The Wiz

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  1. Lost in the mascot excitement ...there actually was a soccer game. It is kind of early for me to post ( baseball season is not over yet) and I am not a soccer expert but I will give you my review. The Bills were missing in action for the first 30 min of the game. Like the crowd , they were watching the game. After 30 min, the Cards led 1-0...out shot the Bills 5-1 and controlled the ball for about 90% of the time keeping the Bills bottled up in their own end.. With 15 min left in the half the Bills suddenly came to life and played Louisville even the rest of the half. They even scored a goal....later called back on an offsides....one of a number of calls to go against the Bills. The final 15 min SOG were 1-1 with possession 50-50. The 2nd half belonged to the Bills. While SOG were even at 5-5, the Bills kept control of the ball about 2/3 of the time. In the final 10 min SLU had a couple of breakaways and were taken down with no calls by the refs. Needless to say the home town fans were upset. Had the Bills played the first 30 min like they played the 2nd half they would have won the game. Bottomline....Louisville is a very good team...I believe they are ranked 13th. Experienced , good athletes. ...Yet we played them even or better for 2/3 of the game. I think this bodes well for the team.. If they play with a little more energy particularly from the start of the game,, they will be fine this season.
  2. Overheard at tonight's game..... "Mommy, I don't want to meet the lizard." All I can say is the pictures don't do it justice. It is way worse in person. The pictures posted are actually passable compared to up close and personal. This reminds of a dragon I conjured up a few centuries ago.
  3. Maybe..... a B- team has about 1 chance in 3 of going to the CBI....the rest go home.
  4. Samford = D+..........The Bills finished at C- for the year. Samford would have been one of the few teams we would have beaten in 15-16. Btw, our C- finish this year was a nice improvement over our D- finish for 14-15. Unfortunately for Crews 42 losses in 2 years was not good enough to stay the course. If we can have the same improvement for next year ( C- to B- ) I would take it.
  5. To answer your questions....Yes it is more difficult to perform in an A+ conference (B 12 )....And yes it will be easier to do well in a B+ conference ( A10 ) and no the state of our program is not a concern because he has brought every program up to speed quickly. Think we were bad the last 2 years ...try an F rated program for many years like E Ky ...and yet he had them dancing in a few years. I would like to expand on my post above ( #23 ). In the chart below I will show not only that Ford was a pretty good coach at OkStU the last 6 years but also why he was let go and why he should do well in the A-10. Chart key.....Way over matched means you are struggling....Over matched means you need to step things up a bit....Even means you are doing well in conf....Under matched means you are a top performer in conf. So what is happening here is .....The OkStU grade over the last 6 yrs...B12 grade over the same time period....And how Ford' teams are doing relative to the conf. Then we take that OkStU team and put it in the A-10 the last 6 yrs and see how it does relative to the A-10. For those that argue that he would never have had an OSU type team here that is not correct. His long pattern of recruiting shows his teams to be somewhat similar both in types of players and quality. The major difference has been the competition that these teams have played against. The Ford team playing in the OVC has an easier time than a reasonably similar team playing in the B12 Year......OkStU....B12....Match up...........................A-10....Match up 2016.........B..........A+.......Way over matched...........B+........Even 2015........A-..........A+.......Over matched..................B+.........Even 2014........A+.........A+........Even................................A-.........under matched (top performer) 2013.......A............A..........Even...............................B+..........under matched...."........." 2012........B...........A+.........Way over matched.........A-...........over matched 2011........B+.........A...........over matched.................B............even Looking over the last 6 years , OSU was a pretty good team...yet they were only Even twice . 33% The final year was a way over match....and thus he was released for under performing in that situation....But things are relative...in the A-10 during that time frame he would have been even or under matched 5 of 6 times ..83%...Ford and his teams would have been a star here. Since Ford has a long history of producing teams at a B+ level or higher where ever he has been all signs point to a successful run here
  6. This Sporting News list is a Travis-ty...sorry , I couldn't resist. But puns aside I think it is poorly done. So I came up with my own list....First to compare the grades they gave (based on who knows what) to my grades (based on team performance and mixed in with conference performance...weighting more heavily on team performance, I then gave an overall grade. Finally I compared my grades to the SN grades. Second and more importantly, I looked at the new conference each coach was going to be playing in vs their overall grade as this is a good predicator as to how the new coaches may fare in their new venues. Coaches......Old School/Gr.....Old Conf.....Overall Grade...SN grade........SN grade vs Wiz gr Underwood.....SFA..A-...... ....F....................C.......................A......................Way over rated Dixon...............Pitt...A...... .....A+..................A.......................A......................Even Drew...............Valpo..A-..... ..C+..................B.......................A.......................Over rated Beard..............UALR..B...........C...................B-......................A........................Way over rated Smith...............TTU...B+..........A+.................A-......................A-.......................Even Haase...............UAB..B-..........C-..................C+....................A-.........................Way over rated Pikiel................StyBrk..B.........F+..................C.....................B+.........................Way over rated Menzies............NMSU..B-.......D....................C.....................B-..........................Over rated Stallings...........Vandy...A........A-....................A.....................C...........................Way under rated Pastner.............Mem...B+........B+...................B+...................C-.........................Way under rated Dunleavy..........NBA...............................................................C...........................N/A Dawkins............Stnfrd..B..........A....................B+...................C-..........................Way under rated Ford..................OKSt...B..........A+...................B+...................C-..........................Way under rated The higher rated SN coaches seem to be over rated with the exception of