someoneelse
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18 minutes ago, Cowboy II said:
-take care of the ball and don't bring the offense to OO and let him have block party, our bigs need to play smart and take shots when they can or make a pass
-I heard some bar talk that I thought was an interesting way to play StB, early in the game play Markhi, Andre or Brandon and have them foul to get the refs in the mode of calling fouls which will eventually get even causing Schmidt to lose his mind when his guys get called - of course that is counting on refs which we know is not a smart play
A long, long, long time ago, I remember Rick Majerus saying as a TV studio analyst, long before he came to SLU, that a strategy is to have everyone crash the boards hard the first couple of times down. The refs can only call one foul per play and it sets the tone of a physical game. Two sides of the same coin, I suppose.
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Just now, slu72 said:
Uh, when did u start watching SLU hoops?
I know, I know, your comment is not without merit, but I want to win this thing and they need to be rested if that's going t happen.
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Thinking way too far ahead, but I would pull YC and GJ if we are 20+ with ten minutes to go. They need to be rested for the long(er) haul this weekend.
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2 minutes ago, ThreeTimeBilliken said:
How did this LaSalle team beat Dayton?
Goat sacrifices work in the Eastern Time Zone, silly.
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1 hour ago, brianstl said:
They got to can him. You can’t end the season with a 17 game losing in your fifth season on the job.
You would think he was the only fifth year coach to end the season on a 17 game losing streak. Patrick Ewing, also in his fifth season may end the season on a 20 game losing streak, depending on tonight’s game.
Ewing recently got a vote of confidence, which I get, but he should go back to being an assistant in the pros. -
On 3/5/2022 at 12:43 PM, Scoop said:
Just saying the last 2 A10 POY got drafted and got paid life changing $. Of course not every POY gets drafted but Perkins has a chance to be Obi and Bones good. A chance to get drafted and cash in only comes once. Sure, you can grind it out over seas and in the G-league and make it to the league but that’s what it is, a grind. Just saying it will still be there. Shoot your shot, Javonte.
As a counterpoint, Toppin turned 24 last week, and Highland turns 22 in September. Perkins also turns 24 this year in August, meaning that if he does come back, he would start his professional career at 25. I don't see an NBA GM taking that kind of chance with a draft choice, which would put him in the G League, or overseas. Nothing wrong with that, or course.
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FT took TJ’s starting role from him and FT, to me, has deservedly become a coach favorite. I would understand if TJ wanted more minutes next year.
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I love Thatch’s game tonight, but we won, in large part, because they shot 10-22 FTs.
I’ll certainly take the W, but things must improve to make some noise in DC. -
Fordham is 7-8 in conference after losing their best player. Either the field is down or the coach is doing a lot of the right things. Maybe both.
Not top four any time soon, but perhaps not a perpetual cellar dweller either.
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I'm cautiously optimistic as I believe the phrase that you learn more from losing than winning. I don't want to learn too much, of course.
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I remember Pat Riley saying that his job as a Laker player was to push Jerry West in practice to make West better. So, maybe the skills needed to be a good practice player are different than being a good game player.
Maybe Goodwin has (not quite good enough) game skills, but not the practice skills. You saw this with covid and people called up, getting minutes and sticking. While the bench players were by passed for playing time. It may have been bad talent evaluation on behalf of the front office.
I don't have any inside knowledge about Goodwin, or anyone else, or anything, really. Just my thoughts.
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14 minutes ago, RUBillsFan said:
We've got a lot of practice playing against teams that aren't called for fouls because the refs basically didn't call anything on LaSalle or Duquesne during the 2nd halves of those blowout road wins. I assume they had dinner reservations after the games.
Actually the last time SLU had a foul discrepancy in their favor was 1/15 vs Fordham. The last 7 games SLU has been called for more fouls than their opponents.
If something happens a lot of the time, can we really be that disgruntled when it happens again? Especially with different refs and different opponents.
I try not be Charles Foster Kane who gives two headline choices, 'Kane Wins' or 'Fraud at the Polls.'
I don't think there are secret zebra meetings trying to figure out how to hose the Bills, without being too obvious about it.
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1 hour ago, juniorbill76 said:
There's a swimming pool below the court.
I hope Alfalfa won't be there to open the floor and drop them into the pool.
I'm hoping we can get Jimmy Stewart and Donna Reed doing the Charleston as the floor opens.
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I like Linssen’s moves at the rim. He fouls, yes. He hits his FTs. I think TF is managing just fine. Officiating like at GMU can’t really be planned for.
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14 hours ago, AnkielBreakers said:
I have a request from the stats wizards. Could someone pull all of the A10 games this year and determine how often a team has a Foul disparity in a game. Who gets the worst call comparison in games? As of right now, we have three games where the calls went heavily against us: Dayton (7), Umass (7), and GMU (11). That is the reason those games ended the way they did. I do not think the Bills foul more than other teams, and certainly less than Dayton. So, are we getting unreasonably bad luck with refs in the A10?
If so, why? Is this still a hold over from the days of Bully Ball, and are the refs still calling games against us based on past precedent?
Another request to the statistically gifted--What home court foul advantage was had, if any, for games without any fans?
