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2018-2019 Season Prediction Contest


philliken

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It's officially that time of year again.

I've gone back and forth having this team with only 3 losses, up to 11.  I'm going to play it safe, and hope to be surprised.

 

Regular Season: 22-9

Conference: 13-5

A10 Tourney: 3-0

NCAA Tournament: 2-1 (First recognized Sweet16 Appearance!)

Overall: 27-10

Some of my losses are to Seton Hall (road game, team learning to gel together), Butler, FSU, and some A10 road tests.

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As long as the team stays as it is no injuries and defections.

Non conference 11-2, losses to Seton Hall and Florida State.

Conference 15-3, losses to RI, St. Joe, Bonnies.

26-5 regular season

3-0 A10 tournament.

2-1 in the big dance.

The core of Goodwin, DJ, Gordon, Bess, Isabell, French, and Wiley is solid, hungry and good and 4 of that core beat VT last season now this team has depth.

 I believe if Goodwin would have finished last season the Billikens would have won 20 based on the way the team was playing last season before his suspension.

Lets get the party started.

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Regular Season: 20-11

Non-conference: 8-5 - There are basically 5 games that I think we'll be projected to lose or toss up (@Seton Hall, Butler, @SUIC, @Houston, FSU).  I think we'll win one or two, but I'm also banking on us dropping a game we shouldn't from the group of (Troy, Pitt, Oregon State).  I'd rather set low expectations and be excited than be disappointed.  I also think this team takes some time to really hit it's stride.

Conference: 12-6 - I think we're the best team in the league, but there is a ton or parity in the top 8/9, so we'll drop some games, but will hopefully finish with the best record (or at least get a favorable draw in the A-10 tournament)

A10 Tourney: 3-0 - No idea how to predict this because it will be all about who we draw and how we match up.  At this point, I think we're the best in the league.  If we stay healthy (excluding current injuries - RIP Welmer), then we should be gelling more some tournament time.  Also might be motivated after dropping a tough road game in Olean to end the regular season on a sour note.

NCAA Tournament: 0-1 - We get stuck in a real sh*t draw by the selection committee and are like a 12 seed matched up against an underrated mid-major powerhouse like Nevada or a dominant power conference team with less name recognition  like K-State.  Close low-scoring game, but our lack of outside shooting / FT shooting bites us in the ass down the stretch.

Overall: 23-12

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42 minutes ago, Old guy said:

Too early to say but we can do pretty well this year once the glitches are smoothed over.

I agree with you, old man river. I started thinking about last year's conference schedule after I posted my 13-5 mark above. With the exception of 2 games (@ La Salle and @ St. Bon), we had a chance to win in every single one of our losses. Should've beaten VCU and RI that's for sure. We did this with a depleted roster and Aaron Hines logging valuable minutes mind you. 

We now have depth and experience in a league where the 3 tourney teams from last year have (supposedly) taken a minor step back in talent.  I'm sticking with 13-5 but wouldn't be surprised to see 16-2.

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14 minutes ago, slufan13 said:

Start the season with a comfortable win over SEMO after a tight first half, but the board panics about French's free throw shooting. After two blowout wins over Troy and North Alabama, we have a 200 post thread on whether a win over Seton Hall will get us into the top 25. SLU beats Seton Hall and then tops Pitt but we spend our Thanksgiving weekend wondering if any of the freshmen will transfer after not getting a lot of early playing time. The board starts arguing and SLU sneaks out a 1 point win over Central Arkansas. The board is hyped for the big game against Butler and SLU has a performance like they did against Washington and they win big. The athletic dept organizes a bus trip to SIUC and skip gets ejected for telling the ref to blow the whistle. SLU loses a sloppy game and 05 misses the bus home because he wanted another beer. He is stuck in Carbondale. SLU bounces back with a win over Oregon St and then gets a huge road win in Houston to stop the newly created thread titled "Will our tournament resume be good enough?". We get an easy win over NC Central and everyone skips their family Christmas party to watch SLU lose to Florida St. The board panics a bit until Steve puts up the Christmas wreath on the homepage of the site and everyone calms down by predicting an 18-0 conference season. SLU crushes App St to head into A10 play on a solid note.

