The Wiz Posted February 15, 2018 Share Posted February 15, 2018 Welcome to Season 5 ....For me , this is like Season 5 this year ( is there still basketball going on this year ?) Season 1... beginning of the year....Season 2... 9th game ...enough data to make real predictions...Season 3 ...A-10 conf play begins...Season 4....the emergence of Foreman and Goodwin...Bills trending up....Season 5...Goodwin off the roster and return to a 7 man shorthanded roster. BTW...the thread title is not a mistake (no pt spread)....even before Goodwin was dropped I had Richmond winning in a very close game (1 pt) ...using the trend line of the last 9 games ...we win....except that is out the window at this point. Maybe we will start a new trend line...we will see where the data takes us. So where are we now? We are right back where we were before the St. B ...at C+....on the cusp of moving to B-....Of course the St. B game didn't work out and we slipped back. Then we beat LaS and we move back to the cusp of B-. ...You mean beating LaS canceled out the St. B game....not quite. There was 1 other thing that happened during that period of time. Va Tech beat Va (you remember VT...that seemed like ages ago). That win along with our nice win over LaS canceled out St. B. So a win over Richmond pushes us to a high we haven't seen in a few years...B- Looking at this game ...even with Goodwin missing, this is still a very winnable game. Richmond (currently at C) is a poor team on offense ...almost as bad as we are. We have them beat on Defense.... We should also dominate on rebounds. Let's look at the report card...... ....................SLU...............OFF.............Rich....................................SLU....................DEF..................Rich PPG..............F+......................................D- .......................................A ...............................................D FG%.............F+......................................C ........................................B+...............................................F 3P%.............F........................................F+.........................................C-...............................................D+ FT%.............F- .......................................D................................................................................................ Reb.............B.......................................F-.........................................A-................................................D- Top performers in the nation Blks.......French........58th Stls........Gilyard........5th Bottomline............This will be another painful game where 2 offenses struggle to score....Rich offense=LaS minus the FT shooting. We need to dominate on the boards ...Rich is not a reb team...we need to win this battle by 7....Stop Golden...hold him to 13pts....Who ever Gilyard is guarding...hold onto the ball...this guy averages nearly 3 steals per game....Keep TOs down...this will be crucial...we need to win the TO battle. And finally, make some shots...43/33/ 70...bad shooting = loss... Again this is a very winnable game...if we come to play. johnbj14 likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old guy Posted February 15, 2018 Share Posted February 15, 2018 Of course the defense stats for SLU above include Goodwin's play. I assume we will do worse without Goodwin. I think it will be a tough away game for the Bills. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
almaman Posted February 15, 2018 Share Posted February 15, 2018 I am counting on zero more victories and in a way WGAF? We've seen future 3 years in a fairly enjoyable season totally hosed by S2. Repeal cut sentence to basically time served for the most important of 4 perps. If we totally suck rest of year it's a bad sign but don't think that's going to happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsBeliever!!! Posted February 15, 2018 Share Posted February 15, 2018 You guys seems to forget that we won 6 games last year in a harder league with a worse roster than we have now, even without Goodwin. Don't count us out yet. Ford can motivate like no other coach RIP HUMPS and unclecarl like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Band Legend Posted February 15, 2018 Share Posted February 15, 2018 I'm saying these guys will come out like a house afire- I don't know whether they can hold up against really good teams, but they're not going winless. TheDude likes this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACE Posted February 15, 2018 Share Posted February 15, 2018 23 minutes ago, BillsBeliever!!! said: You guys seems to forget that we won 6 games last year in a harder league with a worse roster than we have now, even without Goodwin. Don't count us out yet. Ford can motivate like no other coach Last year: Hines, Roby, Johnson, Crawford, Welmer, Agbeko, and Moore Current roster: Hines, Roby, Johnson, Bess, French, Foreman and Anthony So... Crawford, Welmer, Agbeko Moore vs. Bess, French, Foreman and Anthony 2010andBeyond and drkelsey55 like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quality Is Job 1 Posted February 15, 2018 Share Posted February 15, 2018 Last year's squad also had Gilman and Neufeld for depth and moral support, even if they didn't play much. In the back of your mind, you know they're there if you really need them. This year it's just Markos Psimitis. Also, last year's team had another four (really three) additional bodies for practices (because Foreman couldn't go in practice while recovering from the hip surgery), but this year's team no longer has enough bodies to go five-on-five in practice or prepare against a scout squad that is comparable in age and conditioning to themselves — they probably have to put practice jerseys on mangers and/or assistant coaches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old guy Posted February 15, 2018 Share Posted February 15, 2018 Well I think we will see Psimitris playing a lot more time (if for no other reason to let some of the players rest a bit) for the remaining games. Hope he achieves something with this extra playing time he is about to get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOSLU68 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 The Greek could be as good a three