Jump to content
Billikens.com Message Board
Sign in to follow this  
The Wiz

The Bills over GW by 15

Recommended Posts

How sweet it was to win a game in the final seconds of OT on FTs.  Despite the game ending clutch FT shooting, we are again in the FT cellar of the D-1. Check the post game spread thread for more details on the exciting ( and nerve wracking ) UMass win.

Next up GW...a not very good D team...bad offense  and bad defense...with a couple of exceptions.

Let's check the report card to see what they are.....

 

..............................SLU...........................GW.............................................SLU...............................GW

................................................OFF................................................................................DEF...............

PPG.........................C+.............................D-................................................B......................................C

FG%.........................C...............................D-............................................... ..B+...................................D

3Pt%........................C-..............................C-.................................................D.....................................A+...17th ITN

FT%.........................F-.... worst ITN..........B+..........................................................................................

Reb.........................A..................................D-...............................................C-....................................C-

 OFF Rebs  = total rebs...DEF rebs = opp reb

 Bills  Offensive reb....A+....9th  ITN....up

Change from last game (UP means improvement ...Down means worse)....UP ....PPG...FG%....3P%Def............ DOWN....3P%.....FT%.....Opp Reb

Top 100 ITN

Stls....Goodwin ...24th.....up

Assts...Collins....29th...up

Rebs...Goodwin..15th.....French..21st...down and up

Blks.....French....22nd...up

Assts...Potter...46th

 

So the 2 exceptions to GW's  badness are FT shooting and 3 pt D. They have 4 regulars who are FT aces ...2 shooting in the 90s and 2 shooting in the 80s....their best shooter Jack is hitting 95% from the charity stripe.. On defense they are not very good inside the arc....BUT at the perimeter they are 17th ITN on stopping the long ball....Not much on rebounding but they do take care of the ball,  so not many TOs

Injury report....

GW ...none reported

SLU....Thatch 1/5/20...Questionable...Myalgia...Lower leg muscle...unknown at this time if he will play on Wed.

WWN2D2W....Shoot OK...44/33/57...Dominate  the boards by 8 rebs...Don't give the game away....no more than 12 TOs for The Bills...GW strengths...FTs and 3P%D...don't go fouling them...no more than 16 FTA for GW...and ease up on the 3 pt shots...no more than 12 for The Bills.

Bottom line....We got this one.....almost.... provided we do 1 thing...don't play (down ) to the competition...the last few games (since KSU) our numbers have been slipping....the good news is we are still a B team. ...as we have been since.the win over Belmont in Nov.   However,  it is time to step up our game because the competition will be ramping up after this game. What better way to prepare than a convincing win over GW.....Go Bills

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

At this point I just want to see improvement, idc if it comes in a 1 point win. We're in a rut

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, wgstl said:

At this point I just want to see improvement, idc if it comes in a 1 point win. We're in a rut

Agreed. Let’s start with fewer unforced errors.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm inclined to take the points.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, Taj79 said:

I'm inclined to take the points.

Yeah, 15 seems generous to me. Like Pistol said above, I'll be thrilled if we beat anyone by 15.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Teamrankings just posted the Vegas inspired scored for the coming game as follows: SLU 72.5, GW 61. They favor SLU to win by 11.5 pts. with 4 stars of confidence.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Another game where we play to the competition...this time down to the competition....Let's see what happened......

From the original post.......

WWN2D2W....Shoot OK...44/33/57...Dominate  the boards by 8 rebs...Don't give the game away....no more than 12 TOs for The Bills...GW strengths...FTs and 3P%D...don't go fouling them...no more than 16 FTA for GW...and ease up on the 3 pt shots...no more than 12 for The Bills.

Actual slash....38/33/60....almost...a little bit weak on the 2 pt shots....missed about 3 extra shots...= 6pts....TOs....GW 13...on target...I wanted us to get 12....instead we turn in an excellent 9 TOs ...TO diff worth 8 pts...makes up for the weak shooting....Dominate on reb by 8...we were +5...close enough ...ease up on the 3 pt shots ...stop at 12...and that's where they stopped ...at 12...you don't suppose someone from the team reads this board.. do you?  Now let's get to the game changer ...which is our old friend ...FTs. We final ran into a team that decided to mess with us. i.e. take advantage of us because we are last in FTs in D1. The reasoning goes like this...GW looks at their team and sees that neither their offense nor their defense is as good as ours...so they will beat us on FTs...since they are excellent and we are poor at FTs that is how GW will win.....Except there is 1 flaw with that thinking....we are bad BUT we don't shoot zero....keep giving us FTs and we will beat you. ....GW shot a  decent 73%...actually a little bit below their average...and we shot our usual 60%...a bit higher than our 57%  ave. But here is the key ....we had an extra 13 shots....nearly 60% more FTA.....GW  was  16-22...we were 21-35.....so while we lost the FT% battle ...we won the FTM war....by 5 pts....5 pts ?...where have I heard that number?...oh yeah, the difference in the game....So again the stat that has been torturing us all season... poor FT shooting...again helps us find a way to win. We seem to be able to make just enough shots to win.  It ain't pretty but I will take it. 

BTW,  did I mention we were 13-3....How many on here would like an 80% FT shooting rate and be 9-7 .   I will take the 13-3 record

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...