We get a mid-season transfer over Christmas break and we wonder which player will transfer again. A few board members start tracking all flights out of St Louis and into Iceland as they are worried about Thor. A heartbreaking buzzer-beater loss to Rhode Island brings out the true anger in Billiken fans, but they all turn their anger on brownindians annual appearance to remind us when we are going to Olean. Wins over UMass, La Salle, and Fordham cheer us all up and the team blows out St Joes on a Friday night on ESPN. Somebody then creates a thread pointing out that we haven't seen 05 since he got left in Carbondale. Everyone is too happy about the big win over St Joes to create a search party. After beating Duquesne and Davidson, glorydays asks if anyone still believes Grady is better than Isabell or Goodwin. We all say yes. SLU beats Richmond and gets a big road win before beating Dayton at home. The old fans ask why the game is at 8 pm on a school night. SLU loses to St Joes and then beats GW by 1 and we all wonder again if we can make the tournament. SLU beats La Salle but loses to Dayton sending the board into chaos before the VCU game. SLU wins that game and beats an overrated, underachieving George Mason. SLU tops Duquesne and beats Bona to finish the regular season.

SLU heads to the A10 tourney as the top seed but all the experts say we're overrated. SLU loses in the A10 championship to Davidson after giving up 22 3's in a blowout loss. We all discuss how to fix out 3 point defense but HoosierPal reminds us that Welmer's presence and French's free throw shooting are more important. 

SLU gets a 6 seed in the tournament against a sleeper, mid-major 11 seed. We all book our flights and hotels and half the people in the billikens.com bracket contest pick SLU to win it all. After a comfortable win that shuts up the doubters, we face a 3 seed from a power conference. Those fans try to overrun our board but oldguy sends them into mass confusion when he explains how the board is comparable to a chimpanzee's ligaments. SLU is down 13 with 3 minutes to play but a wild comeback forces overtime where a grizzled, bearded, billikenfan05 emerges from the concourse and explains to all of us how he fell asleep on a bench in Carbondale and woke up in Bentonville, Arkansas 8 days later. After migrating further south with the birds for the winter, he hits the jackpot with his last $5 at a Florida casino and makes enough money to catch a last second flight to the SLU 2nd round tournament game. While listening to this story, we all miss SLU falling just short in overtime and the season ends.

Yeah I'm happy with this

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15 minutes ago, slufan13 said:

Start the season with a comfortable win over SEMO after a tight first half, but the board panics about French's free throw shooting. After two blowout wins over Troy and North Alabama, we have a 200 post thread on whether a win over Seton Hall will get us into the top 25. SLU beats Seton Hall and then tops Pitt but we spend our Thanksgiving weekend wondering if any of the freshmen will transfer after not getting a lot of early playing time. The board starts arguing and SLU sneaks out a 1 point win over Central Arkansas. The board is hyped for the big game against Butler and SLU has a performance like they did against Washington and they win big. The athletic dept organizes a bus trip to SIUC and skip gets ejected for telling the ref to blow the whistle. SLU loses a sloppy game and 05 misses the bus home because he wanted another beer. He is stuck in Carbondale. SLU bounces back with a win over Oregon St and then gets a huge road win in Houston to stop the newly created thread titled "Will our tournament resume be good enough?". We get an easy win over NC Central and everyone skips their family Christmas party to watch SLU lose to Florida St. The board panics a bit until Steve puts up the Christmas wreath on the homepage of the site and everyone calms down by predicting an 18-0 conference season. SLU crushes App St to head into A10 play on a solid note.

We get a mid-season transfer over Christmas break and we wonder which player will transfer again. A few board members start tracking all flights out of St Louis and into Iceland as they are worried about Thor. A heartbreaking buzzer-beater loss to Rhode Island brings out the true anger in Billiken fans, but they all turn their anger on brownindians annual appearance to remind us when we are going to Olean. Wins over UMass, La Salle, and Fordham cheer us all up and the team blows out St Joes on a Friday night on ESPN. Somebody then creates a thread pointing out that we haven't seen 05 since he got left in Carbondale. Everyone is too happy about the big win over St Joes to create a search party. After beating Duquesne and Davidson, glorydays asks if anyone still believes Grady is better than Isabell or Goodwin. We all say yes. SLU beats Richmond and gets a big road win before beating Dayton at home. The old fans ask why the game is at 8 pm on a school night. SLU loses to St Joes and then beats GW by 1 and we all wonder again if we can make the tournament. SLU beats La Salle but loses to Dayton sending the board into chaos before the VCU game. SLU wins that game and beats an overrated, underachieving George Mason. SLU tops Duquesne and beats Bona to finish the regular season.

SLU heads to the A10 tourney as the top seed but all the experts say we're overrated. SLU loses in the A10 championship to Davidson after giving up 22 3's in a blowout loss. We all discuss how to fix out 3 point defense but HoosierPal reminds us that Welmer's presence and French's free throw shooting are more important. 

