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Posted
Just now, brianstl said:

Our own board big boss was just on the news discussing the polls.  Great job Steve.

Steve still has convinced me that polling 1000 people can acutely predict an election plus or minus 3%😀

Posted

If you are really interested in "if the polls are wrong" this year I suggest reading these two pieces...

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/state-poll-results-show-ties-are-tied-voters-pollsters-rcna177703

https://goodauthority.org/news/election-poll-vote2024-data-pollster-choices-weighting/

Overall, it is likely the polls will be wrong this year.  We just do not know if we are going to make the mistake we made in 2020 or 2022 (which is what the second piece gets at more).

Posted
On 10/30/2024 at 10:01 PM, SluSignGuy said:

If you are really interested in "if the polls are wrong" this year I suggest reading these two pieces...

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/state-poll-results-show-ties-are-tied-voters-pollsters-rcna177703

https://goodauthority.org/news/election-poll-vote2024-data-pollster-choices-weighting/

Overall, it is likely the polls will be wrong this year.  We just do not know if we are going to make the mistake we made in 2020 or 2022 (which is what the second piece gets at more).

Got a feeling that Monday and Tuesday are going to be the best days of the year........

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