wgstl Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Another thing to look out for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franchise_08 Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Pulling for The Wolverines tonight, I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUBillsFan Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 11 hours ago, wgstl said: Another thing to look out for. All of the bracket projections on Bracket Matrix have Okla State IN, so this wasn’t even on my radar and I assumed they’d be in the field. However, I doubt the NCAA responds at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 according to Bracket Matrix, MSU 19 point loss last night took them from 1st team out, to in. Need Michigan to win big @ state Sunday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billiken_roy Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 24 minutes ago, wgstl said: according to Bracket Matrix, MSU 19 point loss last night took them from 1st team out, to in. Need Michigan to win big @ state Sunday that makes no sense Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUBillsFan Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 27 minutes ago, wgstl said: according to Bracket Matrix, MSU 19 point loss last night took them from 1st team out, to in. Need Michigan to win big @ state Sunday 3 minutes ago, billiken_roy said: that makes no sense BracketMatrix is based on brackets put out in previous days. None of the brackets in it are from after the Michigan State loss last night. They are all from 3/2 through 3/4. wgstl and GBL_Bills like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUBillsFan Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 (edited) Rooting interests for today (KenPom odds of favorable SLU result in parenthesis) *'s are how important the game is by my estimate bold are opponents SLU has played (or played more often if we played both) italics are fellow bubble teams after the - are my comments 10am CT St Bona (76%) over Duq - we played Bona, but haven't played Duq so this a small boost plus it gives us a bigger boost to beat Bona next round than beating Duq. 11am CT Loyola (93%) over SIU** - need Loyola to win the MVC auto-bid to avoid someone else stealing a bid (see Drake loss later) 12pm CT SAINT LOUIS (73%) over UMass******** - duh 2pm CT Indiana State (70%) over Evansville - makes SLU W over Indy St look better 2:30pm CT Dayton (32%) over VCU - we lost to Dayton twice (& VCU only once), so this would make losses a little better 5pm CT Northern Iowa (19%) over Drake** - knocks Drake off the bubble, we need this & Loyola to win the MVC tournament 7pm CT Wake Forest (19%) over Georgia Tech* 7pm CT UAPB (79%) over Miss Valley St - MVSU is beyond terrible 8pm CT Nevada (44%) over Colorado State** I could really go either way on the other A10 games - maybe we want both Bona & VCU to lose so we have a better chance to win the entire A10 tournament and/or knock fellow these bubble teams down OR maybe we want them to win because we want more A10 teams to make the NCAAs and/or beating them or losing to them is better for our resume than beating or losing to others. Edited March 5, 2021 by RUBillsFan Compton likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 1 minute ago, RUBillsFan said: 10am CT St Bona (76%) over Duq - we played Bona, but haven't played Duq so this a small boost plus it gives us a bigger boost to beat Bona next round than beating Duq. Im split. While I tend to agree, I also feel like if we win 2 games against anyone we're in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billiken_roy Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, wgstl said: Im split. While I tend to agree, I also feel like if we win 2 games against anyone we're in. i do not think the A10 gets 4 teams. and if the billikens lose to anyone but st bonnie or vcu at any point this week, they will not be in imo. i feel st bonnie and vcu are given's. the lasalle and dayton losses are devastating imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, RUBillsFan said: Rooting interests for today 2:30pm CT Dayton (32%) over VCU - we lost to Dayton twice (& VCU only once), so this would make losses a little better Dayton sits at NET 80 today. If they move up to 75 with a win, our two losses move up a Quad each, to Q1 and Q2. Right now they are Q2 and Q3. Every little bit might help. VCU loses, they won't move out of a Q1 L for us. (Weird talking about maximizing loses.) RUBillsFan likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Littlebill Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, billiken_roy said: i do not think the A10 gets 4 teams. and if the billikens lose to anyone but st bonnie or vcu at any point this week, they will not be in imo. i feel st bonnie and vcu are given's. the lasalle and dayton losses are devastating imo. Disagree - if either of them lose today I think they're in trouble. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Just now, Littlebill said: Disagree - if either of them lose today I think they're in trouble. More so VCU. