I agree with most of your points Chesseman, the problem is I don't se Conf-USA staying together.
I see Louisville out of here, with Cincinnati and Marquette not far behind, maybe all three to the Big East. Despite the public love, if Marquette gets an offer, they will not think twice about SLU or DePaul. Then what? Heck, we look down at the MVC but take a look at valleytalk.net, they had a poll of who they wanted and we were way behind both Butler and Western Kentucky. We may not even get an offer there.
Would you prefer to stay in what is left of Conf USA, which does fall below the MVC at that time? A re-creation of the old MCC is a better bet than just joining the Horizon or whatever. This market size does not do it alone, the MCC was getting attention in the late 80s because of smaller market teams like Evansville and Dayton along with Xavier. Loyola and Detroit had the largest markets and no one cared. DePaul is quicky getting to that point as well. Maybe I'm old school and a little to regional, but I would rather see a rivalry develop wiith Bradley versus home and homes with ECU.