The Wiz Posted January 13, 2006 Share Posted January 13, 2006 In additiion to the point spread, I have also calculated a probability percentage in an effort to make the point spread more meaningful. In this example, if the Bills played U Mass 1000 times they would win 543 times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lefty Posted January 13, 2006 Share Posted January 13, 2006 Is your calculation for home games only ? Seems way too low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billikenbooster Posted January 13, 2006 Share Posted January 13, 2006 ken pomeroy has us -1 for the UMass game. mhg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted January 13, 2006 Author Share Posted January 13, 2006 No --Home and away Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILbillikenfan Posted January 13, 2006 Share Posted January 13, 2006 I think the probability to win would be even higher considering we lost last game... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted January 13, 2006 Author Share Posted January 13, 2006 I thought the percentage (54) was high given a 1 pt spread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kshoe Posted January 13, 2006 Share Posted January 13, 2006 which according to him works to a 46% probability. Sounds like your +1 and 54% probability is dead on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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