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Old guy

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Posts posted by Old guy

  1. Well, this is interesting. Team Rankings has GM winning by one star of confidence. However when you see their spread (reflecting the bets on this game) SLU is expected to win by 66.2 over GM at 65.2. There is no better demonstration of a prediction saying either team can win. I assume Team Rankings programs favor GM over SLU, GM's defensive stats are better, but the betting public favors SLU over GM. Go Bills!

  2. 22 hours ago, The Wiz said:

    We have been inconsistent in rebs lately BUT  Mass is the # 1 reb team in the A10 and we only were down 3 to them.   It is not always about how many rebs you get but when you get them.  I would say The Bills last reb in the Mass game that Anya grabbed was worth maybe 3 or 4 rebs.

    Missed the game, Judging from the comments in this thread, we appear to be having definite improvement in a number of areas, but we are not playing consistently yet. We will improve, I have no doubt. I do not know what chance we have to get to the dance this year.

  3. 1 hour ago, willie said:

    Anybody got any theories on Thames. Seems to me to be more complicated than cramping. 

     

    2 hours ago, HoosierPal said:

    FAckerman asked about Thames. For now, he is out.  Thames will talk about his situation when he wants to.  He is practicing and traveling with the team.  Could he return this season, yes. Could he be out the rest of the year, yes.  He is handling a difficult situation with a lot of grace and positivity.  Certainly hope he can return and be at full strength.

    Of course what Thames has is a lot more complicated than just cramps. Cramps are a symptom, not a diagnosis. There is something causing the cramps and they may or may not have a firm diagnosis at this time. Thames has some difficult issues to deal with. It is totally understandable that he will be allowed to do the talking about what is going on when the times come. Until then, when Thames talks about it, we have to wail.

    Personally, I do not expect him to come back to playing with no restrictions.

  4. 2 hours ago, someoneelse said:

    Not sure if you're serious, but I doubt you could find that bet.  People would be tempted to make a bet on something that they have control over.  Like make a bet on a brawl, then start, or stage, a brawl yourself. 

    Make a bet on me scoring less than ten points, then 'pull a hamstring' three minutes into the game.  

    I hate to tell you but you do not understand betting or probability. Let's say you want to bet that a fight will happen during a particular game between the fans of the two sides. Nothing extraordinary about this, the brits have not infrequent fan fights during their soccer games. I am talking about serious fan fights that result in severe injuries. No such a thing happens in the US. Betting on a fight during a college basketball game in the US is obviously crazy. This event is as likely to happen as winning the Power Ball is.

    Do you have any idea of the number of people that buy Power Ball tickets when the prize gets very large? Do you have any idea about your odds to win the Power Ball? The odds to win are against you in the billions to one. Shark attacks and lightning strikes are far more common than winning the Power Ball. But despite the very poor odds lots of winning people buy the  tickets.

    Just go ahead and bet a couple of dollars that there will be a fight between fans during a college basketball game. You can probably get over 1000 to 1 odds without much trouble. Is this prize worth 2 bucks? Of course it is, at least for some people. Of course no one is likely to agree to accept a 2 dollar bet for a fight during the game. However if you were betting $2,000.00  you would find someone to take your bet and your money.

    Just think in these terms: If you want to make money in the market, buy stocks nobody wants (be careful when you choose what to buy and always have a reason to do it). If you want to lose money in the market, buy stocks that just made an all time high, then just sit down and wait. Thinking like everybody else thinks gets you very little, except for whatever comfort you get from being part of the crowd. 

    Oh and betting that you will score less than 10 points in a game, may be a sure bet depending on who you are. If you are not a player your betting gain will be insignificant. 

    So, someoneelse, who are you? You can send me a private message if you do not want to go public with your identity.

  5. For those who  really want to know. If you wish to bet on the odds of a fight breaking up among fans during a game, I am sure you can find some betting outlet that will take your bet. Why not?, the odds for a fight breaking up among the fans is extremely low. In other words, if you want to throw your money away,  you will certainly find some place or someone willing to take the bet and your money. 

     

  6. 16 minutes ago, billiken_roy said:

    Second, these are young men that in tremendous condition  

     

    I will disagree, not everybody is in tremendous condition, Thames most certainly is not and has shown that he can play well for limited amounts of time only.

  7. 15 hours ago, The Wiz said:

     I expect that Vegas and most of the other prognosticators will have us losing by 5-7 pts or more.  From my original post above. I am not only predicting the spread of the game but the forecasted spread of the prognosticators.   A Daily Double.

    You are correct, Team Rankings spread is in favor of VCU by 5.4. This does not mean much, this is a home game for us and we can win this one. Now wee have to go and win it. Go Bills!

  8. Good Lord, the loss to GW is really affecting the board members. The mood in the board is mimicking the market, up and down with big spikes. Basketball is a sport, you win games and lose games. So, we lost to GW, too bad. 

    Now the Wiz's computer, which is really very accurate, is saying that we have a 1 point advantage against VCU. It is a small advantage, and any team may win this game, but you (plural) should get some satisfaction that this system is giving SLU some advantage, as small and flimsy as the advantage may be. 

    Go Bills!

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