SLU_Nick Posted March 4, 2020 Author Share Posted March 4, 2020 4 hours ago, Compton said: It's shaping up to be NCAA Tournament: Dayton and Richmond NIT: Rhode Island and Saint Louis Til Richmond loses to Duquesne Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crewsorlose Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 3 hours ago, SLU_Nick said: Til Richmond loses to Duquesne Yeah, it's not shaping up any way because one loss makes all the difference for teams on the bubble. URI 100% in control about how "it" is shaping up for "them." For me, SLU all along has been tantalizing. They've been on the outside looking in, needing to kick it into another gear and stay there. They've gotten there with the last three games. They need to stay there for the next two and bring it to Brooklyn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUBillsFan Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 8 hours ago, Compton said: It's shaping up to be NCAA Tournament: Dayton and Richmond NIT: Rhode Island and Saint Louis I think that Davidson, Duq, and/or even VCU (if they can somehow turn it around beat Davidson in their final game - which probably knocks Davidson out) could make the NIT field. This site (https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/) has Dayton in the NCAAs and Ricmond, Rhody, SLU, VCU, and Duq in the NIT. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 With last night's results we jumped one to a NET of 56. VCU dropped to 60, Rhode Island is at 52 and Richmond at 42. Duquesne is at 89, meaning their only pathway to March Madness is to win the A10 tourney. Davidson still 'in there' at 76. Half of the league is in Top 100 NET. If Richmond whips Duquesne on the road, they could easily move into the high 30's and post another Q2 win. NextYearBill likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCoBillsFan Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, HoosierPal said: With last night's results we jumped one to a NET of 56. VCU dropped to 60, Rhode Island is at 52 and Richmond at 42. Duquesne is at 89, meaning their only pathway to March Madness is to win the A10 tourney. Davidson still 'in there' at 76. Half of the league is in Top 100 NET. If Richmond whips Duquesne, they could easily move into the high 30's. Speak it into existence. GBL_Bills likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Compton Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 It’s pretty unlikely the NIT would take 5 A10 teams. That’s only happened once this century (2002). Also, best case for Davidson is finishing the season 15-15. That’s probably not going to cut it for the NIT. Only two A10 teams made the NIT in the last decade (out of 19 total appearances) with less than 20 wins (St. Joe’s 18 in 2013 and Richmond’s 19 in 2015). Similarly, VCU’s best possible finish is 19-12 and tied for 7th in the A10. Probably not good enough. And then with Duquesnse wallowing down at an 89 NET, they might get overlooked as well. I hope they all make it. But Dayton, Richmond, URI and SLU are emerging as the most likely post-season (NCAA & NIT) candidates at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3star_recruit Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 1 hour ago, Compton said: It’s pretty unlikely the NIT would take 5 A10 teams. That’s only happened once this century (2002). Also, best case for Davidson is finishing the season 15-15. That’s probably not going to cut it for the NIT. Only two A10 teams made the NIT in the last decade (out of 19 total appearances) with less than 20 wins (St. Joe’s 18 in 2013 and Richmond’s 19 in 2015). Similarly, VCU’s best possible finish is 19-12 and tied for 7th in the A10. Probably not good enough. And then with Duquesnse wallowing down at an 89 NET, they might get overlooked as well. I hope they all make it. But Dayton, Richmond, URI and SLU are emerging as the most likely post-season (NCAA & NIT) candidates at this point. Out of VCU, Duquesne, Davidson and St. Bonnies, someone is going to win two A10 tournament games. We just don't know who. NextYearBill likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old guy Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Truthfully speaking, I hope Duquesne gets to play one of the teams that present matching issues for them. Ideally they should get eliminated, this would be ideal for us as far as I am concerned. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 2 hours ago, Compton said: It’s pretty unlikely the NIT would take 5 A10 teams. That’s only happened once this century (2002). Also, best case for Davidson is finishing the season 15-15. That’s probably not going to cut it for the NIT. Only two A10 teams made the NIT in the last decade (out of 19 total appearances) with less than 20 wins (St. Joe’s 18 in 2013 and Richmond’s 19 in 2015). Similarly, VCU’s best possible finish is 19-12 and tied for 7th in the A10. Probably not good enough. And then with Duquesnse wallowing down at an 89 NET, they might get overlooked as well. I hope they all make it. But Dayton, Richmond, URI and SLU are emerging as the most likely post-season (NCAA & NIT) candidates at this point. My guess is Davidson wont make it. SLU and RI are for sures. VCU needs to win a game or 2, the dukes have a good chance, and richmond should make the tournament. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG BILL FAN Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, wgstl said: My guess is Davidson wont make it. SLU and RI are for sures. VCU needs to win a game or 2, the dukes have a good chance, and richmond should make the tournament. this site has them as a 3rd seed in the NIT....i think we still have a chance at the NCAA if we make the finals of the A-10 https://thebarkingcrow.com/nit-bracketology/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Whether we finish with the 4th or 5th seed in itself should have no bearing on our At Large possibility, as long as we win the next 2. If Duquesne finishes 4th (beating Richmond) and we finish 5th going 2-0, good for them. Then it will be what we do in the A10 Tourney that determines our fate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glazedandconfused Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, HoosierPal said: Whether we finish with the 4th or 5th seed in itself should have no bearing on our At Large possibility, as long as we win the next 2. If Duquesne finishes 4th (beating Richmond) and we finish 5th going 2-0, good for them. Then it will be what we do in the A10 Tourney that determines our fate. Agreed it shouldn't. Galaxy Brain me says if we get 5th (but still win these last 2 games), it could be a blessing in disguise. We would have the opportunity to add another Win to our resume. 