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The Bills over GM by 1


The Wiz

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Tough loss against Duq...a game that was winnable. Point of information....last time we started 11-17 was 2010. For those that are gluttons for punishment see the Duq thread for the post game review. Also to see what was good about the game too (yes, there was some good) But I wouldn't spend too much time dwelling on it . As Coach K says ...."Next play"

Mason (George not Micah) did us a favor by losing last night. That enabled us to be favored today even though we lost. The Bills remain at the D level....GM is a C-.

Just because we are favored (finally) I wouldn't run out and talk smack. Good chance this game could be OT (again) Let's look at the numbers.....

Here is what we need to do to win....

..........................................................#s to win

Off

Slashline (today is fraction day)..........7/16 / 1/3 / 2/3

FTM.....................................................17

Steals....................................................4

Assists...................................................14

TO..........................................................12

Pts........................................................63

Def

FG%......................................................2/5

3pt..........................................................1/4

FGM.......................................................23

Assists ....................................................10

Reb (hold GM to).....................................35

TOs..........................................................16 (we need to bother them)

Thompson................................................11pts

...."......".....FG%.......................................under 1/2

Bottomline.....We need to play as a whole ....not as fractions. If we take care of business , we win.

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Gotta get these last two home games just to get something positive before the season closes. Bona-welding certainly appears to be trending down.

I agree. We should beat GM and while we won't be favored in the St. B ( B- ) game the spread will be fairly close...so a good chance to finish strong at the Fetz.

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Tomorrow is going to be a good day for winning... My niece, Mary Helen, will be contending for the baby race. So I'm betting on that too :)

My sister will be sporting my Jordair shirt for good luck.

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Lol where is backhand? Is he preparing to rip the Wiz a new one? We shall see

I doubt it ....since he went back after the game again and changed his prediction. The funny thing is he is getting worse at post game spreads . This time he missed by 20 AFTER the game. . Maybe on the 2nd post game edit he will get closer....lol

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Tough loss against Duq...a game that was winnable. Point of information....last time we started 11-17 was 2010. For those that are gluttons for punishment see the Duq thread for the post game review. Also to see what was good about the game too (yes, there was some good) But I wouldn't spend too much time dwelling on it . As Coach K says ...."Next play"

Mason (George not Micah) did us a favor by losing last night. That enabled us to be favored today even though we lost. The Bills remain at the D level....GM is a C-.

Just because we are favored (finally) I wouldn't run out and talk smack. Good chance this game could be OT (again) Let's look at the numbers.....

Here is what we need to do to win....

..........................................................#s to win

Off

Slashline (today is fraction day)..........7/16 / 1/3 / 2/3

FTM.....................................................17

Steals....................................................4

Assists...................................................14

TO..........................................................12

Pts........................................................63

Def

FG%......................................................2/5

3pt..........................................................1/4

FGM.......................................................23

Assists ....................................................10

Reb (hold GM to).....................................35

TOs..........................................................16 (we need to bother them)

Thompson................................................11pts

...."......".....FG%.......................................under 1/2

Bottomline.....We need to play as a whole ....not as fractions. If we take care of business , we win.

While this isn't pretty, I think it is interesting to see where the breakdown occurred.

Let's look at the numbers first and then we will discuss

....................................................#'s to win................actual

Offense.

FG%............................................43.75% (7/16)..........37..........fail...needed 3 more 2's=6pts

3pt%..............................................33.3% (1/3)............55.6......pass+

FT%................................................66.7 (2/3)...............58.8.....fail.......needed 2 more FT =8pts

FTM.................................................17...........................10.......fail

Assists..............................................14..........................12.......fail

TOs....................................................12..........................14......fail

Pts......................................................63..........................50......fail

Defense

FG%..................................................40% (2/5)..............60.9%....double fail......2nd highest of season....ave b4 this gm 41.7

3pt%....................................................25 (1/4)................55.6%....fail-................2nd highest of season....ave b4 this game 29.4

FT%..................................................................................94.4%......................By far the highest of the season...ave b4 this gm 65.3

FGM.....................................................23.........................28..........fail

Assists...................................................10........................15..........fail-

Steals......................................................4..........................7...........pass+

Tot Reb (GM)..........................................35.......................34.........pass

TO's.........................................................16.......................13.........fail

Thompson................................................11pts...................10........pass

.......".........FG%.......................................under 50%............66.7....fail

FG%- They made an extra 8 two pt shots (16pts) + an extra 2 three pt shots (6pts)+ an extra 7 FTs (7pts)= 29 pts. Right here is the spread....29-28=1pt ...SLU win

29+ 8 (from offense )= 37...On a normal night we would have won by 9.

