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The Bills over InSt by 14


The Wiz

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So I guess it turns out...There is no E vil

In the E vil spread thread, where we were favored by 23, I mentioned that a win by 20+ pts would be enough to push us into the Top 25.   With the E vil game cancelled, are chances are iffy to enter the Top 25 poll on Monday's vote. It will take 2 wins (this one & Minn) to get into the next poll on Dec 21.

Meanwhile, we remain an A- team though are position is eroding as other teams are creeping up on us.  InSt.  (B- ) represents our first real challenge since LSU.  Not much to go on ...the Sycamores have only played 1 real game. (sorry Truman St doesn't count) So what is the difference between InSt and E vil.  They both have bad defenses but InSt has a better offense. 

Let's see what things look like....

 

.............................SLU..........................InSt........................................................SLU.....................................InSt

.............................................OFF.....................................................................................................DEF...............

PPG.........................A+ 11th ITN............C...............................................................B+.....................................D+

FG%.........................A+ 13th ITN...........C+.............................................................C.......................................F

3Pt%........................A+ 6th ITN.............F+...............................................................D......................................F-...Worst ITN

FT%.........................A.... .........................C-. .......................................................................................................

Reb.........................C-............................F-....12th... WITN........................................A+ 10th ITN......................D+

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP....Off....Reb.......Down....none

Top 100 ITN (In The Nation)

Assts...Y Collins....14th....up

Rebs...Goodwin....23rd....up

PPG.....Perkins......50th.....up

FT%.....Perkins....1st.......100%....There are still 75 players with 100% who qualify.

Stls......Goodwin...16th...up

3P%...Hargrove...25th....dn....Jacobs...41st... up.....Perkins....92nd...new

Stls...Larry.....4th

Blks...LaRavia...25th

FG%...Williams...88th

No injuries to report  at this time....

 

In a strange turn,  InSt has swapped places with E vil  and for the 2nd game in a row we face an F-  3P defense.  In the last spread thread  I posed the question....What happens when one of the best shooting 3P teams goes up against the worst  3P defense?   The answer now is,  we should win by 15 pts.  But this is not a forgone conclusion. We still have to make the shots ...defense or no defense. We have been off for a week ....not the best way to develop a rhythm.  Also they have a couple of sharpshooters themselves and our 3P defense hasn't been the best. They also have weak rebounding...on both sides of the ball...we need to take advantage of this....Which brings us to .......

WWN2D2W.....We need to control their 2 main shooters. Neese and Key . Both 3P shooters ....we need to hold both players to a combined total of four 3PM.  Both can shoot closer in too ...keep them to a combined total  of under 30 pts. ....Win the rebound battle by 6...Protect the ball particularly against Larry. Who ever is going up against him will have to play heads up ball. Which brings us to TOs ...I haven't mentioned them much this year but this will be a good game to tighten up any sloppiness....not only for this game but in preparation for the game against Minn which follows.  Win the TO battle by 3.

Bottom line....We need to focus as this game is a step up from what we have been playing.  Our goal is to cut down  the Sycamores.

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A nice win...we did what we were supposed to do....The extra 5 pts will help our numbers bit especially because ISU was an above average  team.

Another good night for Goodwin... double double...again. Of note...Collins ..10 assts...amazing....Perkins ...18 pts...58/ 67/ 50...1 FTM away from a combined slash of 200...Goodwin also needed 1 moreFTM  for 200...Team points in the paint...Bills 48...ISU 18

From the original post....

We need to control their 2 main shooters. Neese and Key . Both 3P shooters ....we need to hold both players to a combined total of four 3PM.........Only made 3 shots....very nice

keep them to a combined total  of under 30 pts.....They only scored 22

Win the rebound battle by 6...Won it by 12....excellent

Win the TO battle by 3....This was even but we only gave up a respectable 12 TOs....I will give it a pass...We will need to tighten this stat up a bit in the next 2 games.