Dixon and Smith. The lower rated coaches are all under rated. In the next chart we match up the new competition/conf with my overall grade. Even means the new coach should do well. Over matched means the new coach will have to step it up to be successful.. And way over matched means the coach will probably struggle. Coach....................Overall Wiz grade..............New Conf ..............Matchup Underwood....................C.....................................A+......................Way over matched Dixon.............................A.....................................A+.......................Even Drew...............................B....................................A-........................Over matched Beard.............................B-...................................A+........................Way over matched Smith..............................A-...................................B+........................Even Haase.............................C+..................................A..........................Way over matched Pikiel...............................C....................................A..........................Way over matched Menzies..........................C....................................B...........................Over matched Stallings..........................A....................................A+.........................Even Pastner...........................B+...................................A+.........................Over matched Dunleavy..............................................................................................N/A Dawkins..........................B+...................................B+.........................Even Ford................................B+...................................B+.........................Even The SN article ends with the snide remark ...How is this hire supposed to improve the program, exactly? Perhaps the author needs to actual examine our program. He would realize our program has improved dramatically in the last few weeks and Ford hasn't yet stepped onto the court. Ah, but don't take my word for it....Let's go to the experts...after all who am I to question the experts. In the link below you will see the best and worst hires of 2013 complete with grades. Yes, you guessed it ...our beloved Coach Crews comes in tied for First place with an A-. Ya gotta love it. These lists are a Travis-ty http://www.google.com/url?url=http://sports.yahoo.com/news/ncaab--grading-2013-college-basketball-coach-hirings-and-taking-a-look-at-who-s-on-hot-seat-194152276.html&rct=j&frm=1&q=&esrc=s&sa=U&ved=0ahUKEwi44MDDi-LMAhUCyj4KHST-BAcQFggoMAM&usg=AFQjCNEYk5W58UlaEFcqe1FfSB2cfDyCRA
  7. Akron is a B team in a C+ conference (Mid Am-east). They are equivalent to the B rated St. B Bonnies. The Zips went to their 1st NCAA tourney in 1986 under Bob Huggins. Since then they have danced in 09, 11 & 13. In their most recent season, they were 6th seeded in the NIT where they lost to giant killer Monmouth. The Zips are not a great team ...but a good team. Not bad enough to make fun of unless you want to make fun of their name and mascot...a difficult thing to do if you are a Billiken.
  8. A-10................................B Mo Valley and MWC.......B- If Wich St ( A ) moved to MWC it would bring MWC up to B ....same as A-10.. Not really much of an improvement for WSU competition wise and a more difficult travel schedule.
  9. Mem.....B.......Ga Tech....B+ AAC.....B+.....ACC..........A+ Bottomline...Pastner would actually be taking over a better team but be moving into a worse situation....At Mem he is only down 1 notch ( B team in a B+ league...barely acceptable especially with no NCAA)... with GT he is moving into a bad situation (hence the reason Gregory is gone) down 3 notches ....more than 1 is unacceptable)....He would need to get to at least A- in this case...2 notches down is acceptable if you can still make the NCAA. So the choice for Pastner is move up 2 notches in the AAC or 1 notch in the ACC...close call but probably a little more difficult in the ACC....throw in some extra cash and his decision is easier.
  10. My sources say now (and then ) that we were the other team. I refer you back to the the "What happened " thread...post #150...the timeline ...and particularly Mar 25 ..the key date. I said on a number of occasions it was Drew's job to turn down...and he did. I think our actual first choice was Stallings but he was lukewarm to us. Well at least he didn't string us along.. In the end , it worked out pretty well ...for everyone...Everybody got a coach who really wanted to be at the school that took them....TCU, Pitt. Vandy, SLU . Well it worked out for almost everybody....not so great for Valpo (no coach and they have to go fishing now)...bbtds ...who seemed to take great pleasure as he reported to Valpo fans the Billiken board was " melting down" and that we were "dilutional" (sic) ... and finally, volfan who guaranteed not 1 but 2 assistant coaches that would be HC at SLU.... Co- Head Coaches. Bottomline...I think we got the best HC we could get...who is right for the program and who will turn us around quickly...We have already turned the corner.
  11. This is why I used the SW conf as an example. While the BS and WAC are both weak confs....anybody can be a "star " in the Southwestern conf (F- )
  12. Depends on which OVC conf you are talking about....The OVC-east ( C- ) ..the good one with Morehead St ( B- ) or the bad one OVC-west ( F+ ) with SIU-e ( F+ ) and Tenn-Mar (C- ). Btw ...we actually did play a Southwestern Conf team ...Ala A&M ( F+ ) one of the good ones from that conf. They were a few games where GG would have been good this year. ...mainly OOC ...in the A-10 he may have helped with LaS Bottomline...Would he have made a difference ? No...The games he would have played well in we either lost by too much or we won anyway. He would have been a difference maker in maybe 1 game ( Tenn - Mar)...ie turning a loss into a victory.He made the right choice from a basketball stand point by switching schools.
  13. Hmm...we may have to agree to disagree.... The Southwestern Conf is pretty bad...bad enough to make Jolly good Team rankings........ 1 C- 2 D's 2 F+'s 1 F 4 F-'s...these 4 are part of the 10 worst in D1 I think Chaminade would finish at least 4th in this conf Jolly = SW star
  14. How a player does is largely a fact of what kind of a conference he plays in. The A-10 is a B+ conference. You have to be a pretty good player to make it here. If a so-so player goes to a weaker conference he could turn into a good or great player Grandy Canyon is in the Western Athletic Conference....a D- conference...Glaze is a star EWU is in the Big Sky Conference an F+ conference....McBroom is a star. Had they stayed here ( even with a different coach) they probably would not have been stars.. ...particularly during A-10 conference play. They would have been....well...what they were. You could take any current Billiken player (yes, even Jolly) and stick them on a Southwestern Conference ( F- ) team and they would be a star.
  15. If you look carefully at the crystal ball in my avatar...you will see the future.