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Bracketology


bills10

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I remember following this site pretty closely last year. It provides a consensus bracket from every tom dick and Harry who does a bracket on their website, but I believe it correctly predicted our 4 seed last year. Right now they have us at a 6 seed. As long as we take care of business, hopefully we stay out of the 8/9 game, and even move up from there.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com

RPI forecast is giving us about a 5% chance to lose one or fewer games in the rest of the regular season, giving us an RPI of 10 or lower. I think two more losses should still give us a top 3 seed. Let's do this.

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I remember following this site pretty closely last year. It provides a consensus bracket from every tom **** and Harry who does a bracket on their website, but I believe it correctly predicted our 4 seed last year. Right now they have us at a 6 seed. As long as we take care of business, hopefully we stay out of the 8/9 game, and even move up from there.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com

RPI forecast is giving us about a 5% chance to lose one or fewer games in the rest of the regular season, giving us an RPI of 10 or lower. I think two more losses should still give us a top 3 seed. Let's do this.

This is a good site to keep track of consensus bracket picks. There is a lot of way to go but it looks very likely we will stay out of the 8 and 9 game. I was thinking about doing weekly summaries of bracketologists and forecasts (99% tourney likely using Sagarin Predictor) but using the top 10 or so bracketologists (not every Tom, Richard, and Harry) to show consensus. I have looked at HOW a lot of these amateur bracketologists work and many are not worth keeping track of. A lot of the better final predictors do not even start predicting this early as well.

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I know this stuff doesn't mean anything at this point, but Joe Lunardi currently has us as a #7 seed taking on our nemesis Oregon in the opening round. He has 4 Atlantic 10 teams in as of today: UMass a #5 seed, SLU a #7 seed, GW a #10 seed, and VCU a #10 seed (one of the last four byes) with Dayton as one of the first four out.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

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Lunardi's latest Bracketology has the Billikens moving up to #6.

He has 4 Atlantic 10 teams in as of today: SLU up to a #6 seed, UMass down to a #6 seed, GW up to a #9 seed, and VCU up to a #9 seed with Richmond as one of the first four out.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

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