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The Wiz

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    The Wizard of Odds

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Listener of the Streets

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  1. No ...this is considered a neutral game. In order to be considered a home game you have to play in the venue 3 times in a season. An extreme example of this would be if The Bills would play at The Dome at America's Center (the old Rams hangout) or the Enterprise Center (Blues) it would also be considered a neutral court. The "advantage" has to do with different sight lines, a player being "more comfortable" at home , etc. This is not some algorithm the computer invented but is a rule that the NCAA came up with for March Madness in the 1980s. The rule was put into place to prevent a team in the first 2 rounds from gaining home field advantage. Using the hypothetical from above in a real life example...The first 2 rounds of the 2026 NCAA tourney will be held at the Enterprise Center. When The Bills get their Dance ticket with CJS they will be able to play at the Enterprise Center because they will not have played a game there during the season...If they even played 1 game at the EC, the Bills would have to be put in a different venue ...because after they beat UConn in game 1 , the second game against the Illini would be considered game 3 at the EC and therefore not allowed to be played at that venue.
  2. Down to the wire....As the computer predicted before the NIT started...we wouldn't get an answer to our coaching question until the first week in April. This is the Battle for 2 days... it will be over on Tues or next Thur. After over a 2 week wait another couple of days won't matter. Doesn't this seem like it has been 2 months. The computer thinks this game may go into OT....2 A- teams that should have been Dancing will try to move into the Championship game with a victory on Tuesday. The finish line is in sight.
  3. I could have fed individual players in to the computer but instead I fed the whole roster in.... There were 6 players that the computer said could play on a Schertz team...3 sure players and 3 maybe/bench players. Of course the player it liked the best was Parker but reports say he is not coming back. Another player the computer thought would be good was Hargrove...and we know he is not coming back . Finally, there is Jimerson. If Schertz brings 5 players Jimerson and a few other ISU players might get a few min less /gm which isn't necessarily bad. If he brings 4 then Jimerson and the other ISU players could play their usual mins. On the maybe / bench players(getting about the same min they got this year).....Hughes(he would need to improve shooting inside the arc)...Thames (he would need to improve FT shooting)...Curcic (he would need to get a few more rebs) Bottom line...1 player (Jimerson) could make the cut from the entire existing roster....3 could be maybe/bench players...Thames...Hughes...Curcic....the others would not make the cut.
  4. It looks like the next piece of the puzzle is this game. While it would be interesting to see VCU play against ISU as a gauge against A-10 competition, it really isn't necessary. ISU just beat Cinn ...a team that the computer sees as an equal to Dayton...that should tell you all you need to know about ISU players competing in the A10. As I mentioned in the Cincy spread thread, ISU and Cinn (and Dayton) are both A- teams. This should also answer any NCAA questions (although a bit too late) about ISU having too weak of a schedule to be a Dancer. Schertz mentioned before Selection Sunday...if they went Dancing it would prove they belonged...if they were not selected he would use the NIT to prove that the NCAA was wrong. Finally, I am glad ISU won last night. While it seems Lville has moved on ...a loss might have given them a chance to circle back. Adding another week on not only discourages them from pursuing further but it keeps other poachers at bay also. Teams thinking about swooping in on Schertz will now think that if The Ville couldn't sign him, maybe we should look elsewhere as he seems to be taken. Bottom line...As the computer forecasted, there wouldn't be a coaching decision until the first week in April. In any case, we should have a new coach in the next 6-8 days. Tick, tick...tick...the finish line is in sight.
  5. It sounds like Lville is under pressure to hire a coach. Schertz probably told them "nothing happens till ISU loses" because Schertz reads "The Wiz" threads. Lville then sees (they too read The Wiz) that ISU is favored yet again to win tonight. We (Lville ) are not going to wait a week ...we need an answer now....they don't get an answer and decide to move on to Pitino ...a popular name in the Ville. I think at this point it would be better for ISU to win tonight....A loss might reopen the door tonight for a Cards signing. A win not only forces Lville to move on BUT also sends a hands off signal to other teams in the meantime....Other teams ..."wow this Schertz guy didn't sign with U of L we better look else where". Tick...tick...tick
  6. https://www.cardchronicle.com/2024/3/26/24112483/louisville-coaching-search-update
  7. Not sure how the money will flow...but things will change. Just think back a year or 2 ago and how difficult it was to transfer...In the next few months anybody will be able to transfer at anytime to anywhere.. Pooled money....this too will change