Put another way....they took exactly the same amount of shots we did and made 10 extra....They took 1 more FT and made 7 extra shots.

Bottomline....GM had an extraordinary game...if we had not been on the court at all it would have been hard for them to duplicate some of these stats. Every team , every season has "The Game" This was "The Game" for GM. This isn't to overlook the fact that we had a number of defensive breakdowns and errors that had nothing to do with GM

So a combination of slightly below average Off mixed with poor defense on the night GM has "The Game" = blowout. GM is a C- team that had an A+ game tonight.

Game over...next game

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While this isn't pretty, I think it is interesting to see where the breakdown occurred.

Let's look at the numbers first and then we will discuss

....................................................#'s to win................actual

Offense.

FG%............................................43.75% (7/16)..........37..........fail...needed 3 more 2's=6pts

3pt%..............................................33.3% (1/3)............55.6......pass+

FT%................................................66.7 (2/3)...............58.8.....fail.......needed 2 more FT =8pts

FTM.................................................17...........................10.......fail

Assists..............................................14..........................12.......fail

TOs....................................................12..........................14......fail

Pts......................................................63..........................50......fail

Defense

FG%..................................................40% (2/5)..............60.9%....double fail......2nd highest of season....ave b4 this gm 41.7

3pt%....................................................25 (1/4)................55.6%....fail-................2nd highest of season....ave b4 this game 29.4

FT%..................................................................................94.4%......................By far the highest of the season...ave b4 this gm 65.3

FGM.....................................................23.........................28..........fail

Assists...................................................10........................15..........fail-

Steals......................................................4..........................7...........pass+

Tot Reb (GM)..........................................35.......................34.........pass

TO's.........................................................16.......................13.........fail

Thompson................................................11pts...................10........pass

.......".........FG%.......................................under 50%............66.7....fail

FG%- They made an extra 8 two pt shots (16pts) + an extra 2 three pt shots (6pts)+ an extra 7 FTs (7pts)= 29 pts. Right here is the spread....29-28=1pt ...SLU win

29+ 8 (from offense )= 37...On a normal night we would have won by 9.

Put another way....they took exactly the same amount of shots we did and made 10 extra....They took 1 more FT and made 7 extra shots.

Bottomline....GM had an extraordinary game...if we had not been on the court at all it would have been hard for them to duplicate some of these stats. Every team , every season has "The Game" This was "The Game" for GM. This isn't to overlook the fact that we had a number of defensive breakdowns and errors that had nothing to do with GM

So a combination of slightly below average Off mixed with poor defense on the night GM has "The Game" = blowout. GM is a C- team that had an A+ game tonight.

Game over...next game

I said this very same thing after our road loss to Fordham which also played The Game of their season against us. Is this just a coincidence? Fordham and G Mason both had The Game against us. Previously, we lost to bad teams (Texas A&M CC, etc. ). Are we not seeing a pattern? Bad defense creates open looks, which leads to made shots which boosts confidence which leads to more made shots....

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I said this very same thing after our road loss to Fordham which also played The Game of their season against us. Is this just a coincidence? Fordham and G Mason both had The Game against us. Previously, we lost to bad teams (Texas A&M CC, etc. ). Are we not seeing a pattern? Bad defense creates open looks, which leads to made shots which boosts confidence which leads to more made shots....

+1

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I said this very same thing after our road loss to Fordham which also played The Game of their season against us. Is this just a coincidence? Fordham and G Mason both had The Game against us. Previously, we lost to bad teams (Texas A&M CC, etc. ). Are we not seeing a pattern? Bad defense creates open looks, which leads to made shots which boosts confidence which leads to more made shots....

Don't forget Mississippi State.

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