SLU gets a 6 seed in the tournament against a sleeper, mid-major 11 seed. We all book our flights and hotels and half the people in the billikens.com bracket contest pick SLU to win it all. After a comfortable win that shuts up the doubters, we face a 3 seed from a power conference. Those fans try to overrun our board but oldguy sends them into mass confusion when he explains how the board is comparable to a chimpanzee's ligaments. SLU is down 13 with 3 minutes to play but a wild comeback forces overtime where a grizzled, bearded, billikenfan05 emerges from the concourse and explains to all of us how he fell asleep on a bench in Carbondale and woke up in Bentonville, Arkansas 8 days later. After migrating further south with the birds for the winter, he hits the jackpot with his last $5 at a Florida casino and makes enough money to catch a last second flight to the SLU 2nd round tournament game. While listening to this story, we all miss SLU falling just short in overtime and the season ends.

I love you for this.

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this is awesome 

19 minutes ago, slufan13 said:

Start the season with a comfortable win over SEMO after a tight first half, but the board panics about French's free throw shooting. After two blowout wins over Troy and North Alabama, we have a 200 post thread on whether a win over Seton Hall will get us into the top 25. SLU beats Seton Hall and then tops Pitt but we spend our Thanksgiving weekend wondering if any of the freshmen will transfer after not getting a lot of early playing time. The board starts arguing and SLU sneaks out a 1 point win over Central Arkansas. The board is hyped for the big game against Butler and SLU has a performance like they did against Washington and they win big. The athletic dept organizes a bus trip to SIUC and skip gets ejected for telling the ref to blow the whistle. SLU loses a sloppy game and 05 misses the bus home because he wanted another beer. He is stuck in Carbondale. SLU bounces back with a win over Oregon St and then gets a huge road win in Houston to stop the newly created thread titled "Will our tournament resume be good enough?". We get an easy win over NC Central and everyone skips their family Christmas party to watch SLU lose to Florida St. The board panics a bit until Steve puts up the Christmas wreath on the homepage of the site and everyone calms down by predicting an 18-0 conference season. SLU crushes App St to head into A10 play on a solid note.

We get a mid-season transfer over Christmas break and we wonder which player will transfer again. A few board members start tracking all flights out of St Louis and into Iceland as they are worried about Thor. A heartbreaking buzzer-beater loss to Rhode Island brings out the true anger in Billiken fans, but they all turn their anger on brownindians annual appearance to remind us when we are going to Olean. Wins over UMass, La Salle, and Fordham cheer us all up and the team blows out St Joes on a Friday night on ESPN. Somebody then creates a thread pointing out that we haven't seen 05 since he got left in Carbondale. Everyone is too happy about the big win over St Joes to create a search party. After beating Duquesne and Davidson, glorydays asks if anyone still believes Grady is better than Isabell or Goodwin. We all say yes. SLU beats Richmond and gets a big road win before beating Dayton at home. The old fans ask why the game is at 8 pm on a school night. SLU loses to St Joes and then beats GW by 1 and we all wonder again if we can make the tournament. SLU beats La Salle but loses to Dayton sending the board into chaos before the VCU game. SLU wins that game and beats an overrated, underachieving George Mason. SLU tops Duquesne and beats Bona to finish the regular season.

SLU heads to the A10 tourney as the top seed but all the experts say we're overrated. SLU loses in the A10 championship to Davidson after giving up 22 3's in a blowout loss. We all discuss how to fix out 3 point defense but HoosierPal reminds us that Welmer's presence and French's free throw shooting are more important. 

SLU gets a 6 seed in the tournament against a sleeper, mid-major 11 seed. We all book our flights and hotels and half the people in the billikens.com bracket contest pick SLU to win it all. After a comfortable win that shuts up the doubters, we face a 3 seed from a power conference. Those fans try to overrun our board but oldguy sends them into mass confusion when he explains how the board is comparable to a chimpanzee's ligaments. SLU is down 13 with 3 minutes to play but a wild comeback forces overtime where a grizzled, bearded, billikenfan05 emerges from the concourse and explains to all of us how he fell asleep on a bench in Carbondale and woke up in Bentonville, Arkansas 8 days later. After migrating further south with the birds for the winter, he hits the jackpot with his last $5 at a Florida casino and makes enough money to catch a last second flight to the SLU 2nd round tournament game. While listening to this story, we all miss SLU falling just short in overtime and the season ends.

