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The Bills over GW by 19


The Wiz

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Before we get started ...I noticed that Aub is now #1 ITN...a chance to beat them was only 2 seconds away....Moral of the story ...we can beat anybody...not just in the A-10...but anybody.
 
Chance 2 Dance
 
The Bills....54%...up
 
Day............50%....dn
VCU...........49%....up
Dav............45%....dn
 
Big jump up for the Bills after the 2nd  game UMass win
3 takeaways from the latest C2D...
1...We have the best C2D in the A-10...again
2...UMass series...whatever we lost on game 1 , we made up on game 2
3...Over emphasis on individual games...very few teams win them all...The Bills should win the vast majority of their remaining games.
 
Next up D rated GW....GW will probably be a PIG team.  In the games against UMass, I mentioned that  UM was the worst team on defense we will face this year.. While GW's defense is slightly better than UMass , GW has the worst offense we will face this year. On top of that one of their top player's is questionable for our game.  This will be a cake walk... IF... we play like we did against UMass part 2.
 
Let's see what the report card says...
 
...................SLU.....................GW..........................SLU.........................GW

.................................OFF..........................................................DEF.............

PPG...............A........................F+...........................C+..............................D+

FG%...............B.......................D-.............................B+.............................D+

3Pt%.............A-.......................F...............................B+.............................A-

FT%...............A........................F.................................................................

Reb...............A.......................D.................................A-.............................F- 7th WITN

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP....Off...Reb.....Def.....FG%...3P%

Down....Off...FT%.....Def...none

Team FTs... Top 10 Teams ITN

FTM/gm....The Bills...4th...dn

FTA/gm....The Bills....8th....unch

FTM / 100 possessions...The Bills...4th...unch

Top 100 ITN (In The Nation)/ gm

SLU

Assts...Collins... 2nd... unch...with a good game , Yuri can move into 1st ITN and all time SLU Assts leader 

Stls......Collins....37th....up

FT%...Jimerson...78rd...dn

Dou-Dou....Collins...94th...new

PPG...Jimerson...74th...up

GW

Stls...Lindo...59th

Blks...Lindo...46th

The report card is looking good with the offense 1 grade away from the honor roll(straight A's) and the defense 1 grade away from honorable mention (straight B's). We are looking more and more like a balanced team and that is a good thing.

 

Injury/ Illness

Lindo..Fwd...Ques..Undisclosed injury...1/22/22..Lindo has missed the last 2 games with an injury. It is uncertain if he will face us.

Keys to the game...

Our good defense needs to shut down GW...I mean really shut them down...like less than 60 pts. With a weak defense and an even weaker offense plus virtually no rebounding, it looks bleak for GW. The one bright spot for them is 3P defense where they come up with an A- . What does this mean for the Bills ...if you have a good 3 P shot take  it, if not there will be plenty of other ways to score ...find them.  The only way they can win is if we let them win.

WWN2D2W.... 

We need to play Billiken ball...Make our slash...48/37/ 77...this was one of the few weak spots in the last UMass game...everything else was so good it didn't matter but we need to get back on track shooting wise. ...Reb...10+...they are weak on the boards ..take advantage...TOs 11.. this is an area where we could give away points ...no reason to ..we showed we can take care of the ball in the last game...do it again.....Bishop and Bamisile are their offensive threats...hold them to a combined 23pts....If Lindo doesn't play because of his injury, the spread will move into the 20s...... Word of warning...no overconfidence ...RI put a smack down on UMass and then a week later lost to GW. ...beware

Bottom line...

Remember UMass part2 and then hold that thought....

If we do...

And play like part 2

The Colonials will be through.

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39 minutes ago, HoosierPal said:

What is the over and under for Courtney minutes? 2.5? 1.5?

 

27 minutes ago, Matty Light said:

Probably 1.5. I will take Strickland at 6 minutes if there's a pool going.

More fun would be O/U Jimerson and Collins minutes. I'm setting the line at 26.5 and taking the under

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38 minutes ago, Matty Light said:

Probably 1.5. I will take Strickland at 6 minutes if there's a pool going.

I wonder if Coach is 'showcasing' Strickland.  I don't see him getting significant minutes here, possibly ever, so this gives Strickland a chance to show other programs what he can do.  

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16 minutes ago, Bills By 40 said:

 

More fun would be O/U Jimerson and Collins minutes. I'm setting the line at 26.5 and taking the under

I will take the over, as Jimerson went 35 against UMass and Collins 30.  Of course, Collins in foul trouble screws this up. Jimerson has fouled out in one game in his career, so I'm not worried about any foul trouble for him.

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6 minutes ago, someoneelse said:

I wonder if Coach is 'showcasing' Strickland.  I don't see him getting significant minutes here, possibly ever, so this gives Strickland a chance to show other programs what he can do.  

im a big believer in strickland.   i saw in the right system he would be fantastic.   i can imagine him in the shaka havoc being a star.   the guy imo is the best athlete on the team. 

SLU_Lax and Old guy like this
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As for the 4 little PIGs...Duq...Fham...GW ...LaS.....The Big Bad Billiken will huff and puff and blow them all away.

In the game we just won by 31...these are the minutes for the mop up crew....