The difference between this game and the last few was this was not a big blowout. While this game was never in danger , we could never quite shake ISU.  That is because they were a B- team. The difference between  B- and D teams is when you get a lead on the weak teams they fade away.  A   B- team tries to stay close hoping you make a mistake or falter.

The Bills focused and stepped up ...now they will have to do that again at a higher level ...for the next 2 games...That is what good teams do

Road to the Poll....1 Down ...2 to go 

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 12/13/2020 at 3:12 AM, The Wiz said:

 

So I guess it turns out...There is no E vil

In the E vil spread thread, where we were favored by 23, I mentioned that a win by 20+ pts would be enough to push us into the Top 25.   With the E vil game cancelled, are chances are iffy to enter the Top 25 poll on Monday's vote. It will take 2 wins (this one & Minn) to get into the next poll on Dec 21.

Meanwhile, we remain an A- team though are position is eroding as other teams are creeping up on us.  InSt.  (B- ) represents our first real challenge since LSU.  Not much to go on ...the Sycamores have only played 1 real game. (sorry Truman St doesn't count) So what is the difference between InSt and E vil.  They both have bad defenses but InSt has a better offense. 

Let's see what things look like....

 

.............................SLU..........................InSt........................................................SLU.....................................InSt

.............................................OFF.....................................................................................................DEF...............

PPG.........................A+ 11th ITN............C...............................................................B+.....................................D+

FG%.........................A+ 13th ITN...........C+.............................................................C.......................................F

3Pt%........................A+ 6th ITN.............F+...............................................................D......................................F-...Worst ITN

FT%.........................A.... .........................C-. .......................................................................................................

Reb.........................C-............................F-....12th... WITN........................................A+ 10th ITN......................D+

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF Rebs = opp reb

UP....Off....Reb.......Down....none

Top 100 ITN (In The Nation)

Assts...Y Collins....14th....up

Rebs...Goodwin....23rd....up

PPG.....Perkins......50th.....up

FT%.....Perkins....1st.......100%....There are still 75 players with 100% who qualify.

Stls......Goodwin...16th...up

3P%...Hargrove...25th....dn....Jacobs...41st... up.....Perkins....92nd...new

Stls...Larry.....4th

Blks...LaRavia...25th

FG%...Williams...88th

No injuries to report  at this time....

 

In a strange turn,  InSt has swapped places with E vil  and for the 2nd game in a row we face an F-  3P defense.  In the last spread thread  I posed the question....What happens when one of the best shooting 3P teams goes up against the worst  3P defense?   The answer now is,  we should win by 15 pts.  But this is not a forgone conclusion. We still have to make the shots ...defense or no defense. We have been off for a week ....not the best way to develop a rhythm.  Also they have a couple of sharpshooters themselves and our 3P defense hasn't been the best. They also have weak rebounding...on both sides of the ball...we need to take advantage of this....Which brings us to .......

WWN2D2W.....We need to control their 2 main shooters. Neese and Key . Both 3P shooters ....we need to hold both players to a combined total of four 3PM.  Both can shoot closer in too ...keep them to a combined total  of under 30 pts. ....Win the rebound battle by 6...Protect the ball particularly against Larry. Who ever is going up against him will have to play heads up ball. Which brings us to TOs ...I haven't mentioned them much this year but this will be a good game to tighten up any sloppiness....not only for this game but in preparation for the game against Minn which follows.  Win the TO battle by 3.

Bottom line....We need to focus as this game is a step up from what we have been playing.  Our goal is to cut down  the Sycamores.

-look at those numbers on offense compared to the Richmond analysis

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1 hour ago, Cowboy said:

-look at those numbers on offense compared to the Richmond analysis

It is true , the numbers look pretty good BUT it is only a small sample size plus 3 of the games were very weak

Here is how they grade out now....

SIU-e....F

LSU....A

Ark-PB....F-...4th WITN

Cen Ark....F

Ind St.....B-

The grades posted are as of today....It is interesting to note that our opponents  grades have changed very little in the last 2-3 months.

To your point,  no matter how you measure it , we are not playing at the same offensive level now as we were back then.

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