  8. How about this for an idea....Pooled money Give a coach a chunk of money...say $4 million and tell him $1 million is yours...the other cash is for you to spend on NIL...anything left over is yours...IF you make the Big Dance. If you don't, then the money comes back to whoever paid it...boosters, school etc. You can fiddle with the numbers and make them come out however you like but the answer is to let the Coach decide on his salary and how much he pays the players. A couple of losing seasons and it means he made some poor decisions and not just coaching decisions but money management ones and would probably be gone. I think this is where things are headed in the future.
  9. Here is a pod cast that is worth a listen. This guy is the U of L announcer, sports caster for channel 12 in Lville and recruiting analyst. More importantly, he has his finger on the pulse of the AD, boosters and fan base of UL. In this podcast he talks about the 3 candidates under consideration...Schertz, Kelsey and Holloway. He gives a 3rd party view of pro's and con's on each coach. At one point , he says he thinks Schertz would be a good fit for SLU...better than U of L. Also interesting to hear his take on the other 2 coaches. This is a must listen if you are interested in the SLU coach search (and if you're not why would you be on this thread) and you are concerned that UL is about swoop and grab our next coach. Of course, nothing is done until it's done but remember this....nothing happens till ISU loses.....tick...tick...tick https://www.12news.com/video/sports/locked-on/lo-kentucky/louisville-show/could-josh-schertz-pat-kelsey-or-shaheen-holloway-succeed-as-the-next-louisville-basketball-hc/535-60caf5ed-49b6-4881-a8e4-48df4114415e
  10. Since Holloway / Seton Hall seems to be another piece of the puzzle...I have SH over UNLV by 6 . Nothing happens till ISU loses... Tick...tick ...tick
  11. The clock is ticking... We are coming down to the wire ...in more ways than one. I am sure many on this board are not happy with the headline. If you think the Schertz deal is done, you are ok with an ISU win ...if not, you are a Bearcat fan. This is a meeting of 2 A- teams both who were wrongfully shunned by the NCAA and both who were trying to make a point. That point is ...The NCAA should have listened to their own computer.. Btw...as you may know the NCAA turns off its computer on Selection Sunday. But mine keeps going and mine shows that if today were Selection Sunday ISU would have a 57% chance to Dance. Of course that is based on a combo of NET and Selection committee. In order to overcome the humans (assuming you are not P5) you need about 70% to Dance. If you are P5, you are good to go at 50% +. Game Preview...This will be ISU toughest challenge so far in the NIT. If the computer is right, we are looking at Apr 2 or 4 as a decision day which is what the program has been showing from the beginning. As mentioned above these are 2 evenly matched teams at A-... The computer warns there is a flashing red light on Cinn... they are missing 3 players all seriously injured in the last few games ...no questionable...out for season. These players average a combined 70 min /gm. Cincy is hurting both in production and depth. Computer says if ISU can have an average game... it could turn into a blowout. Bottom line....Rule #1...Nothing happens till ISU loses...Rule #2...In case of speculation, always follow Rule #1 Tick...tick...tick
  12. Yes, they looked good against a big physical team.... Some quick important stats...TOs.. Ind St 10... Mn 15 ...And then we look at the next 2 stats FG% and Reb ...ISU won both ...usually indicates a sure win. (80% of the time)... TOs alone were worth 11 pts on a projection Next up Cinn...the toughest NIT opp so far BUT the computer has ISU winning ...stay tuned for tomorrow's numbers. The long and winding road to the new coach continues. Rule #1....Nothing happens till ISU loses Rule #2....When basketball speculating ...always check Rule #1
  13. If you read my earlier spread thread post, I show ISU winning today's game by 6. If they win, they will play Cinn. ISU would be favored in that game too. But the cumulative probability of winning both games is only 42%. So a 58% chance of mid week announcement. No one from the athletic department called me, so here is how it probably went down. Hey, ISU has 2 games this week. What happens if they lose one of those games. We better give the band a couple of days notice to make sure someone shows up. If ISU loses today, let's make it for Tues or Wed. If they lose on Tues or Wed , we can make it on Wed or Thur. What happens if ISU wins both games? Then tell the band we were just kidding ...and to be ready for Wed through Fri of next week ...for sure.
  14. Post season rules for SLU followers..... Rule #1....Nothing happens till ISU loses Rule #2....What about alternative plans and speculation...always follow Rule #1
  15. A nice win for ISU. Next up is Minn at 1PM on Sun (ESPN2)...A tad better than SMU but a game ISU should win. The team most likely to win overall is Wake Forest....In fact the computer is showing a matchup with Wake and ISU. But because they are on the other side of the bracket that wouldn't happen till April 4 in the Championship game....not something that most Bills fans want to hear. Well at least the TV coverage will be better so that Bills fans can watch...Bills 2 or Bills too or Bills East or just plain BS ( Bills -Sycamores)
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