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Littlebill Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Just now, wgstl said: More so VCU. Agreed- if VCU loses, I think they're out. If Bonnies lose, I think it gives them real reason to be nervous next weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010andBeyond Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Dayton can go ahead and lose. I’d rather play VCU at UD Arena for all the marbles. Even with Dayton’s improved numbers, can’t imagine we’d get in if we were to lose to them a third time while adding yet another road loss. Slu let the dogs out? likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Best outcome. Bonnies beat the Dukes by so much, that they jump 5 spots in the net. Then when we beat the bonnies they stay in the top 30 to give SLU 3 total Q1 wins. RUBillsFan and billiken_roy like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slu let the dogs out? Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, wgstl said: Best outcome. Bonnies beat the Dukes by so much, that they jump 5 spots in the net. Then when we beat the bonnies they stay in the top 30 to give SLU 3 total Q1 wins. 21 point lead at the half is a good start... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUBillsFan Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, wgstl said: Best outcome. Bonnies beat the Dukes by so much, that they jump 5 spots in the net. Then when we beat the bonnies they stay in the top 30 to give SLU 3 total Q1 wins. This coupled with @HoosierPal's scenario of Dayton beating VCU and moving those losses to Q1 & Q2 would really boost our resume on paper. Totally stupid IMO that it would make that much of a difference (the Quad thing overall is so dumb), but I'd take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slufanskip Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 19 minutes ago, RUBillsFan said: This coupled with @HoosierPal's scenario of Dayton beating VCU and moving those losses to Q1 & Q2 would really boost our resume on paper. Totally stupid IMO that it would make that much of a difference (the Quad thing overall is so dumb), but I'd take it. Yes it's better to beat or lose to the 30th and 73rd ranked teams than to the 31st and 32nd as if the 30th team is really any better than the 32nd or even the 35th Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quality Is Job 1 Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 4 hours ago, RUBillsFan said: Rooting interests for today (KenPom odds of favorable SLU result in parenthesis) *'s are how important the game is by my estimate bold are opponents SLU has played (or played more often if we played both) italics are fellow bubble teams after the - are my comments [snip] 11am CT Loyola (93%) over SIU** - need Loyola to win the MVC at-large to avoid someone else stealing a bid (see Drake loss later) [snip] I could really go either way on the other A10 games - maybe we want both Bona & VCU to lose so we have a better chance to win the entire A10 tournament and/or knock fellow these bubble teams down OR maybe we want them to win because we want more A10 teams to make the NCAAs and/or beating them or losing to them is better for our resume than beating or losing to others. You mean for Loyola to win the automatic bid, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianstl Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Up to 38 in T-Rank. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianstl Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Up to 39 in KenPom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianstl Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Beat the Bonnies tomorrow and T-Rank has us pretty solidly in the field as the fourth 10 seed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACE Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 4 hours ago, 2010andBeyond said: Dayton can go ahead and lose. I’d rather play VCU at UD Arena for all the marbles. Even with Dayton’s improved numbers, can’t imagine we’d get in if we were to lose to them a third time while adding yet another road loss. That's exactly what we need. Don't want to play Dayton at their place. Beat Bonawelding tomorrow, even if we lose to VCU in the finals, we are in. The selection committee always claims there is not a conference quota, but it doesn't seem that way. It feels like a three bid lead. If we lose to VCU in the finals, we'll be in with them and Bona. billiken_roy likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUBillsFan Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 35 minutes ago, Quality Is Job 1 said: You mean for Loyola to win the automatic bid, right? Yep. Fixed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsBeliever!!! Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 Serious question- if VCU loses to Dayton and we beat Bonaventure, do we have a better resume? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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