I was attempting to underline the caution in that prediction. There is definitely an unfortunate scenarios where an inexperienced (while talented) teams drops 3 or 4 to some combo of PC, VaTech, Butler, and UH. Do I see that happening? No. I think we split or win 3... Butler will be down, and perhaps vulnerable due to having a new coaching staff as well, but there are no easy games on the road in college ball.
We will know a lot about what to expect after the 2K tournament.