Questions for The Wiz

[NH]

2 minutes ago, Bay Area Billiken said:

SLU can improve its own NET by winning.  But that's just it, winning.  Treading water is not going to get it done.  And SLU must protect its home court.

NET's of SLU's 4 losses:  Auburn 10, Belmont 37, UAB 53, @Memphis 54.  SLU's NET is 72.  SLU would be a definite NCAA At Large contender had it won those 3 games in which it had those double digit leads, in the ballpark by winning 2 of them, especially Auburn.

That has very little to do with the point I was responding to. The A10 has not been a 1-bid league since 2006. The NET rankings of the team as of today matter some, but they are still highly preliminary. Some team will need to win 14+ games to win the A10. Whichever team does that will see its NET increase dramatically, and will be well positioned for an At-Large. It’s even possible that two teams could perform well enough in conference to have an at large resume come March.

[3star_recruit]

37 minutes ago, NH said:

That has very little to do with the point I was responding to. The A10 has not been a 1-bid league since 2006. The NET rankings of the team as of today matter some, but they are still highly preliminary. Some team will need to win 14+ games to win the A10. Whichever team does that will see its NET increase dramatically, and will be well positioned for an At-Large. It’s even possible that two teams could perform well enough in conference to have an at large resume come March.

If Davidson happens to be the team to win 75% of its conference games, that would easily push them into the top 40 and a near-lock for an at-large.  If either VCU or our beloved Bills did the same, they would be looking at top 50, which is on the outside looking in.  Everybody else has a lot of work to do to get into top 50 territory.

A team that is top 50 going into the A10 tournament might be able to get to the final game, lose and still make a strong case for getting into the Dance.  That's what happened in the Mountain West last year.

So there are paths to getting two teams in, but the one that gives the A10 the best shot is Davidson securing an at-large before the A10 tournament.

 

[billiken_roy]

i have always found that 40 is a pretty good cutoff point.    you know that all the one bid conferences get a pick.   someone already said that currently there are probably 22 conferences that have no teams at the 40 or under mark.   so there are 22 spots.   then if you take teams in that top 40 that get upset in the tourney and the tourney gets won by an over 40 ranked team they will get the remaining spots.  usually there is indeed about 6 of those.  thus our 68 teams.   the problem for the committee comes when there is more than 6 upsets then one of the 40 and under teams is out.  

i really think with the a-10 being down, the chances of an at large spot with 3 or more conference losses is very slim for the billikens this year.  these 3 giveaway losses were huge.