...Did you know that if Jimerson makes the final 2 FTs in OT with 10 secs left in OT, we win by 7 and make the spread. It's OK... he did everything else right scoring 35 pts in 45min (played the entire game). He had for lack of a better phrase a Gattpow and TOPO night. Speaking of Gattpow , check it out tomorrow for some interesting data and a key breakthrough. As for the game, we did a lot of things right to the point that it should have been a blowout. Let's see what happened...bolded statements from original post. Target slash...48/ 60 / 36 / 73...Actual 59/ 72/ 44/ 67...we missed this target by only 1 FT...the rest was a far exceed. This was the key to the win. Make 3s...We did. Beat them on rebs by 2...We beat them by 4...This was a big help. POTs even...This was a miss...we had 18 TOs. ...16 is considered an F- ..20 is considered an automatic loss no matter what you shoot. The POTs produced an extra 11 pts for Duq. If we even out the TOs , we win easily by at least 13. Many of the TOs were unforced. Can't do that in the Tourney. Bottom line...We have a 5th seed and some momentum. In the coming days , I will put out some new spread threads and projections as to who we will be playing ...in the meantime ...bask in the glory of victory. It isn't always easy being a Bills fan ...but sometimes it is sweet. Bay Area Billiken, Billikenbooster and Adman 3 Quote
cheeseman Posted March 9 Posted March 9 4 hours ago, The Wiz said: What a great win...Did you know that if Jimerson makes the final 2 FTs in OT with 10 secs left in OT, we win by 7 and make the spread. It's OK... he did everything else right scoring 35 pts in 45min (played the entire game). He had for lack of a better phrase a Gattpow and TOPO night. Speaking of Gattpow , check it out tomorrow for some interesting data and a key breakthrough. As for the game, we did a lot of things right to the point that it should have been a blowout. Let's see what happened...bolded statements from original post. Target slash...48/ 60 / 36 / 73...Actual 59/ 72/ 44/ 67...we missed this target by only 1 FT...the rest was a far exceed. This was the key to the win. Make 3s...We did. Beat them on rebs by 2...We beat them by 4...This was a big help. POTs even...This was a miss...we had 18 TOs. ...16 is considered an F- ..20 is considered an automatic loss no matter what you shoot. The POTs produced an extra 11 pts for Duq. If we even out the TOs , we win easily by at least 13. Many of the TOs were unforced. Can't do that in the Tourney. Bottom line...We have a 5th seed and some momentum. In the coming days , I will put out some new spread threads and projections as to who we will be playing ...in the meantime ...bask in the glory of victory. It isn't always easy being a Bills fan ...but sometimes it is sweet. You are forgetting the 3 made as the clock rain out by the Dukies so it would have only been by 4 but close enough Quote
The Wiz Posted March 9 Author Posted March 9 2 hours ago, cheeseman said: You are forgetting the 3 made as the clock rain out by the Dukies so it would have only been by 4 but close enough I didn't forget it . But with a 7 point lead and 10 seconds left to play it would be a 3 possession game. Most teams at that point would let the clock run out especially if it is a meaningless game ...ie wouldn't change the standings for them in any way. Quote
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