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How many wins to make the dance?


bsheldon

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Since the schedule is released and predictions are being made... How many wins do we have to get to make the dance?

If we go 20-10 in regular season and 1-1 in A-10 do we make it?

Are 22 Regular season wins a lock?

21-11 with your schedule would get you a mid seed in the NIT. 23-9 would probably still not be enough given the high number of home games.

As a point of reference, Rhode Island on Selection Sunday had an RPI of 38 last season, a record of 23-9, ten wins away from home, three wins over BCS teams (only one of which went to the NCAA), a 2-1 record in the A-10 tourney, and was left out of the NCAA. A similar thing happened to Dayton a few years ago as well. A-10 schools are not given the benfit of the doubt and have little margin for selection.

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21-11 with your schedule would get you a mid seed in the NIT. 23-9 would probably still not be enough given the high number of home games.

As a point of reference, Rhode Island on Selection Sunday had an RPI of 38 last season, a record of 23-9, ten wins away from home, three wins over BCS teams (only one of which went to the NCAA), a 2-1 record in the A-10 tourney, and was left out of the NCAA. A similar thing happened to Dayton a few years ago as well. A-10 schools are not given the benfit of the doubt and have little margin for selection.

With that in mind then, we have to be spectacular to make the dance. 24-6 regular season and win at least one if not 2 games in the A-10 tourney. This would not allow any slip-ups in the games we "should" win. They are no longer "shoulds" but "musts." Only 6 losses would truly be an amazing season. Fingers crossed.

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With that in mind then, we have to be spectacular to make the dance. 24-6 regular season and win at least one if not 2 games in the A-10 tourney. This would not allow any slip-ups in the games we "should" win. They are no longer "shoulds" but "musts." Only 6 losses would truly be an amazing season. Fingers crossed.

A win at Duke would give SLU some breathing room if it were to happen.

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23 w's in regular season and make the tourney's final game. That should almost guarantee a bid. The most important non con game is the GA game, since the rest of our non con is relatively weak save for Duke. GA is a must win situation at home. 23 w's means we likely win the Cancun thing, no great shakes by the way, and we're 12-4 in conference play, which ain't gonna be easy. Also important is the Duke game. We don't have to win it, but we have to be competitive, ie lose by 10 or less. All this should be enough to catch the committee's attention and earn us a 7 or 8 seed. The A-10 will be tough but 12-4 is doable.

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21-11 with your schedule would get you a mid seed in the NIT. 23-9 would probably still not be enough given the high number of home games.

As a point of reference, Rhode Island on Selection Sunday had an RPI of 38 last season, a record of 23-9, ten wins away from home, three wins over BCS teams (only one of which went to the NCAA), a 2-1 record in the A-10 tourney, and was left out of the NCAA. A similar thing happened to Dayton a few years ago as well. A-10 schools are not given the benfit of the doubt and have little margin for selection.

RI's problem last year was they finished the season 4-6, including bad losses to St. Bon and UMass down the stretch. Even with that choke of a finish, RI would be one of the last 4 out under the new NCAA (4 new teams) which means one more win and you would have been in.

I'm not sure I understand your high number of home games comment given that we play 6 of our 13 RPI eligible games away from home.

22-8 regular season coupled with 1-1 in A-10 tourney gets us in...

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