point shooter as Johnson. I think Bess and Goodwin have similar games. If Roby an French can stay away from fouls when they get beat and if Bess and Roby are on the mark I could see a surprise victory. Key to game Bess making first two jump shots early in game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franchise_08 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Last years team also didn’t have an administration that turned on them. NextYearBill and slufan13 like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kmbilliken Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 16 minutes ago, Franchise_08 said: Last years team also didn’t have an administration that turned on them. I'm sure it wanted to, it just didn't get the opportunity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierPal Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 8 hours ago, GOSLU68 said: The Greek could be as good a three point shooter as Johnson. I think Bess and Goodwin have similar games. If Roby an French can stay away from fouls when they get beat and if Bess and Roby are on the mark I could see a surprise victory. Key to game Bess making first two jump shots early in game Agree with Bess starting off with success is a key. He has been very streaky, sometimes on fire and sometimes you hardly know if he is on the floor. For me our most irreplaceable player all year has been French. He is our main rim protector we have and a player who can operate with his back to the basket. We need him 35+ minutes. Psimitis needs to play solid D for the minutes he gets in. If he scores, that is a plus. If he gets a rebound or an assist, that is a plus. Be solid on D, play within the framework, take an open shot if it is there, and he will be okay. We will be playing zone a lot to minimize foul trouble. We will have six players dressed today who all have scored in double figures in multiple games. Ford will have them ready. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheOne Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 8 hours ago, GOSLU68 said: The Greek could be as good a three point shooter as Johnson. I think Bess and Goodwin have similar games. If Roby an French can stay away from fouls when they get beat and if Bess and Roby are on the mark I could see a surprise victory. Key to game Bess making first two jump shots early in game Scary true. When Bess comes out of the locker room on his game, we are hard to stop. When he can knock down the mid range jumper and get his confidence rolling, it really jump starts the offense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsBeliever!!! Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Bold Prediction: We win by double digits 67-56 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 18, 2018 Author Share Posted February 18, 2018 A great game for the Bills. We won this game on 2 stats...Rebounds and shooting...yes shooting....who'd thunk it. A slash of 58/50 / 57....Of course I don't care how good your shooting is.... your FG% should never be higher than your FT %. But it didn't cost us the game so we will move on with a footnote to improve that stat because some night when we are not shooting in the 50s we will need those FTs. The other stat we killed was rebounds ...I said we needed to dominate on the boards ..win by at least 7 boards....we finished with a 14 reb advantage. While we were expected to dominate on the boards ...we super dominated and did so WITHOUT our leading rebounder. On TOs we came in with a very nice 12....but the Spiders made very few mistakes with a very low 7 TOs....a more normal number and the game would have been a Bills blowout ( this was an area we missed Goodwin) On the Def side we held their leading scorer Golden to 5 Pts....less than a 1/3 of his usual amount....a fabulous job...also top 5 stealer Gilyard was held to zero...another good job. I had said in the original post....bad shooting = loss....conversely good shooting = win...this was one of our best shooting games of the year and it paid off. If we can stay hot we can still have a decent season....stay tuned for the Dayton forecast to see whether we moved up to B-. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old guy Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 The really good result of this year for SLU will be to have our Freshman core (Goodwin and French) getting a year of playing against great odds, and having to develop the stamina to be able to play the whole game straight. The same applies to the transfers Bess and Foreman both of which have improved a lot, and to Johnson. Of course, Goodwin will not be back until May (and a very good thing it is that he is coming back in May)and the odds against SLU have increased since his departure. However, tonight we played a very good game with great spirit. If we can continue doing this next year team will be superb after the integration of Thatch, Gordon, and Pearson, plus anyone else they manage to get in the spring. Ford is proving once more that he can coach and inspire the team. I do hope we go up to B-, I think we deserve this upgrade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bauman Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 On 2/17/2018 at 12:36 PM, BillsBeliever!!! said: Bold Prediction: We win by double digits 67-56 Well, you blew that one! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsBeliever!!! Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Hey Wiz, if we are a B- by the end of the season, does that set us up to be a potential A team next year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted February 19, 2018 Author Share Posted February 19, 2018 8 hours ago, BillsBeliever!!! said: Hey Wiz, if we are a B- by the end of the season, does that set us up to be a potential A team next year? To finish at B- by the end of the season, we would need at least 3 more wins....no easy feat. With that finish, we would have the potential to reach A- next season....if everything fell together just right...again not an easy feat......as we have seen this season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierBilliken Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 nice win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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