5th isn't a death sentence by any means. That would be 25 wins instead of 24 in the hypothetical world where we lose in the finals after beating Dayton. Bizziken likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NextYearBill Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 praying for another shot at Dayton... thats your dance ticket Billiken Rich and GoSluBills like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLIKNS Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 What if Liberty gets beat in the A-Sun final, should they get an at large invite at 29-5? I think their NET is like 66. A- Sun gives the high seed the home game, so they will be at home Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Seems we just had too many W's get stuck in Q3 without moving up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUBillsFan Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, BLIKNS said: What if Liberty gets beat in the A-Sun final, should they get an at large invite at 29-5? I think their NET is like 66. A- Sun gives the high seed the home game, so they will be at home Liberty is trash. They aren't getting an at-large. Their schedule has been terrible - like one of the worst in D-1 bad. They have 1 "good loss" at LSU (but they got destroyed so it not that good of a loss), 1 ok win vs Akron on a neutral court, and 3 bad losses at N Florida, at Stetson, and at Lipscomb. The rest of it is various levels of cupcake wins. A loss in the A-Sun final would add another bad loss to their already suspect resume and likely drop their NET into the high 70s at best. SLU would have had a good chance to go undefeated playing their schedule. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billikenbill Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 5 hours ago, HoosierPal said: With last night's results we jumped one to a NET of 56. VCU dropped to 60, Rhode Island is at 52 and Richmond at 42. Duquesne is at 89, meaning their only pathway to March Madness is to win the A10 tourney. Davidson still 'in there' at 76. Half of the league is in Top 100 NET. If Richmond whips Duquesne on the road, they could easily move into the high 30's and post another Q2 win. Up one in Sagarin as well to 78. He’s got us a 4 pt. favorite tonight. I’ll take a win of any kind but one of 10+ would be great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillIkenFan_Dan Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 Previously said in other threads our net ranking is up to 53 and the umass loss has moved to a q2 which helps. Now we have more reason to cheer for umass to beat Rhode Island. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crewsorlose Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 22 minutes ago, BillIkenFan_Dan said: Previously said in other threads our net ranking is up to 53 and the umass loss has moved to a q2 which helps. Now we have more reason to cheer for umass to beat Rhode Island. These are good developments for the Bills. 7-4 on the road should also look good to the committee. Just keep winning. Rooting path is clear: U Mass over URI, Richmond over Duquesne. Last night wasn't beautiful, but if the committee watched URI get stomped last night, that's a hard ding against them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billiken_roy Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 8 minutes ago, Crewsorlose said: These are good developments for the Bills. 7-4 on the road should also look good to the committee. Just keep winning. Rooting path is clear: U Mass over URI, Richmond over Duquesne. Last night wasn't beautiful, but if the committee watched URI get stomped last night, that's a hard ding against them. only if you believe dayton is not that good. i think dayton is a legit national champion contender. if they had a better floor coach i would make them the favorite. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 35 minutes ago, BillIkenFan_Dan said: Previously said in other threads our net ranking is up to 53 and the umass loss has moved to a q2 which helps. Now we have more reason to cheer for umass to beat Rhode Island. Want Umass to win on a buzzer beater. it'll keep RI from moving much, it'll help with our seeding, and it'll improve Umass net. billiken_roy likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crewsorlose Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 7 minutes ago, billiken_roy said: only if you believe dayton is not that good. i think dayton is a legit national champion contender. if they had a better floor coach i would make them the favorite. I think Dayton is legit, but KU and Baylor have gotten pushed really hard in their league. It would help if somebody besides SLU would punch Dayton in the mouth, for the sake of the conference. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 Also notable quadrant games: SIU is sitting at 167, close to moving from 4 to a 3. Gonna take a miracle but if BC moves up 16 spots it moves to a Q2 win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billiken_roy Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 1 minute ago, Crewsorlose said: I think Dayton is legit, but KU and Baylor have gotten pushed really hard in their league. It would help if somebody besides SLU would punch Dayton in the mouth, for the sake of the conference. dayton is playing for a #1 seed. if they lose a game between now and selection sunday, they may fall all the way to a #3 seed (f'ing bias vs mid major conferences) that is huge in the path to the final 4 and the teams they would play to get there. i dont see dayton letting down. i hope they do play down when they play us in the tourney. whether it be us or any of the teams fighting for a double bye, beating dayton might put that team in the ncaa tourney. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3star_recruit Posted March 5, 2020 Share Posted March 5, 2020 17 minutes ago, billiken_roy said: only if you believe dayton is not that good. i think dayton is a legit national champion contender. if they had a better floor coach i would make them the favorite. Anthony Grant has done a better job of coaching his team than Hall of Famers Coach K and Tom Izzo have coaching theirs. SLU_Lax and Crewsorlose like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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