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The Bills over LaS by 18


The Wiz

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Yes... a surprising spread....especially since we just lost to them 11 days ago. But a lot has happened in the last 11 days. Since then we haven't lost and they haven't won.    2 of the 3 teams we beat are better than LaS... the 3rd one is the bottom feeder Fham , AND Fham just beat LaS.  We are currently an A- team....they are a C team trending at C-. Put in context, 18pts doesn't seem so crazy.

With the win over Fham we have reached the magic 13 games to be considered for a Dance bid...especially important  in light of the Fham shut down today...made it by the skin of our teeth.  Also with 13 games, it gives me a larger sample size to start narrowing the grade focus....With an A- at this point...our range the rest of the year should be  from B+ to A.......B+ gives us a 1/3 chance for a bid...A- gives us a bid...and A gives us a good seed.  If you want to see what we need to do for the rest of the season ....check out the Post Covid rust thread.

So back to the LaS game...How did we lose?  Besides the rust  ...we played bad, they played good ...let's look at some numbers....

LaS...slash ave.....44/36/68

........Feb 3 game...49/42/77

SLU  ...Slash ave.....48/36/72

..........Feb 3 game....40/21/75

They were hot ...we were not.

Going into this game...we are playing the best defense of the year...pre or post pause. Our shooting has slipped since we came back....That will come back too ...we just need it to happen in the next 5-9 days  (Day & VCU) This game would be a great time to fine tune the shooting

Let's look at the report card.

 

.............................SLU.................................LaS.......................................................SLU......................................LaS

.............................................OFF.....................................................................................................DEF...............

PPG.........................A-....................................D.........................................................A-......................................D+

FG%.........................A-...................................C-........................................................A.........................................D

3Pt%........................B......................................B+......................................................D+........................................B-

FT%.........................C+.... ..............................D.......................................................................................................

Reb.........................B+....................................F+........................................................A+...18th ITN......................C

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP....Offense...Rebs ......Defense ...PPG...FG%...3P%...Rebs

Down...Offense...FG%...3P%...FT%...........Defense....none

Top 100 ITN (In The Nation)

PPG...Perkins...81st...up

Assts...Collins...9th ...up

Rebs...Goodwin....21st....dn

FT%...Perkins...72nd...up

Stls......Goodwin...56th....up

Double Double....Goodwin...8th ...unch

LaS

Stls...Brickus...94th

Blks....Moore...98th

Injuries

Yuri Collins..........G ................Ques...ankle...2/13/21..............It is unknown whether he will take on LaS on Tues.

Scott Spencer....G...................Ques,,,.Lower body injury...2/13/21....Spencer missed the previous game, and his status for Tues is hazy.

Note....Spencer is their leading 3P shooter....He did miss the last game with us 11 days ago.

 

LaS game is all about the 3...both offense and defense. It will be important to shut down their 3 pt shot. ...and for us to have a balanced attack to open up some opportunities inside and out.  The reb game on 2/ 3 was disappointing.  They tied us on the boards at 29 a piece. They are a poor reb team . That should have never happened. It wasn't that LaS rebounded great, it was that we were missing from the boards.  Yesterday's 55 rebs were nearly twice what we had against LaS.  Think big board numbers.

WWN2D2W....Make some shots ...48/36/ 72 will work....Dominate the boards...win that battle by 9...No real stars on their team....hold their top 3 scorers to 25....Beatty killed us from the arc last time...80% (4 of 5) ....put somebody on him.   Keep TOs to 11....also we should be able to pressure them to turn the ball. over 15 times.

Bottom line....Pay back time....We should have never lost that last game...I am giving us a Covid pass on that one.  But on this one , we owe them big time....How big?...18 pts. The Explorers need to discover the new Billiken world.

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30 minutes ago, Box and Won said:

Good morning from Salina, Kansas.

Yes, I am literally in Salina, Kansas, right now. I’m hoping that fact will bring the team some sort of positive energy.

During Covid, please scan and email the PAYSTUBS to ensure proper physical distance.  

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A fun win...about what I expected....

A tip of the cap to Goodwin and Perkins...Goodwin misses a triple- double by 2 assists...and Perkins scores 19 pts in only 22 min...Goodwin will be moving up on the double double  and the reb rankings in today's  Dayton spread thread as will Perkins in the PPG chart.

Bold text is from original post in this thread.

 

Make some shots ...48/36/ 72 will work ......We did ....53/32/59...The good thing is the extra 2's were enough to make up the difference in the rest of the line.... the 2's look good...the 3s are improving  and we need to get the FT back a up a bit.

Dominate the boards...win that battle by 9... We did...  the margin was 7 ...close enough.

Beatty killed us from the arc last time...80% (4 of 5) ....put somebody on him ....We did... 17% (1-6)...It wasn't just Beatty...we shut down the whole team from the arc...18% (5-29)...sweet

Keep TOs to 11. ... Bingo

No real stars on their team....hold their top 3 scorers to 25... No real stars means this is a balanced team...Their top 2 scored 35pts...61% of the total pts....the rest of the team was  of out of it...22pts from 7 players........ so even though this was a miss it worked out.

Pay back time...we owe them big time. ....And we did pay them back +3

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1 hour ago, Bay Area Billiken said:

SLU NCAA NET improves to 31, now best in the A10. VCU 33, St. Bona 40 would also be IN to give the A10 3. Richmond at 55 would be OUT, but close. Davidson 73, URI 86, Dayton 95, give the A10 7 in the Top 100.

Davidson could win the A10 regular season and be out, while 3 below them get in. It is amazing how the schedules have worked out in conference.

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1 hour ago, Bay Area Billiken said:

SLU NCAA NET improves to 31, now best in the A10. VCU 33, St. Bona 40 would also be IN to give the A10 3. Richmond at 55 would be OUT, but close. Davidson 73, URI 86, Dayton 95, give the A10 7 in the Top 100.

-we beat the then 180th ranked team and move up 2 places, interesting along with Colgate sitting there at 11

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10 minutes ago, Cowboy said:

-we beat the then 180th ranked team and move up 2 places, interesting along with Colgate sitting there at 11

We didn't move much in my rankings either ...because we did what we were supposed to do...Had we piled on and won by 30 ...it wouldn't make much difference. Once you get over 15 points you don't get any extra kick in most models.

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48 minutes ago, RUBillsFan said:

He blocked me as well.  I thought my quote tweets of him were fairly tame and your replies were even tamer.  Talk about having a thin skin.

Especially when his Twitter account is literally telling people they should bet their hard-earned money using his advice. If you’re gonna make such awful picks, at least own it. 

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1 hour ago, Reinert310 said:

Especially when his Twitter account is literally telling people they should bet their hard-earned money using his advice. If you’re gonna make such awful picks, at least own it. 

Honestly you'd think that a guy trying to sell his betting advice would actually welcome the exposure of people on twitter reacting to his picks - good or bad.  He's missing out on a lot of free publicity if he blocks anyone who calls him out for when some of his advice inevitably doesn't pan out.

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