kwyjibo Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 SLU has moved to a consensus 7. Our RPI says seven but the profile actually helps a tad but not enough to move down from the 7. If our non-conf schedule was stronger I would think 6 but the bracket consensus has it right most likely. Please note that the committee is more likely to offer a 6 than an 8 (although both are possible; I do not think the 5 is possible). Of the 46 bracketologists updating so far TODAY: 5 10%6 24%7 53%8 12% Please note that the last few years Lunardi has been an OK bracketologist (but never near the best), he was below average for a good part of the last decade. Jerry Palm simply got his gig for being the first one to do an RPI update website. He has been a consistently below average predictor for 15+ years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DD3 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 SLU has moved to a consensus 7. Our RPI says seven but the profile actually helps a tad but not enough to move down from the 7. If our non-conf schedule was stronger I would think 6 but the bracket consensus has it right most likely. Please note that the committee is more likely to offer a 6 than an 8 (although both are possible; I do not think the 5 is possible). Of the 46 bracketologists updating so far TODAY: 5 10% 6 24% 7 53% 8 12% Please note that the last few years Lunardi has been an OK bracketologist (but never near the best), he was below average for a good part of the last decade. Jerry Palm simply got his gig for being the first one to do an RPI update website. He has been a consistently below average predictor for 15+ years. Agreed regarding accuracy of Lunardi and Palm. Although I am hoping one of them is correct today. Lunardi still has SLU as #7 in the East region with opening round games in St. Louis. Arizona St. first followed by Kansas for SLU. Florida #1 in the region. http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology Palm has an almost identical opponent scenario (Arizona St. followed by Kansas), but he places SLU in the Midwest region with Wichita St. as #1 and opening round games in San Antonio: http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology Both have six A-10 teams dancing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DD3 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 This was interesting: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html I think kwyjibo or others may have referenced the Bracket Matrix before and how the aggregate Matrix generally is a better predictor than any individual bracketologist. The Matrix's #1 ranked bracketologist (minimum of three years of posted predictions) is someone named lobofan2003, and here is his/her prediction for this year: http://lobofan2003.webs.com/apps/blog/ In short, as of this morning, lobofan has SLU as the top #7 seed. Doesn't have an updated prediction on region, opponent or opening round site. The aggregate Bracket Matrix also has SLU as the top #7 seed. http://www.bracketmatrix.com/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwyjibo Posted March 16, 2014 Author Share Posted March 16, 2014 Yes. Lobofan has been the best blogger. USA Today has been the best media source but unfortunately they change their bracketologist every few years and they have a new person this year. Info above is from Bracket Matrix. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwyjibo Posted March 16, 2014 Author Share Posted March 16, 2014 Now with 66 bracketologists updating today SLU's predictions look like this (while they are a solid 7 seed there is still more 6 than 8's): 5 8%6 27%7 53%8 12% I am expecting the 7 but hoping for the 6. http://www.bracketmatrix.com/ Stanford, Arizona St., Iowa and Providence are all likely 10's are low 11's. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVBilliken Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Same here, hoping for a 6 but expecting a 7. Hope the Committee looks at the whole body of work. - Outright A10 championship. - Only 1 road loss with several good road wins such as UMass, St. Joe's, Dayton, Indiana State. - 19 game win streak Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Littlebill Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Same here, hoping for a 6 but expecting a 7. Hope the Committee looks at the whole body of work. - Outright A10 championship. - Only 1 road loss with several good road wins such as UMass, St. Joe's, Dayton, Indiana State. - 19 game win streak Indiana State was at home... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old guy Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Despite all the predictions and all the learned experts opinions, we got a #5 seed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slu72 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Yeah, and I wished we got a 6. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwyjibo Posted March 17, 2014 Author Share Posted March 17, 2014 Despite all the predictions and all the learned experts opinions, we got a #5 seed. Not all the final predictions have been collected yet but 5 at people Bracket Matrix had SLU as a 5 seed (not me of course but my brother said 5 seed and thought I was crazy for thinking 7) and one person had them at 4. I should have been more optimistic. Objectively, SLU had a 5-4 (Virginia, for example, is only 4-4 against the top 50) record against the top 50 rpi (this is a big factor) and 2 top 25 wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billikenbill Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 I mean the A-10 is good and all but the respect the committee showed the league seems excessive. Hope all six can find some wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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