The Wiz Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Well the good news is ...on paper...our grades are pretty close to SH (see chart below).....So why is it looking like a blowout. Well for one reason SOS (no, not a call for help....strength of schedule) SH grades out at A- ..... Meanwhile we come in at D- on SOS.....Overall SH is an A+.....yes even after a 23 point loss to A+ Neb........The computer didn't beat up SH because it considers Neb to have the best defense in the nation.....we come in at C+....So we come in at the 2 letter differential......as long as you are within 2 letters ....there's a chance ...cue Jim Carrey Let's take a look at the chart .........................................Off.............................................................................Def .......................SLU..................................SH.........................................SLU...........................SH PPG...................D-....................................D...........................................A-..............................B FG%...................C-....................................D+.........................................B-..............................B+ 3P%....................F-....................................D............................................B-.............................B FT%....................F-.....................................B-.................................................................................. Reb.....................C-.....................................B-...........................................C+ ..........................D Nationally ranked PPG ....Powell.....27ppg.....7th in nation FG%......Nzei..........83%......21st in the nation What we need to do to win.....Stop these 2 guys....Hold Nzei to under 50% and Powell under 20pts.. ................................................ Since our report card grades are somewhat similar.....if we could play and hold them to the same numbers as we did for the first 3 teams we would have a .................................................chance....This means holding SH to 60pts....keeping them at under 40% FG and under 30% from 3...Hold them to 31 Reb....TO differential 7 in our favor. .................................................We need to get at least 48% /33% /70%.....out rebound them by 5....and have 11 TOs or less...a side note...SH does have a tendency to TO the ball....we need 3 steals and ..................................................3 blks.....In other words we have to bring our A game. This also needs to be a low scoring game.....under 130 total pts. Bottom line..............So who will show up tonight....The The SH team that will be down after losing a big game and thinks they have a weak opponent....or the SH team that looked bad in a big game and is hopping mad. And which SLU team will show up....The one that has struggled against weak teams or the one that has all the potential and wants to make a statement against a top rated team and get the season rolling in the right direction. Put it together...It's gel time.....Go Bills TheChosenOne, rgbilliken and BillIkenFan_Dan like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLU_Nick Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Good gracious.... I would be shocked if Vegas line is near this. Should be some value for the gamblers out there willing to trust in the Wiz model. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dlarry Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Wow! i don’t think the Bills will be up to speed by Saturday but that is a big spread. Give me the Bills and the points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted November 15, 2018 Author Share Posted November 15, 2018 9 minutes ago, SLU_Nick said: Good gracious.... I would be shocked if Vegas line is near this. Should be some value for the gamblers out there willing to trust in the Wiz model. In last night's SH game I picked Neb by 14....Vegas only had Neb by 7....Neb won by 23....some easy money joe_davola likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianstl Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 44 minutes ago, SLU_Nick said: Good gracious.... I would be shocked if Vegas line is near this. Should be some value for the gamblers out there willing to trust in the Wiz model. Vegas lines often open in the same range as what Sagarin's ratings say the score should be. Sagarin has it at 21. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billikenfan05 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Yikes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slu72 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 If we lose by 21, this could be a long season, and we have seriously over rated our talent. Time for the boys to step up and show us something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slu let the dogs out? Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Yowsers... With the Blues being a major disappointment thus far, and a lifelong boycott of the NFL still intact, I just have one thing to say: Don't screw this up for me, Bills. I need some success in my winter sports life. TheChosenOne likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ballingmeanthegradesfallin Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Slu let the dogs out? said: Yowsers... With the Blues being a major disappointment thus far, and a lifelong boycott of the NFL still intact, I just have one thing to say: Don't screw this up for me, Bills. I need some success in my winter sports life. Football is a fall/autumn majority. Though 21 seems a bit too high or low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slu let the dogs out? Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 16 minutes ago, Ballingmeanthegradesfallin said: Football is a fall/autumn majority. Though 21 seems a bit too high or low. Regular season, yes, but the NFL season isn't officially over until early February. Why can't you just let me complain!!!!!???? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ballingmeanthegradesfallin Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Slu let the dogs out? said: Why can't you just let me complain!!!!!???? Kroenke must lose to the chiefs, then I chuckle. I don't want to go into politics, but I do consider your opinion validated. Though it will be interesting to see what the bills can or can not do Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheA_Bomb Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Wiz is about to be exposed as a fraud. Dude needs to upgrade his commodore 64 but lost his floppy disks. Billikens by 14. Outrebound SHU when they clang all their missed 3s. They don't drop players back like UNA did because they don't think they need to. By the time they realize it's too late. SLU wins. TRN, rgbilliken, willie and 1 other like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old guy Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I disagree with you Wiz, I do not think we will lose by 21. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moytoy12 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Ball game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slu72 Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 It's tough to beat anyone on the road. Tougher when they are supposedly better or fairly matched. I'll give SH their 5 pt home advantage and 5 more because we've shown so little progress in our 3 rather lame Ws. So Bills +10. Rarely dispute the Wiz and his magic laptop, but I can't wrap my mind around losing by 21. Hoping for our breakout game and trying to channel them some of that VaTech vibe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NextYearBill Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 if the line opens at +21..... i will borrow money from everyone i know to bet the Bills. im dead serious TRN, TheA_Bomb and Littlebill like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
almaman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 41 minutes ago, Slu let the dogs out? said: Regular season, yes, but the NFL season isn't officially over until early February. Why can't you just let me complain!!!!!???? It worked, Monty Python like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheA_Bomb Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, NextYearBill said: if the line opens at +21..... i will borrow money from everyone i know to bet the Bills. im dead serious I'll venmo you $5. I got five on it... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVBilliken Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 SLU's defense is too good to lose by 21. Bills will win or lose by no more than 9. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dlarry Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 hour ago, NextYearBill said: if the line opens at +21..... i will borrow money from everyone i know to bet the Bills. im dead serious Betting with other people’s money? Where’s the thrill in that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLU_Nick Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 hour ago, NextYearBill said: if the line opens at +21..... i will borrow money from everyone i know to bet the Bills. im dead serious This is the equivalent of when I was in Vegas and thought there was zero chance Louisville would beat us by 14.5....took a bath that trip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wgstl Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, dlarry said: Betting with other people’s money? Where’s the thrill in that? NYB is poor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David King Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 S Hall over the Bills by 21!!! Absolutely not. MB73 likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David King Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 3 hours ago, The Wiz said: In last night's SH game I picked Neb by 14....Vegas only had Neb by 7....Neb won by 23....some easy money Would Nebraska beat the Bills by 44? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NextYearBill Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 53 minutes ago, dlarry said: Betting with other people’s money? Where’s the thrill in that? Betting with other peoples money is the only way to invest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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