Interesting stuff, maybe I'll set up one of my brackets with it and see the outcome. Thanks! Seems to put a lot of weight on travel and most on Sagarin. The travel is an issue for sure. I'm hearing that Melvin Johnson is possible to play Sunday if VCU gets there, which is likely. I'll take a 75% Melvin if he's parked on the 3 line. No teardrops. We won't really know how bad it is until he actually plays. If he does, he will not play a lot of defense. I haven't seen where he has an ACL. Where is that info? I can't find it.
Check this out. Pretty interesting stuff. I put a lot of weight on defense, especially in the tourney.
http://johngasaway.com/2014/03/11/tuesday-truths-final-reality/
This should be a pretty sound predictor as well, as every conference has cupcakes.
63% is the fact that UCLA is basically playing a home game, so they get the 3 point advantage. That game will be a very good game. I do have Louisville winning on two sheets. Unbelievable that the Committee puts such strong weight on a LAME RPI system, when there are so many other tools to use. I am wondering where the other 8% went though.
I can't agree that pre-season rankings should be given a lot of weight, but if they are then VCU should have done very well in that category. I'm also wondering why VCU appears to have gotten the easiest 12 seed when SLU got the worst, That blew me away when I watched the show. Expected SLU to get a much better shot at a sweet 16 since SLU was above VCU in the overall field ratings. Maybe they were using the computer ratings when they filled out the 5-13 slots more than we think.