Courtney....3 min...2pts...FG (1-1 )...2 rebs...1 PF

Strickland...5 min...2 pts...FG (0-2)...FT (2-4)... rebs 2... stl..1

Lorentsson...3 min ....assts ...1

 

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3 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

As for the 4 little PIGs...Duq...Fham...GW ...LaS.....The Big Bad Billiken will huff and puff and blow them all away.

In the game we just won by 31...these are the minutes for the mop up crew....

Courtney....3 min...2pts...FG (1-1 )...2 rebs...1 PF

Strickland...5 min...2 pts...FG (0-2)...FT (2-4)... rebs 2... stl..1

Lorentsson...3 min ....assts ...1

 

Courtney and Lorentsson entered the game together, with Courtney at point guard, running the show in the waning minutes.

As a Fordham Dad with a loyal Fordham alumnus son, we are hoping Fordham avoids the Pillow Fight this season, which would be a sign of progress.   As of games of 1/23/22, Fordham (NET 174) did have a better NET than 187 UMass, 233 Duquesne, 250 LaSalle, and 267 GW, and was right on the tail of 170 St. Joe's.

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20 minutes ago, Bay Area Billiken said:

Courtney and Lorentsson entered the game together, with Courtney at point guard, running the show in the waning minutes.

 

Courtney subbed in for Jones at the 2:39 mark.  Lorentsson was ready to sub in for TJ, but he missed the FT.  So the next dead ball was at 2:22, when Lorentsson came in and Hargrove was out.  Lorentsson was credited for 3 minutes, but actually only played 2:22.  I thought they rounded to the nearest minute for the records, but they didn't in this case.  Maybe they use the player subbed out to rationalize the minutes.  

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5 hours ago, The Wiz said:

As for the 4 little PIGs...Duq...Fham...GW ...LaS.....The Big Bad Billiken will huff and puff and blow them all away.

In the game we just won by 31...these are the minutes for the mop up crew....

Courtney....3 min...2pts...FG (1-1 )...2 rebs...1 PF

Strickland...5 min...2 pts...FG (0-2)...FT (2-4)... rebs 2... stl..1

Lorentsson...3 min ....assts ...1

 

-thank you

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Team Rankings (62 TR rankings for SLU) Vegas line favors SLU to win by 16.5 pts with the full 5 star confidence rating. The pregame performance stats for SLU are better than GWs in both offense and defense. Again an independent evaluation with different methodology supporting the Wiz's evaluation.

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I can't see Fordham avoiding another PIG.  They are always short players and lost Daye to transfer.  Now Chuba Ohams is out having missed the Dayton and Davidson games.  They have two wins and even if Ohams comes back, their only "winnable" games left appear to be hoe games against La Salle and Geedubya, assuming losses on all road contests.  That gives them 4 wins in conference.  They are currently tied with St. Joe's and Geedubya but the Joeys have looked extremely better overall and Geedubya has more talent with Linmdo, Bamisile and Bishop.  They are one game ahead of Duquesne, Umass and La Salle.  Can't see them doing it.

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6 minutes ago, Taj79 said:

I can't see Fordham avoiding another PIG.  They are always short players and lost Daye to transfer.  Now Chuba Ohams is out having missed the Dayton and Davidson games. 

Woah, did not know the UD game was that close w/o chuba, 

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Saw the whole affair.  The oen thing missed in all the computations is Fordham has always been a decent defensive team.  They have had to be.  Without offense, they relied on defense and still do.  Dayton is a young team, we all know that.  Smith is a true freshman.  Elvis played little at DePaul.  Ditto Brea.  I'm telling you that short of dunking, Holmes hasn't shown much in terms of overall ball skills but still you don't want your 6'10" center playing point guard.  Neither Amzil nor Blakeney nor even Camari are ballhandlers as bigs.  But Fordham pressed and forced him to do it.  Weaver didn't play a minute last night; don't know why.  With that youth in the backcourt, Fordham forced 18 turnovers.  Therein lies the recipe for beating Dayton.  

Fordham won the turnover battle 18 to 10.  Fordham got hammered on fouls 17 to 8.  Fordham made six more threes than Dayton.  Dayton buried them on the boards 44 to 24.  Elvis and Brea, who had career games against us and the Bonnies, tallied 4 and 5.  Smith was dreadful from three going 1 of 4.  Even the color guy pointed out that Fordham was letting him drive because he needs to develop a shot.  Holmes made 8 shots but all were dunks/layups again. 

My buddy was in Aruba at the casino.  He had Dayton -13.5.  Loser. 

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31 minutes ago, kmbilliken said:

I don’t see it. What does he do besides dunk?

That's why I said in the right system like Shaka's havoc

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i saw plenty of pure athletes who's sole job was to create the "havoc".   how many of shaka's havoc players made the nba?  

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5 hours ago, Taj79 said:

Saw the whole affair.  The oen thing missed in all the computations is Fordham has always been a decent defensive team.  They have had to be.  Without offense, they relied on defense and still do. 

Not to nitpicky, but this is not "missed in all the computations". All of the numbers I've seen support exactly what you say above, that Fordham is currently and always has been a decent defensive team.

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