I thought I reading somewhere that refs, psychologically, want to get cheered, not booed, so they give the calls to the home team on a toss up. Without fans, there is no psychological benefit/detriment.
And, I remember somewhere on this board that Linssen was noted to have a foul rate, before he stepped foot on campus. Some people foul more than others.
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2 hours ago, The Wiz said:
Yes, I do see their luck running out. My model is more than just wins. It also looks behind the numbers to see how the team is doing. Let's look at a few examples...
1...Wins and losses...Dav has a great record. And maybe if they can get into the "twightlight zone" of the selection committee they will reward them with a bid...maybe...unless they have a very deserving B12 or ACC team that was "damaged" by the miscalculating NET. Then again there are a number of teams with good records...Let's look at Norfolk St., a team with a good record...15-5 and yes they will be Dancing because they will probably take the auto bid from the Mighty MEAC (worst D1 conf.). Well suppose they miss the auto bid...maybe the committee will take care of them. You say no...they are a 1 bid conf...right now the A-10 is a 1 bid conf...When I ring up Norfolk to find an equivalent team I get Fordham...nobody here will say Fham is a dancing team...Bottom line ...Look past the record
2 ...Which brings me to the next point ...358 teams...On the previous point you will say ...yeah but Dav is better than Nor St. and that would be true, which is why we don't just look at the record. The computer looks at all 358 teams. So I punch in B12 conf and ask how many teams are ahead of Dav...answer ...all 10 of them...Now we know as slanted as the NCAA is, they won't take all 10...but if the committee is looking at a 2nd A-10 bid vs an 8th B12 bid...well don't bet the mortgage on Dav. Maybe that was a freak . Let's try B10...how many teams are better than Dav...only 11 of the 14...you see the issue here and if you don't the computer does and reduces everybody in the A-10 except SLU and Day to below 40% ..and Day is looking shaky ...which means that 2nd A-10 bid is looking shaky.
3... Yeah , but what about Dav...you can't even list them at 40%?.....Not now..... Why not? ...they are good, aren't they? ..Dav has one of the best offenses in the country...great A+ shooting....At this point, the computer doesn't think that will be enough to carry them all the way. Look at the Bills...we have a good offense too but if something goes wrong we have other ways to win....Dav not so much...Their D is a bit suspect....They have had some losses they shouldn't have had and some easy wins that turned into close calls. Can they pop back up ?...Yes , especially if their shooting gets and stays hot. But for now the computer doesn't like what it sees.
I hope that answers your question. The point of this post was not to slam Dav but to show some of the methodology that goes into the computer's thinking. You may not agree with it or the the results and that's fine. But I think it is as accurate as anything out there now and better than most. The only flaw is that it has to put up with me.
It does answer my question. Thank you. I don’t have the analytical tools that you. I see a team that beats (most of) the teams on its schedule, enough of the time that a single loss to a PIG opponent would be sloughed off as an off night occurrence.
They are running out of games vs quality and non-quality opponents to show their true colors, which means maybe their true colors are pretty good. They live up to the mantra ‘Just Win Baby’.
I’m not smart enough to dispute your math, just mystified at the discrepancy.
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Davidson gets a lot of love in the rankings, 19-3, 9-1. Toughest remaining games are hosting the Bills on 2/19 and going to George Mason on 3/2 to Dayton on 3/5. They have a win over Alabama, splitting vs VCU.
Do your numbers see their luck running out? I just don’t understand the discrepancy between the two valuations.
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Bills by 4? I'd settle for 1.
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9 minutes ago, slufanskip said:
I disagree 47 seconds left, what if you don’t have a good shot in 10-12 seconds? Do you force it anyway? The opponent can then take 20 ish seconds do and you have another 10-12 seconds. Of course if I have the right shot in 12 seconds, I take it, but in general I’d rather get 1 good shot and defend rather than 2 not great shots.
If the coach can’t design a play to get you a good shot in 10-12 seconds, you don’t have a skill set that good coaches have. Designing last second shots is part of the job description.
Of course, things can go wrong when dealing with 20 year olds, and the best designed plays can go to s**te, but I didn’t see any deliberate attempt to treat it as a 2 for 1 opportunity. That’s my beef.
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2 hours ago, slufan13 said:
Go 2 for 1 here
This is why I sometimes question The Coach. :47 left in first OT, Bills coming out of a timeout, tie game. Get a shot off in 10-12 seconds and get the ball back. Tomfoolery ensues, Bills turn it over at the :27 second mark. Bills make the stop and all’s well that ends well, I suppose, but the clock management was beyond terrible.
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I can't trust this team to win a close one. Yes, Iona, but they have let too many slip away in the homestretch.
I do have faith; faith is belief despite the evidence.
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Oddball stat—three times in the past four games, Billiken opponents have made more FTs than the Billikens have taken.
I can’t see the relevance easily, admittedly.
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38 minutes ago, Matty Light said:
Probably 1.5. I will take Strickland at 6 minutes if there's a pool going.
I wonder if Coach is 'showcasing' Strickland. I don't see him getting significant minutes here, possibly ever, so this gives Strickland a chance to show other programs what he can do.
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I think Mack was shown the door. Too much losing.