 

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27 minutes ago, slufan13 said:

Start the season with a comfortable win over SEMO after a tight first half, but the board panics about French's free throw shooting. After two blowout wins over Troy and North Alabama, we have a 200 post thread on whether a win over Seton Hall will get us into the top 25. SLU beats Seton Hall and then tops Pitt but we spend our Thanksgiving weekend wondering if any of the freshmen will transfer after not getting a lot of early playing time. The board starts arguing and SLU sneaks out a 1 point win over Central Arkansas. The board is hyped for the big game against Butler and SLU has a performance like they did against Washington and they win big. The athletic dept organizes a bus trip to SIUC and skip gets ejected for telling the ref to blow the whistle. SLU loses a sloppy game and 05 misses the bus home because he wanted another beer. He is stuck in Carbondale. SLU bounces back with a win over Oregon St and then gets a huge road win in Houston to stop the newly created thread titled "Will our tournament resume be good enough?". We get an easy win over NC Central and everyone skips their family Christmas party to watch SLU lose to Florida St. The board panics a bit until Steve puts up the Christmas wreath on the homepage of the site and everyone calms down by predicting an 18-0 conference season. SLU crushes App St to head into A10 play on a solid note.

We get a mid-season transfer over Christmas break and we wonder which player will transfer again. A few board members start tracking all flights out of St Louis and into Iceland as they are worried about Thor. A heartbreaking buzzer-beater loss to Rhode Island brings out the true anger in Billiken fans, but they all turn their anger on brownindians annual appearance to remind us when we are going to Olean. Wins over UMass, La Salle, and Fordham cheer us all up and the team blows out St Joes on a Friday night on ESPN. Somebody then creates a thread pointing out that we haven't seen 05 since he got left in Carbondale. Everyone is too happy about the big win over St Joes to create a search party. After beating Duquesne and Davidson, glorydays asks if anyone still believes Grady is better than Isabell or Goodwin. We all say yes. SLU beats Richmond and gets a big road win before beating Dayton at home. The old fans ask why the game is at 8 pm on a school night. SLU loses to St Joes and then beats GW by 1 and we all wonder again if we can make the tournament. SLU beats La Salle but loses to Dayton sending the board into chaos before the VCU game. SLU wins that game and beats an overrated, underachieving George Mason. SLU tops Duquesne and beats Bona to finish the regular season.

SLU heads to the A10 tourney as the top seed but all the experts say we're overrated. SLU loses in the A10 championship to Davidson after giving up 22 3's in a blowout loss. We all discuss how to fix out 3 point defense but HoosierPal reminds us that Welmer's presence and French's free throw shooting are more important. 

SLU gets a 6 seed in the tournament against a sleeper, mid-major 11 seed. We all book our flights and hotels and half the people in the billikens.com bracket contest pick SLU to win it all. After a comfortable win that shuts up the doubters, we face a 3 seed from a power conference. Those fans try to overrun our board but oldguy sends them into mass confusion when he explains how the board is comparable to a chimpanzee's ligaments. SLU is down 13 with 3 minutes to play but a wild comeback forces overtime where a grizzled, bearded, billikenfan05 emerges from the concourse and explains to all of us how he fell asleep on a bench in Carbondale and woke up in Bentonville, Arkansas 8 days later. After migrating further south with the birds for the winter, he hits the jackpot with his last $5 at a Florida casino and makes enough money to catch a last second flight to the SLU 2nd round tournament game. While listening to this story, we all miss SLU falling just short in overtime and the season ends.

05 is good luck at the casinos. I hit for $1000 on video poker with him in tow in Wichita.  We blew it on 50+ year old hookers and ex-lax laced blow in Salina.

JMM28 likes this
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After a couple of satisfying wins over the most underachieving teams (SEMO, Troy), SLU could possibly not put on their schedule given with their current caliber. Little do they know sleepers are in the midst. North Alabama, from an abysmal conference, shows their might against the prevailing billikens. Slu puts up numbers in display against the Lions, but the points are not as substantial as when they faced the Division II opponents. Then they triumph trough Seton Hall, amidst the question of their schedule's difficulty, only to haunt them later. They then breeze through 5 or more games, until they reach FSU. Then, SLU has a true challenge, against an unlikely foe. They try their hardest, but FSU's physicality is too much to handle for some players, others have no personal issues with this. Some players are considering the idea of transferring after such a morale shaking event. How could this possibly happen to this team? Some random news cast person says, in reply to SLU's loss. Then It's virtually no difference in the conference play, SLU will maintain a record above .600. Which should qualify them for a top seed in conference play.  With no prior experience or specialized drills in practice, or change in mindset after a loss to Florida State. SLU  will have no chance against the opponent they will face in the conference finals. If it's any team other than Davidson, or a (good) sleeper, I would expect them to win in a fashionable fashion. Then they get a good seed between (5-10) Finally, with their 24-26 wins (means 24 loses in conf final) (26 means win conf final, and round of 64, but not 32)

I think this is a reasonable approach.

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