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The Wiz's Mid Conference Review


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There has been a lot of hand wringing this season...some of it deserved ....some of it overblown.  It all depends on comparisons and expectations.

In the D-1 universe , we are a C- team , slightly below average.  We are certainly not an end of the world team.....see the Detroit Titans thread elsewhere on the board for that scenario ...Compared to the Titans , we look like a Final 4 team.  In the  Billiken world , we are looking for a Top 50 team (A-  ), a team that has a chance to Dance. In that sense we have fallen far short....and thus the fan unrest.

I have seen talk comparing this team to the Crews years.  If we look at the 21st Century teams...the 2 worst teams are 3rd year Crews 11-21 (3-15) and 1st year Ford 12-21 (6-12). Both teams are rated at D and in a simulated game against one another the game would be even.  If the present day Bills played either team the current Bills would be favored by 3.  Those 2 past Bills teams are comparable to present day DePaul ...3-20...0-12.   If DePaul played the Bills today at the Fetz...Bills by 7.... Current Bills playing old Bills teams is considered a neutral game at the Fetz. 

Bottom line ...This is not the worst team ever.   In fact it is not the worst team of the 21st century.  It is a disappointing team in that it is not competing in the A-10 or for The Dance.  The good news is that in the new world of college basketball with the portal and NIL  it is no longer a 4 or 5 year fix.   Things can turn around in a year with the right moves. Things could be much worse now....you could be in Detroit.

TheChosenOne likes this
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the coach knew that he needed two point guards who could play right now not next year he got none he brought a player here that is not eligible and two bigs that can not play now good coaches can not put this team on the floor under the rules now in place {gates aside] but6 i only care about billikens

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On 2/10/2024 at 10:29 AM, The Wiz said:

There has been a lot of hand wringing this season...some of it deserved ....some of it overblown.  It all depends on comparisons and expectations.

In the D-1 universe , we are a C- team , slightly below average.  We are certainly not an end of the world team.....see the Detroit Titans thread elsewhere on the board for that scenario ...Compared to the Titans , we look like a Final 4 team.  In the  Billiken world , we are looking for a Top 50 team (A-  ), a team that has a chance to Dance. In that sense we have fallen far short....and thus the fan unrest.

I have seen talk comparing this team to the Crews years.  If we look at the 21st Century teams...the 2 worst teams are 3rd year Crews 11-21 (3-15) and 1st year Ford 12-21 (6-12). Both teams are rated at D and in a simulated game against one another the game would be even.  If the present day Bills played either team the current Bills would be favored by 3.  Those 2 past Bills teams are comparable to present day DePaul ...3-20...0-12.   If DePaul played the Bills today at the Fetz...Bills by 7.... Current Bills playing old Bills teams is considered a neutral game at the Fetz. 

Bottom line ...This is not the worst team ever.   In fact it is not the worst team of the 21st century.  It is a disappointing team in that it is not competing in the A-10 or for The Dance.  The good news is that in the new world of college basketball with the portal and NIL  it is no longer a 4 or 5 year fix.   Things can turn around in a year with the right moves. Things could be much worse now....you could be in Detroit.

I'm assuming the spread on the Majerus tournament teams against today's team would break the computer? 

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